## Projecting Public Debt - The Public Debt Dynamics Tool

## Source details

**Canonical URL:** [Projecting Public Debt - The Public Debt Dynamics Tool](https://www.imf.org/en/capacity-development/training/icdtc/schedule/ol/2026/ddtxol26-131)

## Other formats

- [Markdown version](/en/capacity-development/training/icdtc/schedule/ol/2026/ddtxol26-131/index.md)
- [Structured JSON version](/en/capacity-development/training/icdtc/schedule/ol/2026/ddtxol26-131/index.json)
- [Bundle manifest](/en/capacity-development/training/icdtc/schedule/ol/2026/ddtxol26-131/bundle-manifest.json)

## Bibliographic details
- Session: OL 26.131
- Location: Course conducted online
- Dates: May 1, 2026 - April 15, 2027 (50 weeks)
- Delivery method: Online Training
- Primary language: English
- Status: Apply online by April 1, 2027 Deadline extended

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### Target Audience
- All government officials are welcome to register.
- Particularly useful for officials from:
  - ministries of finance
  - debt agencies
  - central banks
  - other government agencies responsible for implementing macroeconomic and debt policies

### Course Description and Structure
- Presented by the Institute for Capacity Development.
- Two-module course.
- Focuses on projecting the stock of public debt over time for baseline (most likely) and alternative scenarios.
- Explains the underpinnings of public debt dynamics (i.e., the evolution of public debt over time).
- Introduces and applies an easy-to-use Excel-based Public Debt Dynamics Tool (DDT).
- Uses projections of some 10 key macroeconomic and financial variables to produce debt projections.
- Produces baseline and stress test scenarios, including fan charts that describe uncertainty about the evolution of debt over time in a probabilistic manner.
- Identifies the main drivers of public debt changes.
- Computes measures of fiscal adjustments necessary to achieve a user-specified public debt target during a certain period.

### Core Competencies and Skills Taught
- How to compute public debt dynamics.
- How to identify the main drivers of public debt dynamics.
- How to compute measures of fiscal adjustments necessary to achieve a public debt target.
- How to conduct a stress test to public debt dynamics, including through the use of fan charts.
- How to identify the main components of a debt sustainability analysis to assess the risk of debt distress.

### Related IMF Training Offerings (listed on same program schedule)
- Core Elements of Banking Supervision (CBS) — English (French, Portuguese) | January 18-29, 2027 | In-person Training | Ebene, Mauritius
- Advanced Government Finance Statistics (GFS-A) — English (Arabic) | December 13-17, 2026 | In-person Training | Kuwait City, Kuwait
- Fiscal Sustainability (FS) — English (Arabic) | November 9-20, 2026 | In-person Training | Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
- Safeguards Assessments of Central Banks (SAC) — English (French, Portuguese) | November 9-13, 2026 | In-person Training | Ebene, Mauritius
- Macroeconomic Management in Resource Rich Countries (MRC) — English (Arabic) | December 7-18, 2026 | In-person Training | Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

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## References

- [Online Training](https://www.imf.org/en/capacity-development/training/icdtc/delivery-methods)
- [Apply Now](https://www-ins.imf.org/TAS/signon.aspx?pkey=OL26.131E)
- [Core Elements of Banking Supervision (CBS)](https://www.imf.org/en/capacity-development/training/icdtc/schedule/at/2027/cbsat27-10)
- [Advanced Government Finance Statistics (GFS-A)](https://www.imf.org/en/capacity-development/training/icdtc/schedule/ce/2026/gfs-ace26-45)
- [Fiscal Sustainability (FS)](https://www.imf.org/en/capacity-development/training/icdtc/schedule/ce/2026/fsce26-38)
- [Safeguards Assessments of Central Banks (SAC)](https://www.imf.org/en/capacity-development/training/icdtc/schedule/at/2026/sacat26-30)
- [Macroeconomic Management in Resource Rich Countries (MRC)](https://www.imf.org/en/capacity-development/training/icdtc/schedule/ce/2026/mrcce26-44)

_Source: https://www.imf.org/en/capacity-development/training/icdtc/schedule/ol/2026/ddtxol26-131_