## Projecting Public Debt - The Public Debt Dynamics Tool

## Source details

**Canonical URL:** [Projecting Public Debt - The Public Debt Dynamics Tool](https://www.imf.org/en/capacity-development/training/icdtc/schedule/ol/2024/ddtxol24-142)

## Other formats

- [Markdown version](/en/capacity-development/training/icdtc/schedule/ol/2024/ddtxol24-142/index.md)
- [Structured JSON version](/en/capacity-development/training/icdtc/schedule/ol/2024/ddtxol24-142/index.json)
- [Bundle manifest](/en/capacity-development/training/icdtc/schedule/ol/2024/ddtxol24-142/bundle-manifest.json)

## Bibliographic details
- Session: OL 24.142
- Location: Course conducted online
- Dates: May 1, 2024 - April 15, 2025 (50 weeks)
- Delivery method: Online Training
- Primary language: French
- Status: Deadline passed

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### Program identity and logistics
- Session No.: OL 24.142
- Location: Course conducted online
- Date: May 1, 2024 - April 15, 2025 (50 weeks)
- Delivery Method: Online Training
- Primary Language: French
- Course duration: six-hour online course

### Target audience and qualifications
- Target Audience:
  - All government officials are welcome to register.
  - Particularly useful for officials from ministries of finance, debt agencies, central banks, and other government agencies responsible for implementing macroeconomic and debt policies.
- Qualifications:
  - Some knowledge of economics would be helpful.
  - Basic Microsoft Excel skills and access to a computer with a reliable internet connection and a Google Chrome web browser are essential.

### Course description and tool functionality
- Overview:
  - Presented by the Institute for Capacity Development.
  - Explains how to project the evolution of the stock of public debt over time for the baseline (most likely) and alternative scenarios.
  - Explains how to estimate paths of fiscal adjustments consistent with a pre-determined target level of debt.
- Public Debt Dynamics Tool (DDT) features:
  - Excel-based, easy-to-use.
  - Uses projections of some 10 key macroeconomic and fiscal variables.
  - Provides public debt projections under baseline and stress test scenarios.
  - Produces fan charts that describe uncertainty.
  - Identifies the main drivers of public debt changes.
  - Computes measures of fiscal adjustments necessary to achieve a user-defined public debt target.

### Course objectives (learning outcomes)
Upon completion of this course, participants should be able to:
- Project public debt.
- Identify the main drivers of public debt changes.
- Compute measures of fiscal adjustments consistent with a public debt target.
- Conduct a stress test to public debt projections, including through the use of fan charts.
- Identify the main components of a debt sustainability analysis to assess the risk of debt distress.

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## References

- [Online Training](https://www.imf.org/en/capacity-development/training/icdtc/delivery-methods)
- [Core Elements of Banking Supervision (CBS)](https://www.imf.org/en/capacity-development/training/icdtc/schedule/at/2027/cbsat27-10)
- [Advanced Government Finance Statistics (GFS-A)](https://www.imf.org/en/capacity-development/training/icdtc/schedule/ce/2026/gfs-ace26-45)
- [Fiscal Sustainability (FS)](https://www.imf.org/en/capacity-development/training/icdtc/schedule/ce/2026/fsce26-38)
- [Safeguards Assessments of Central Banks (SAC)](https://www.imf.org/en/capacity-development/training/icdtc/schedule/at/2026/sacat26-30)
- [Macroeconomic Management in Resource Rich Countries (MRC)](https://www.imf.org/en/capacity-development/training/icdtc/schedule/ce/2026/mrcce26-44)

_Source: https://www.imf.org/en/capacity-development/training/icdtc/schedule/ol/2024/ddtxol24-142_