## Opening Remarks by Christine Lagarde at the 2018 High-Level Caribbean Conference

_IMF News, November 26, 2018_

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## Bibliographic details
- Published: November 26, 2018

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### Context and urgency
- Recent disasters highlighted:
  - a massive earthquake and tsunami in Sulawesi, killing 2,000 people, injuring more, and destroying more than 70,000 homes.
  - Hurricanes Irma and Maria (2017) devastated parts of the Caribbean.
  - Hurricane Michael wreaked havoc on Florida.
- Climate change described as “surely the greatest existential threat of our time,” with the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change indicating the threat is “more grave than we thought.”
- Observations on vulnerability and scale of losses:
  - Caribbean islands are among the top-25 most vulnerable nations.
  - Disaster damage in the Caribbean is six times more than in larger states.
  - Hurricane Katrina generated losses of US$160 billion in 2005—about one percent of GDP.
  - In Dominica in 2017 damages after Hurricane Maria exceeded 200 percent of GDP.
- Framing: “Building resilience to natural disasters and climate change in this region is a necessity, not a luxury.”

### Three pillars for building resilience
- The speech identifies three complementary pillars:
  - Securing structural protection, through resilient infrastructure; adequate land use, zoning rules, and building codes; and early warning systems.
  - Financial protection, through insurance or other risk-sharing mechanisms to reduce the cost of damage done by disasters when they occur.
  - Emergency response, by ensuring rapid access to financing and contingency plans to help with recovery after a disaster.

### Potential gains from resilience investment
- IMF research on ECCU countries estimates that investing in public capital resilient to natural disasters can increase potential GDP by 3-11 percent.

### Barriers to scaling resilience investment
- Domestic constraints:
  - Many countries in the Caribbean have high public debt and limited fiscal space.
  - Cumbersome administrative procedures combined with capacity constraints complicate access to financing from climate funds.
  - Political economy challenges: governments sometimes shy away from long-term strategies that involve significant up-front costs with benefits that come much later.
- International constraints:
  - The lion’s share of funding is for disaster assistance, not financing for adaptation.

### Proposed “Alliance for Resilience Building”
- Core elements:
  - A collective effort to shift focus from post-disaster recovery to longer-term resilience building.
  - An alliance of all stakeholders, domestic and international, to mobilize needed resources based on credible strategies.
  - Countries take the lead: get their fiscal houses in order and develop an umbrella Disaster Resilience Strategy with input and support from the international financial institutions.
  - The strategy should be a well-designed and fully-costed resilience building plan, including for risk transfer, embedded in a sustainable multi-year macro-fiscal framework.
  - Such a strategy aims to generate credibility to entice low-cost and grant financing from development partners, climate funds, and international financial institutions.
- Operational step proposed:
  - Use two pilot countries for which supporting work is already underway, including a Climate Change Policy Assessment (or CCPA), and deliberate on this approach during the conference.

### IMF role and ongoing initiatives
- The IMF positions itself as “a reliable friend and partner” and lists initiatives to support resilience efforts:
  - (i) Helping build capacity and strengthen public financial management, to better manage fiscal resources and address disaster risks. The IMF’s Technical Assistance center in the Caribbean — CARTAC — has played a pivotal role in this effort. “And I want to thank Marie-Claude and her government for Canada’s recent pledge to support the IMF’s capacity development globally, and especially through its support for the Caribbean, including for CARTAC;”
  - (ii) Launched, together with the World Bank, the Climate Change Policy Assessments to assess country preparedness and identify needed reforms;
  - (iii) Working with the World Bank on the technical design of state contingent debt instruments, which could help ease short-term financing burdens on countries hit by natural disasters. “A note summarizing staff’s analysis has been distributed. I am also pleased that draft term sheets from the International Capital Markets Association for various instrument structures are now available for interested sovereigns and investors.”
  - (iv) Increased the annual access limits under our rapid credit facilities for countries hit by disasters.
- The IMF remains open to hearing ideas on what more can be done, including in its lending toolkit.

### Closing message
- A call for concrete proposals and collective action: “For when it comes to natural disasters and climate change, we are all in this together.”

*Opening Remarks by Christine Lagarde at the 2018 High-Level Caribbean Conference*

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## References

- [Christine Lagarde](https://www.imf.org/en/About/senior-officials/Bios/christine-lagarde)
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