## Transcript of a Conference Call with a Senior IMF Official on Greece and AIP

_IMF News, June 22, 2017_

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## Bibliographic details
- Published: June 22, 2017

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### Context and procedural decision
- Date of publication: June 22, 2017
- The Managing Director told the Eurogroup she was ready to go to the IMF Executive Board and recommend approval in principle (AIP) of a new IMF Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) for Greece.
- AIP is described as an unusual procedure, used in the 1980s in similar stalemate situations.
- Rationale for pursuing AIP now:
  - Signals that the IMF believes Greek policies are on the right track and worthy of IMF support.
  - Allows movement forward without compromising the debt relief requirements ultimately needed to release IMF resources.
  - Provides Greece and its creditors breathing space to avoid a cash crunch next month and supports Euro area and Greek financial stability.

### Debt relief, creditor dynamics, and timing
- Current status:
  - Significant movement by European creditors has occurred over recent months, including "additional measures and additional specifications" referenced in the Eurogroup statement.
  - However, the IMF does not yet have "enough on the debt relief side to meet the debt sustainability requirements of the program."
- Creditor complexity:
  - The Greek case involves "17 creditors" operating in a currency union, making provision of debt relief inherently difficult because of moral hazard concerns and bailout risks.
  - The IMF characterizes the remaining issues as a political contest requiring more time for convergence among European partners.
- On deadlines:
  - Past uses of AIP sometimes included deadlines but not always; reference made to the 1980s practice and the Argentina case.
  - The IMF has not decided whether to propose a deadline in this instance; the Managing Director will decide what to recommend to the Board.
  - The Senior IMF Official indicated that in the present context a hard deadline may not help resolution because outstanding issues concern underlying assumptions, instruments, and uncertainty treatment that require time to work through.

### Program design, access, and purpose of IMF engagement
- Document and Board timetable:
  - The Managing Director will put together the staff report for the Board. Documents were expected to be finalized "in the next week or so."
  - There is a clearance procedure and "a couple of weeks to consult the capitals" after issuance to the Executive Board. The Managing Director anticipated this would take the process into July.
- Financial magnitude and modality:
  - When the request for AIP for use of Fund resources is put to the Board there will be an amount; it "has not been finalized yet."
  - The Managing Director said in the press conference that it would be "well within the IMF’s normal access limits," not exceptional, precautionary, and she mentioned a figure of up to US$2b to offer a magnitude.
  - Characterization of the arrangement: precautionary—member not required to draw but could do so at any time; IMF terms may be less favorable than ESM terms, so Greece might choose to draw or substitute if desired.
- Purpose of IMF involvement:
  - Principal objective was not to gain additional leverage but to signal IMF support, help articulate a focused macroeconomic policy agenda in the Fund’s own format, and provide breathing space for creditor convergence while avoiding an immediate cash crisis.
  - The IMF’s engagement leverages its expertise in crisis management and macroeconomic program design and is consistent with a catalytic financing role and burden sharing in past crises.

### Debt sustainability, market reaccess, and exit prospects
- The IMF’s conditional stance:
  - The IMF maintains it will require a debt relief package sufficient to declare Greek debt sustainable before releasing IMF resources.
  - The Fund will continue to push its long-run assumptions used in debt sustainability assessments.
- On market reaccess and program success:
  - The Senior IMF Official stated: if the IMF did not believe there was a good chance of concluding the program next August with Greece in a sustainable position and ready to return to markets, it would not pursue this route.
  - Targeted end of ESM Program / durable exit objective: August 2018.

### Political dynamics and catalytic effects
- Interaction with Eurogroup and Germany:
  - The IMF notes the debate over debt relief is primarily a political process within the Eurogroup; many members support a rigorous debt relief package.
  - The Senior IMF Official argued that coming onboard with AIP does not change the IMF’s conditions for providing resources and does not remove the IMF’s push for sufficient debt relief.
- Use of deadlines as catalyst:
  - The official expressed skepticism that a hard deadline would necessarily facilitate resolution in this context, contrasting it with the 1980s "chicken and egg" situations where deadlines were catalytic because creditor coordination could only follow IMF approval.
  - The official acknowledged that impending payments (e.g., July payments) have been a motivator for action in recent months.

### Operational and media details
- Contact: IMF Communications Department, MEDIA RELATIONS, Phone: +1 202 623-7100, Email: MEDIA@IMF.org
- Ground rules: The briefing was on the record with attributions to a Senior IMF Official.

*Transcript of a Conference Call with a Senior IMF Official on Greece and AIP, June 22, 2017 — IMF Communications Department*

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## References

- [Argentina and the IMF](http://www.imf.org/external/country/ARG/index.htm)
- [Germany and the IMF](http://www.imf.org/external/country/DEU/index.htm)
- [Greece and the IMF](http://www.imf.org/external/country/GRC/index.htm)
- [Transcripts](https://www.imf.org/en/news/searchnews)
- [PRESS CENTER](http://presscenter.imf.org/)
- [Managing Director told the Euro group this afternoon](https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2017/06/15/pr17225-imf-lagarde-to-propose-approval-in-principle-of-new-stand-by-arrangement-for-greece)
- [approval in principle](https://www.imf.org/en/About/FAQ/approval-in-principle)
- [https://www.imf.org/en/home](https://www.imf.org/en/home)

_Source: https://www.imf.org/en/news/articles/2017/06/22/tr061517-transcript-of-a-conference-call-with-a-senior-imf-official-on-greece-and-aip_
