## Too Much At Stake: Moving Ahead with Energy Price Reforms

_IMF Blog, July 31, 2014_

## Source details

**Canonical URL:** [Too Much At Stake: Moving Ahead with Energy Price Reforms](https://www.imf.org/en/blogs/articles/2014/07/31/too-much-at-stake-moving-ahead-with-energy-price-reforms)

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## Bibliographic details
- Authors: Ian Parry
- Published: July 31, 2014

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### Energy, environment, and macroeconomic implications
- Energy use delivers substantial economic benefits but drives major environmental harms, including:
  - Predicted global warming of "around 3–4 degrees Celsius by the end of the century".
  - Outdoor air pollution "causing over three million premature deaths a year".
- These environmental impacts have macroeconomic implications that justify price-based policy responses.
- The IMF applies its expertise in tax design and administration to advise how energy tax systems can ensure prices reflect adverse environmental impacts.

### Methodology and scope
- The IMF-developed approach:
  - Quantifies environmental damages in a "sensible and reasonably simple" way.
  - Is applied "in over 150 countries" to derive implications for efficient taxes on coal, natural gas, gasoline, and road diesel.
  - Calculates human health damages from air pollution by estimating population exposure to power plant and vehicle emissions and the associated increased risk of diseases (e.g., heart and lung diseases).
- The methodology is flexible to accommodate alternative valuations (e.g., global warming damages, differing valuations of health risk) and is presented as a starting point for debate.

### Policy instruments and tax design recommendations
- General recommendations:
  - Focus on "smarter taxes, not higher taxes."
  - Use environmental taxes or similar pricing instruments to "get prices right" by reflecting environmental side effects in energy prices.
  - Recycle revenues to lower other distortionary taxes or meet fiscal objectives, improving environmental and health outcomes while limiting macroeconomic costs.
  - Finance ministers have a central role in administration and in restructuring tax systems away from taxes "likely to be most harmful for efficiency and growth, such as income taxes," toward carefully designed energy taxes.
- Tax base recommendations:
  - Carbon emissions: price through levies on fossil fuel suppliers in proportion to a fuel’s carbon content, building off existing motor fuel taxes.
  - Local air pollution: levy similar charges on fuel supply, but provide credits/refunds for emissions capture (e.g., sulfur dioxide "scrubbing" at power plants) because net emissions determine damages.
  - Motor vehicles: charges on kilometers driven (varying with urban road class and time of day) are the most effective long-term solution for congestion; interim step is to reflect carbon, pollution, congestion, and accident risks in fuel taxes.
- Tax rate recommendation:
  - Set rates "in line with environmental damages" so pricing ensures only environmental improvements with net benefits are induced.

### Key quantitative findings from the assessment
- Coal:
  - Carbon charges shown in Chart 1 amount to "$3.3 per gigajoule of energy (about two-thirds of the average world price)".
  - Air pollution damages exceed "$10 per gigajoule" in countries like China and Poland.
  - Air pollution damages are "less than $1 per gigajoule" in Australia and Chile.
- Gasoline and road fuels:
  - Corrective taxes on gasoline are "substantial across advanced, emerging, and developing countries", driven more by congestion and accident costs than by air pollution and carbon emissions.
- Aggregate global impacts of implementing corrective fossil fuel taxes (relative to the current situation):
  - Estimated reduction in global carbon emissions of "23 percent".
  - Save "63 percent" of fossil fuel pollution deaths.
  - Provide fiscal benefits averaging "2.6 percent of countries’ gross domestic product".

### Framing and caveats
- Some controversies are acknowledged, including valuation of global warming damages and cross-country differences in valuing health risks.
- The approach is described as a flexible starting point, not a definitive final settlement.

*Ian Parry, July 31, 2014 — Too Much At Stake: Moving Ahead with Energy Price Reforms*

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## Content in this bundle

- **事关重大：推进能源价格改革; 作者：Ian Parry; iMFdirect博客； 2014年7月31日**
  - [事关重大：推进能源价格改革; 作者：Ian Parry; iMFdirect博客； 2014年7月31日 (Markdown version)](/external/chinese/np/blog/2014/073114c.pdf.md){rel="alternate" type="text/markdown"}
  - [事关重大：推进能源价格改革; 作者：Ian Parry; iMFdirect博客； 2014年7月31日 (PDF)](/external/chinese/np/blog/2014/073114c.pdf){rel="external" type="application/pdf"}
- **多くの効果がここに: 燃料改革を前進させる; イアン・パリー  iMFdirect ブログ ２０１４年７月３１日掲載**
  - [多くの効果がここに: 燃料改革を前進させる; イアン・パリー  iMFdirect ブログ ２０１４年７月３１日掲載 (Markdown version)](/external/japanese/np/blog/2014/073114j.pdf.md){rel="alternate" type="text/markdown"}
  - [多くの効果がここに: 燃料改革を前進させる; イアン・パリー  iMFdirect ブログ ２０１４年７月３１日掲載 (PDF)](/external/japanese/np/blog/2014/073114j.pdf){rel="external" type="application/pdf"}
- **Ставки слишком высоки: проведение реформ цен на энергоносители; Иэн Перри; Блог iMFdirect**
  - [Ставки слишком высоки: проведение реформ цен на энергоносители; Иэн Перри; Блог iMFdirect (Markdown version)](/external/russian/np/blog/2014/073114r.pdf.md){rel="alternate" type="text/markdown"}
  - [Ставки слишком высоки: проведение реформ цен на энергоносители; Иэн Перри; Блог iMFdirect (PDF)](/external/russian/np/blog/2014/073114r.pdf){rel="external" type="application/pdf"}

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## References

- [new IMF book](http://www.elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF071/21171-9781484388570/21171-9781484388570/21171-9781484388570.xml?highlight=true+&result=1&rskey=kHyJS5)
- [https://www.imf.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/energy-pricing-blog.jpg](https://www.imf.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/energy-pricing-blog.jpg)

_Source: https://www.imf.org/en/blogs/articles/2014/07/31/too-much-at-stake-moving-ahead-with-energy-price-reforms_
