## Roads to Stronger Growth in Low-Income Countries

_IMF Blog, January 12, 2017_

## Source details

**Canonical URL:** [Roads to Stronger Growth in Low-Income Countries](https://www.imf.org/en/blogs/articles/2017/01/12/roads-to-stronger-growth-in-low-income-countries)

## Other formats

- [Markdown version](/en/blogs/articles/2017/01/12/roads-to-stronger-growth-in-low-income-countries/index.md)
- [Structured JSON version](/en/blogs/articles/2017/01/12/roads-to-stronger-growth-in-low-income-countries/index.json)
- [Bundle manifest](/en/blogs/articles/2017/01/12/roads-to-stronger-growth-in-low-income-countries/bundle-manifest.json)

## Bibliographic details
- Authors: Tao Zhang, Vladimir Klyuev
- Published: January 12, 2017

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### Overview
- Authors: Tao Zhang, Vladimir Klyuev
- Date: January 12, 2017
- Core message: Low-income countries should build more infrastructure—roads, electricity, sanitation, telecommunications, and water delivery—to strengthen growth and meet the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. A chapter in a recent IMF report examines obstacles and policy options.

### Challenges to scaling up infrastructure
- Public debt and external financing
  - In many low-income countries, public debt levels have risen and external financing conditions have tightened, making loans for infrastructure more difficult and risky.
  - During 2015 alone, the ratio of public debt to GDP rose from 34 to 42 percent.
- Capacity and resource constraints
  - A survey identifies availability of external financing and administrative capacity constraints as key obstacles in the most vulnerable countries.
  - For low-income countries better connected to global capital markets, the sufficiency of domestic financial resources is the most important concern.

### Improving public investment efficiency and domestic resource mobilization
- Public investment efficiency
  - Value for money in public investment varies considerably among low-income countries and is generally lower than in other states.
  - Broad principles (e.g., directing capital expenditure to the most productive projects) are understood but institutional mechanisms—effective cost-benefit analysis and transparent procurement—are often lacking.
- Domestic revenue measures
  - More domestic resources from taxes can create space for priority spending on infrastructure.
  - Persisting issues: tax revenues remain lower in poorer countries partly due to lower collection efficiency.
  - Policy actions to expand fiscal space: improving tax administration; broadening the tax base; closing unjustified loopholes; streamlining expenditures; and, in some cases, raising tax rates.
- Concessional finance and multilateral banks
  - Concessional financing will need to continue playing an important role.
  - Increasing the capital of multilateral development banks and adjusting how they deploy capital could generate more resources for the poorest countries.
  - The rise of new bilateral donors (particularly China) and new institutions (such as the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank) has brought additional funds for development.
  - Many potential donor countries face their own fiscal challenges, limiting prospects for a large increase in multilateral and bilateral donor financing.
  - Even scaled up official development assistance is considered insufficient to meet the investment requirements of the Sustainable Development Goals by 2030.

### Mobilizing private finance and public-private partnerships
- Evidence and potential
  - There is little purely private infrastructure in low-income countries outside mobile telecommunications; the mobile sector demonstrates viability of private models.
  - Small-scale applications (e.g., solar micro-grids) provide additional examples.
- Public-private partnerships (PPPs)
  - PPPs are relatively frequent in electricity generation.
  - Critical requirements: strong institutional framework and sound PPP management to avoid undue fiscal risks.
- Barriers to private investment
  - A favorable business environment—stable macroeconomic conditions and predictable policies—is necessary but may not be sufficient.
  - Numerous obstacles prevent private investors from connecting to viable projects; low-income countries often lack expertise in structuring projects to deliver acceptable risk-return profiles.
  - Large institutional pools of capital (close to $100 trillion in advanced economies) are seeking decent returns but face bottlenecks in accessing viable projects in low-income countries.
- Role of multilateral development banks and project preparation
  - Multilateral development banks help structure projects and provide risk mitigation: political risk insurance, credit guarantees, subordinated debt, and other instruments.
  - Numerous project preparation facilities assist in structuring viable projects; example cited: the recently established Global Infrastructure Facility with an initial capitalization of $100 million.
  - This catalytic approach is promising, although progress has been limited so far.

### IMF support and tools
- IMF instruments
  - The IMF’s Infrastructure Policy Support Initiative helps countries evaluate macroeconomic and financial implications of alternative investment programs and financing strategies and bolster institutional capacity in managing public investment.
  - These tools have been applied in countries including Cambodia, Honduras, the Kyrgyz Republic, and Togo.
  - The IMF allocates one-fifth of its support for national capacity building to assistance in the areas of tax policy and administration, which are key to domestic revenue mobilization.

### Key statistics and figures
- 2030 (Agenda for Sustainable Development target year)
- During 2015: public debt to GDP rose from 34 to 42 percent
- Close to $100 trillion (large institutional pools of capital in advanced economies)
- Global Infrastructure Facility initial capitalization: $100 million
- IMF national capacity building allocation to tax policy and administration: one-fifth

*Source: Roads to Stronger Growth in Low-Income Countries, Tao Zhang, Vladimir Klyuev, January 12, 2017.*

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## Content in this bundle

- **World Bank Document**
  - [World Bank Document (Markdown version)](/curated/en/602761467999349576/pdf/98023-BR-SecM2015-0233-IDA-SecM2015-0147-IFC-SecM2015-0105-MIGA-SecM2015-0061-Box391499B-OUO-9.pdf.md){rel="alternate" type="text/markdown"}
  - [World Bank Document (PDF)](/curated/en/602761467999349576/pdf/98023-BR-SecM2015-0233-IDA-SecM2015-0147-IFC-SecM2015-0105-MIGA-SecM2015-0061-Box391499B-OUO-9.pdf){rel="external" type="application/pdf;charset=utf-8"}
- **低收入国家实现更强劲增长之路; IMF博客; 2017年1月12日**
  - [低收入国家实现更强劲增长之路; IMF博客; 2017年1月12日 (Markdown version)](/external/chinese/np/blog/2017/011317c.pdf.md){rel="alternate" type="text/markdown"}
  - [低收入国家实现更强劲增长之路; IMF博客; 2017年1月12日 (PDF)](/external/chinese/np/blog/2017/011317c.pdf){rel="external" type="application/pdf"}
- **Making Public Investment More Efficient; IMF Policy Paper, June 11, 2015**
  - [Making Public Investment More Efficient; IMF Policy Paper, June 11, 2015 (Markdown version)](/external/np/pp/eng/2015/061115.pdf.md){rel="alternate" type="text/markdown"}
  - [Making Public Investment More Efficient; IMF Policy Paper, June 11, 2015 (PDF)](/external/np/pp/eng/2015/061115.pdf){rel="external" type="application/pdf"}

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## References

- [عربي](http://blog-montada.imf.org/?p=4662)
- [https://www.imf.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/lidcs-infrastructure-chart1.jpg](https://www.imf.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/lidcs-infrastructure-chart1.jpg)
- [recent report](http://www.imf.org/external/pp/longres.aspx?id=5086)
- [https://www.imf.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/lidcs-infrastructure-chart2.jpg](https://www.imf.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/lidcs-infrastructure-chart2.jpg)
- [https://www.imf.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/lidcs-infrastructure-chart3.jpg](https://www.imf.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/lidcs-infrastructure-chart3.jpg)

_Source: https://www.imf.org/en/blogs/articles/2017/01/12/roads-to-stronger-growth-in-low-income-countries_
