## Press Release: IMF Announces Staff Level Agreement with Ukraine on US$14-18 Billion Stand-By Arrangement

_IMF News, March 27, 2014_

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## Bibliographic details
- Authors: Arrangement Press Release No.
- Published: March 27, 2014

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### Summary
- IMF mission worked in Kyiv during March 4-25 to assess the economic situation and discuss an economic reform program.
- Mission Chief for Ukraine: Nikolay Gueorguiev.
- Date of release: March 27, 2014.
- The mission reached a staff-level agreement on a two-year Stand-By Arrangement (SBA).
- Financial support from the broader international community unlocked by the program amounts to US$27 billion over the next two years.
- IMF assistance under the program will range between US$14-18 billion, with the precise amount to be determined once all bilateral and multilateral support is accounted for.
- The agreement is subject to approval by IMF Management and the Executive Board; Executive Board consideration is expected in April following adoption of a package of prior actions by the authorities.

### Macroeconomic assessment and key statistics
- Exchange rate policy (until recently): pegged and overvalued.
- Current account deficit: over 9 percent of GDP.
- International reserves fell to a critically low level of two months of import in early 2014.
- 2013 fiscal deficit: 4½ percent of GDP.
- 2013 deficit of the state-owned gas company Naftogaz: nearly 2 percent of GDP.
- Without policy action, combined budget/Naftogaz deficit would widen to over 10 percent of GDP in 2014.
- Large foreign debt repayments loom in 2014-15.
- Economic outlook: economy falling back into recession; no market access at present.

### Program objectives
- Restore macroeconomic stability.
- Put the country on a path of sound governance and sustainable economic growth.
- Protect the vulnerable in society.
- Focus areas: monetary and exchange rate policies; the financial sector; fiscal policies; the energy sector; governance, transparency, and the business climate.

### Monetary and financial sector measures
- Exchange rate: National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) floated the exchange rate in February to safeguard reserves and address currency overvaluation.
- Monetary policy: will target domestic price stability while maintaining a flexible exchange rate to eliminate external imbalances, improve competitiveness, support exports and growth, and facilitate gradual rebuilding of international reserves.
- Inflation framework: NBU plans to introduce an inflation targeting framework over the next twelve months to firmly anchor inflation expectations.
- Financial sector reforms will focus on:
  - (i) ensuring that banks are sound, liquid, and well-capitalized;
  - (ii) upgrading the regulatory and supervisory framework of the NBU, including complying with international best practice and supervision on a consolidated basis;
  - (iii) facilitating resolution of non-performing loans in the banking sector.

### Fiscal policy and projections
- Short-term: fiscal policy will secure priority spending during the coming months.
- Medium-term: implement deeper fiscal adjustment over the medium-term.
- Initial stabilization in 2014 will be achieved through a mix of revenue and expenditure measures.
- For 2015-16, the program envisions a gradual expenditure-led fiscal adjustment—proceeding at a pace commensurate with the speed of economic recovery and protecting the vulnerable—aiming to reduce the fiscal deficit to around 2½ percent of GDP by 2016.

### Energy sector reforms
- Aim: reduce the sector’s fiscal drag, attract new investment, and enhance efficiency.
- Key step: commitment to step by step energy reform to move retail gas and heating tariffs to full cost recovery, along with early action towards that goal.
- Mitigation: scaled up social protection to mitigate the impact on the most vulnerable.
- Additional measures: improve the transparency of Naftogaz’s accounts and restructure the company to reduce costs and raise efficiency.

### Governance, transparency, and business climate
- Central elements of the program include:
  - adoption of a new procurement law to close loopholes allowing evasion of a competitive procedure;
  - measures to facilitate VAT refunds to businesses;
  - an independent quarterly audit of the Naftogaz accounts.
- Coordination: measures will be fully developed with assistance from the World Bank, EBRD, and other international financial organizations.
- IMF commitment: prepare a comprehensive diagnostic study covering the anti-corruption and governance framework, the design and implementation of laws and regulations, the effectiveness of the judiciary, and tax administration.

### Implementation and conditionality
- Program success depends on steadfast implementation of the authorities' economic reform program.
- The package of prior actions by the authorities is a precondition for Executive Board consideration in April.
- The program is expected to unlock US$27 billion in broader international support over the next two years, including IMF assistance of US$14-18 billion.

*Press Release No. 14/131 — March 27, 2014. IMF COMMUNICATIONS DEPARTMENT. Media Relations.*

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## References

- [Ukraine and the IMF](http://www.imf.org/external/country/UKR/index.htm)
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- [PRESS CENTER](http://presscenter.imf.org/)
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_Source: https://www.imf.org/en/news/articles/2015/09/14/01/49/pr14131_
