{
  "title": "2017 Michel Camdessus Central Banking Lecture Series: Managing Director's Opening Remarks",
  "publication": "IMF News, September 18, 2017",
  "sourceUrl": "https://www.imf.org/en/news/articles/2017/09/18/sp091817-michel-camdessus-central-banking-lecture-series-managing-director",
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  "summary": "<p> By Christine Lagarde, IMF Managing Director </p> <p> IMF HQ, Washington, DC </p>",
  "authors": [
    "Christine Lagarde"
  ],
  "publishDate": "2017-09-18",
  "sections": [
    {
      "heading": "Overview",
      "content": "- Title: 2017 Michel Camdessus Central Banking Lecture Series: Managing Director's Opening Remarks\n- By Christine Lagarde, IMF Managing Director\n- Location and date: IMF HQ, Washington, DC, September 18 2017\n- As prepared for delivery\n- Contact listed: Phone: +1 202 623-7100 Email: MEDIA@IMF.org"
    },
    {
      "heading": "Key framing: \"The Hockey Game\"",
      "content": "- Central metaphor: the aftermath of the global financial crisis compared to an Olympic level hockey game.\n- Timing and status:\n  - This is the \"fourth Michel Camdessus Lecture\".\n  - The game is described as \"well into the second period\" with central banks and other institutions \"up in favor\" for now.\n  - Caution that \"the game is not over yet—after all, hockey has three periods!\"\n- Achievements credited to policy responses:\n  - \"the crisis was overcome\"\n  - \"a deflationary spiral avoided\"\n  - \"a broad-based global recovery is underway\"\n  - Referred to as \"A hat trick of sorts.\"\n- Outstanding tasks:\n  - \"The unconventional and extraordinary policy measures taken during the crisis have yet to be unwound.\"\n  - \"Policy and regulatory frameworks need to be further refined.\"\n  - \"Lessons from the crisis need to be learned and remembered.\""
    },
    {
      "heading": "Three uncertainties highlighted",
      "content": "- First uncertainty: basic economic mechanisms\n  - Questions raised:\n    - \"What are the precise mechanisms that have underpinned the recovery and how robust is the current upswing?\"\n    - Why inflation remains subdued—both headline and core—despite very low unemployment in some countries (United States and Japan).\n    - Whether the Phillips curve \"has become flatter?\"\n    - Questions about the level of the equilibrium interest rate in normal times, the so called 'natural rate' — \"has this rate fallen from prior levels? If so, by how much?\"\n    - Policy implications: \"Do they allow for slower increases of interest rates? And at what level of interest rates is the 'normalization' complete?\"\n    - \"To what extent monetary policy should worry about asset prices and financial stability.\"\n- Second uncertainty: national politics and international relations\n  - Example given: \"uncertainty over the modalities and economic impact of Brexit.\"\n  - General question: \"How should policymakers deal with these big question marks?\"\n- Third uncertainty: rapid technological change (fintech and electronic payments)\n  - Questions raised:\n    - \"Will digital currencies compete with fiat money and reduce the effectiveness of traditional monetary transmission?\"\n    - \"How would this impact central banks’ ability to influence employment and inflation?\"\n    - \"How will they safeguard financial stability?\"\n    - \"To what extent should central banks embrace fintech?\""
    },
    {
      "heading": "Characterization of the speaker: \"The Goalie: Mark Carney\"",
      "content": "- Rationale for selecting Mark Carney as speaker/“goalie”:\n  - Attributes sought: \"an able pair of hands, good reflexes, a cool head, and strategic thinking.\"\n  - Mark Carney described as having those qualities.\n- Professional background and accomplishments (as stated):\n  - Former Harvard team goalie (anecdotal), chose not to pursue NHL career.\n  - Governor of the Bank of England; chair of the Financial Stability Board.\n  - Early career: worked as a bank teller while in university; then as an investment banker at Goldman Sachs; later joined the public service team.\n- Central banking record:\n  - As Governor at the Bank of Canada: \"deftly navigated the global financial crisis, including with proactive rate cuts—underpinning a stronger recovery in Canada than in most other advanced economies.\"\n  - As Governor of the Bank of England: \"advanced the macroprudential policy agenda and led a robust monetary policy response after the Brexit referendum.\"\n- Global leadership and regulatory work:\n  - As FSB Chair: \"pushed strongly for an effective Basel III and other regulatory reforms\" and \"get consensus on controversial matters and move the agenda forward.\"\n- Innovation and institutional change:\n  - Credited with changes to the institutional design of the Bank of England \"to make the institution more flexible and responsive to new challenges.\"\n  - Bank intellectual leadership cited on \"fintech and climate change.\"\n- Quotation on strategic foresight:\n  - Wayne Gretzky quote quoted in context: \"A good hockey player plays where the puck is. A great hockey player plays where the puck is going to be.\"\n  - Conclusion: \"Put simply, Mark is a great player.\""
    },
    {
      "heading": "Closing and agenda for the lecture series event",
      "content": "- Speaker invitation and expectations:\n  - Christine Lagarde: \"I am deeply honored, Mark, that you have accepted our invitation to deliver the fourth Michel Camdessus Lecture.\"\n  - Audience expectation: \"All of us here look forward to hearing your thoughts on monetary policy and central banking.\"\n  - Planned follow-up: \"I also look forward to engaging with you in a conversation about the major challenges facing today’s central banks, after your remarks.\"\n- Final line: \"The floor—or should I say, the ice—is yours!\"\n\n2017 Michel Camdessus Central Banking Lecture Series: Managing Director's Opening Remarks — By Christine Lagarde, IMF Managing Director (IMF HQ, Washington, DC, September 18 2017).\n\n---\n\n\n References\n\n- Christine Lagarde\n- Canada and the IMF\n- United States and the IMF\n- Speeches\n- PRESS CENTER\n- https://www.imf.org/en/home\n\nSource: https://www.imf.org/en/news/articles/2017/09/18/sp091817-michel-camdessus-central-banking-lecture-series-managing-director"
    }
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    "Authors: Christine Lagarde",
    "Published: September 18, 2017",
    "Title: 2017 Michel Camdessus Central Banking Lecture Series: Managing Director's Opening Remarks",
    "By Christine Lagarde, IMF Managing Director",
    "Location and date: IMF HQ, Washington, DC, September 18 2017",
    "As prepared for delivery",
    "Contact listed: Phone: +1 202 623-7100 Email: MEDIA@IMF.org",
    "Central metaphor: the aftermath of the global financial crisis compared to an Olympic level hockey game.",
    "Timing and status:",
    "Achievements credited to policy responses:",
    "Outstanding tasks:",
    "First uncertainty: basic economic mechanisms",
    "Second uncertainty: national politics and international relations",
    "Third uncertainty: rapid technological change (fintech and electronic payments)",
    "Rationale for selecting Mark Carney as speaker/“goalie”:",
    "Professional background and accomplishments (as stated):",
    "Central banking record:",
    "Global leadership and regulatory work:",
    "Innovation and institutional change:",
    "Quotation on strategic foresight:",
    "Speaker invitation and expectations:",
    "Final line: \"The floor—or should I say, the ice—is yours!\"",
    "[Christine Lagarde](https://www.imf.org/en/About/senior-officials/Bios/christine-lagarde)",
    "[Canada and the IMF](http://www.imf.org/external/country/CAN/index.htm)",
    "[United States and the IMF](http://www.imf.org/external/country/USA/index.htm)",
    "[Speeches](https://www.imf.org/en/news/searchnews)",
    "[PRESS CENTER](http://presscenter.imf.org/)",
    "[https://www.imf.org/en/home](https://www.imf.org/en/home)"
  ],
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