## IMF Executive Board Concludes 2019 Article IV Consultation with Fiji

_IMF News, March 20, 2020_

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## Bibliographic details
- Published: March 20, 2020

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### Overview
- Press Release No. 20/91; finalized in January (reported March 20, 2020).
- The IMF Executive Board concluded the Article IV consultation with Fiji, assessing developments through 2019 and providing policy advice for the medium term.
- The impact of COVID-19 on Fiji’s GDP growth was not assessed in this report which was finalized in January.

### Economic performance and outlook
- Growth slowed sharply in 2019; growth is estimated to have reached about 1 percent in 2019.
- Growth drivers in 2019: resilient tourism and remittances.
- Outlook: GDP growth should pick up gradually as the private sector regains dynamism.
- Inflation pressures: subdued.

### Fiscal and external vulnerabilities
- Recent years (2017–18) saw relatively high growth amid rising external and fiscal imbalances; fiscal space is now at risk and external vulnerabilities remain significant.
- Fiscal consolidation priorities:
  - Reduce fiscal imbalances to rebuild buffers for natural disasters and to maintain public debt sustainability.
  - Fiscal consolidation should focus on reining in current spending given limited scope for further revenue mobilization and the need for capital spending to improve climate resilience.
  - A credible medium-term fiscal strategy is needed to place the debt-to-GDP ratio on a downward path.
- External sector: external imbalances expected to narrow as policy support is withdrawn.

### Monetary policy and financial sector
- Directors assessed the stance of monetary policy as appropriate; continued focus should be on maintaining adequate foreign reserves.
- Central bank recommendations:
  - Continue to rely on the automatic stabilizing mechanism of the peg.
  - Avoid financing the government.
  - Strengthen operational independence.
  - Gradually relax remaining exchange restrictions, with technical support from the Fund.
- Financial stability priorities:
  - Safeguard financial stability by upgrading supervision of nonbank financial institutions.
  - Adopt the Credit Union Act.
  - Closely monitor nonperforming loans.
  - Continue strengthening the AML/CFT framework in line with FATF recommendations.

### Structural reforms and inclusiveness
- Directors welcomed authorities’ structural reform initiatives and encouraged:
  - Sustained efforts to improve the business environment and foster private sector investment.
  - Strengthening governance and aligning the investment regime with international best practices.
  - Reforms to labor and product markets to boost female labor force participation and rationalize price controls.
  - Upgrading the disaster risk management framework.
- Tackling the gender gap in labor force participation was highlighted as a priority to boost potential growth and make growth more inclusive.

### Executive Board assessment
- Directors noted the favorable medium-term growth outlook but stressed significant risks: rising fiscal and external imbalances, and natural disasters.
- Emphasis on growth-friendly fiscal consolidation, protecting priority investments and social programs while rationalizing current spending.
- Support for policies to boost potential growth and build resilience to weather-related shocks.

### Key statistics (selected figures)
- Quota: SDR 98.4 million
- GDP per capita (2018): US$6,208
- Nominal GDP (2018): US$5.5 billion
- Real GDP growth:
  - 2015: 4.7
  - 2016: 2.5
  - 2017: 5.4
  - 2018: 3.5
  - 2019: 1.0
  - 2020 Proj.: 1.8
- Consumer prices (average):
  - 2015: 1.4
  - 2016: 3.9
  - 2017: 3.4
  - 2018: 4.1
  - 2019: 1.9
  - 2020 Proj.: 2.0
- Central government budget (percent of GDP):
  - Revenue 2019: 25.4; 2020 Proj.: 25.7
  - Expenditure 2019: 30.3; 2020 Proj.: 30.2
  - Fiscal balance 2019: -4.9; 2020 Proj.: -4.5
  - Public debt 2019: 47.8; 2020 Proj.: 50.3
- Private sector credit:
  - 2017: 13.9
  - 2018: 14.9
  - 2019: 7.0
  - 2020 Proj.: 6.0
- Current account balance (percent of GDP):
  - 2015: -3.5
  - 2016: -3.6
  - 2017: -6.7
  - 2018: -8.5
  - 2019: -7.2
  - 2020 Proj.: -6.9
- Gross official reserves (in millions of U.S. dollars):
  - 2015: 921
  - 2016: 915
  - 2017: 1,103
  - 2018: 940
  - 2019: 1,008
  - 2020 Proj.: 1,038
- GDP at current market prices (in millions of U.S. dollars):
  - 2015: 4,682
  - 2016: 4,930
  - 2017: 5,353
  - 2018: 5,537
  - 2019: 5,526
  - 2020 Proj.: 5,766
- GDP per capita (in U.S. dollars):
  - 2015: 5,386
  - 2016: 5,621
  - 2017: 6,050
  - 2018: 6,223
  - 2019: 6,176
  - 2020 Proj.: 6,409

*Source: IMF Executive Board Concluding Statement on the 2019 Article IV Consultation with Fiji (press release, March 20, 2020).*

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## References

- [https://www.imf.org/-/media/images/imf/bios/imfboard.jpg](https://www.imf.org/-/media/images/imf/bios/imfboard.jpg)
- [The Executive Board](https://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/memdir/eds.aspx)
- [Republic of Fiji and the IMF](http://www.imf.org/external/country/FJI/index.htm)
- [IMF Policy Advice -- A Factsheet](https://www.imf.org/en/about/factsheets/imf-surveillance)
- [Press Releases](https://www.imf.org/en/news/searchnews)
- [PRESS CENTER](http://presscenter.imf.org/)
- [http://www.IMF.org/external/np/sec/misc/qualifiers.htm](http://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/misc/qualifiers.htm)
- [https://www.imf.org/en/home](https://www.imf.org/en/home)

_Source: https://www.imf.org/en/news/articles/2020/03/19/pr2091-fiji-imf-executive-board-concludes-2019-article-iv-consultation_
