## Revenue Forecasting and Analysis

## Source details

**Canonical URL:** [Revenue Forecasting and Analysis](https://www.imf.org/en/capacity-development/training/icdtc/schedule/ol/2026/rfaxol26-198)

## Other formats

- [Markdown version](/en/capacity-development/training/icdtc/schedule/ol/2026/rfaxol26-198/index.md)
- [Structured JSON version](/en/capacity-development/training/icdtc/schedule/ol/2026/rfaxol26-198/index.json)
- [Bundle manifest](/en/capacity-development/training/icdtc/schedule/ol/2026/rfaxol26-198/bundle-manifest.json)

## Bibliographic details
- Session: OL 26.198
- Location: Course conducted online
- Dates: May 1, 2026 - April 15, 2027 (50 weeks)
- Delivery method: Online Training
- Primary language: French
- Status: Apply online by April 1, 2027

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### Program logistics and identification
- Session No.: OL 26.198
- Location: Course conducted online
- Date: May 1, 2026 - April 15, 2027 (50 weeks)
- Delivery Method: Online Training
- Primary Language: French

### Target audience and qualifications
- Target Audience:
  - Government officials working in ministries of finance or in revenue administrations who are charged with conducting revenue forecasts and/or assessing the revenue or distributional impact of tax policy changes.
- Qualifications:
  - Basic to intermediate understanding of tax policy.
  - Degree in economics or tax accountancy (ideally with some background in econometrics).
  - Proficiency in Microsoft Excel.

### Course description and pedagogical approach
- Focus:
  - Technical and institutional aspects of revenue forecasting and tax policy analysis.
- Coverage:
  - Quantitative methods required to forecast and evaluate revenue implications of changes in major taxes:
    - Personal income taxes
    - Corporate income taxes
    - Value added taxes
    - Excise taxes
    - International trade taxes
  - Institutional framework necessary to support the revenue forecasting process.
- Methods and learning activities:
  - Builds on conceptual and practical approaches.
  - Hands-on activities including quizzes and quantitative exercises with real fiscal data.

### Course objectives (expected competencies upon completion)
- Describe the role of revenue forecasting in the budget-making process.
- Identify good practices relating to the institutional framework that supports the revenue forecasting process.
- Identify data requirements for each method of revenue forecasting.
- Apply macro-based models to forecast tax revenue.
- Apply input-output models and micro-simulation techniques to analyze the revenue and distributional implications from indirect and direct taxes.
- Recognize the strengths and limitations of different models.

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## References

- [Online Training](https://www.imf.org/en/capacity-development/training/icdtc/delivery-methods)
- [Apply Now](https://www-ins.imf.org/TAS/signon.aspx?pkey=OL26.198F)
- [Financial Development and Financial Inclusion (FDFI)](https://www.imf.org/en/capacity-development/training/icdtc/schedule/at/2026/fdfiat26-24)

_Source: https://www.imf.org/en/capacity-development/training/icdtc/schedule/ol/2026/rfaxol26-198_