{
  "title": "Opening Remarks at Advances in Monetary Economics Conference",
  "publication": "IMF News, July 13, 2020",
  "sourceUrl": "https://www.imf.org/en/news/articles/2020/07/13/sp071320-advances-in-monetary-economics-conference",
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  "summary": "Speaker: Tobias Adrian, Financial Counsellor and Director of the Monetary and Capital Markets Department, IMF.",
  "publishDate": "2020-07-13",
  "sections": [
    {
      "heading": "Context and purpose",
      "content": "- Speaker: Tobias Adrian, Financial Counsellor and Director of the Monetary and Capital Markets Department, IMF.\n- Date: July 13, 2020.\n- Event: Inaugural “Advances in Monetary Economics” conference; followed by the Michel Camdessus lecture to be given tomorrow by Thomas Jordan, the Chairman of the Swiss National Bank.\n- Central theme: Appropriate monetary policy in a “lower-for-longer” interest rate environment, made more urgent by the unprecedented COVID-19 shock."
    },
    {
      "heading": "Challenges identified with lower-for-longer rates and unconventional policy",
      "content": "- Persistent pre-crisis problems:\n  - Low inflation and low equilibrium real rates in advanced economies.\n  - Use of unconventional monetary policies to support growth and inflation once policy rates were constrained by the effective lower bound.\n  - Need to better understand many aspects of these unconventional policies despite a considerable literature on their effectiveness.\n- Unintended consequences and risks:\n  - Search for yield.\n  - Buildup of leverage.\n  - Spillovers to emerging markets, notably through capital inflow surges and the risk of reversals.\n- COVID-19 intensified policy responses and challenges:\n  - Advanced-economy central banks expanded balance sheets unprecedentedly.\n  - The Fed implemented measures including lending to securities firms, backstopping MMFs, and direct lending to banks, major corporate employers, and SMEs.\n  - A number of EM central banks embarked in unconventional policy measures for the first time.\n  - These actions improved market functioning and eased financial conditions, but significant challenges remain ahead."
    },
    {
      "heading": "IMF engagement, capacity building, and agenda",
      "content": "- Strengthening dialogue:\n  - Fund committed to engaging with academia and central banks; launch of the new annual conference accompanies the Camdessus lecture.\n- Enhancing analytical capacity:\n  - Fund has produced extensive work on:\n    - Experience and prospects for unconventional monetary policy.\n    - Effectiveness of negative interest rates.\n    - Medium-term risks to growth and stability due to accommodative conditions and the lower-for-longer interest rate environment.\n    - Monetary policy transmission in emerging market- and developing economies.\n  - A new Monetary Policy Modeling Unit has been formed to allow deeper analysis and strengthen technical dialogue with central banks.\n- Research and policy focus going forward:\n  - Macroeconomic policy mix under lower-for-longer interest rates.\n  - Financial stability risks.\n  - Spillovers.\n  - Potential distributional effects."
    },
    {
      "heading": "Integrated policy framework for emerging markets and open economies",
      "content": "- Objective: Understand complementarities among policy choices without altering the role and objectives of monetary policy.\n- Framework purpose:\n  - Compare costs and benefits of four tools to help stabilize economies exposed to domestic and external shocks:\n    - Monetary policy.\n    - Macroprudential policy.\n    - Exchange rate interventions.\n    - Capital flow measures.\n  - Capture how these tools interact with each other and with country circumstances (the “integrated” aspect).\n- Recent work: Publication last week of three key working papers on this topic."
    },
    {
      "heading": "Conference role and outlook",
      "content": "- Conference purpose: Platform to question conventional wisdom, evolve views and frameworks, and push forward thinking on monetary policy in changing realities.\n- Expectation: Impressive lineup of speakers and papers to advance discussion across the issues highlighted.\n\nSource: Opening Remarks at Advances in Monetary Economics Conference, Tobias Adrian, July 13, 2020.\n\n---\n\n\n References\n\n- Tobias Adrian\n- Jordan and the IMF\n- Speeches\n- PRESS CENTER\n- https://www.imf.org/en/home\n\nSource: https://www.imf.org/en/news/articles/2020/07/13/sp071320-advances-in-monetary-economics-conference"
    }
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    "Published: July 13, 2020",
    "Speaker: Tobias Adrian, Financial Counsellor and Director of the Monetary and Capital Markets Department, IMF.",
    "Date: July 13, 2020.",
    "Event: Inaugural “Advances in Monetary Economics” conference; followed by the Michel Camdessus lecture to be given tomorrow by Thomas Jordan, the Chairman of the Swiss National Bank.",
    "Central theme: Appropriate monetary policy in a “lower-for-longer” interest rate environment, made more urgent by the unprecedented COVID-19 shock.",
    "Persistent pre-crisis problems:",
    "Unintended consequences and risks:",
    "COVID-19 intensified policy responses and challenges:",
    "Strengthening dialogue:",
    "Enhancing analytical capacity:",
    "Research and policy focus going forward:",
    "Objective: Understand complementarities among policy choices without altering the role and objectives of monetary policy.",
    "Framework purpose:",
    "Recent work: Publication last week of three key working papers on this topic.",
    "Conference purpose: Platform to question conventional wisdom, evolve views and frameworks, and push forward thinking on monetary policy in changing realities.",
    "Expectation: Impressive lineup of speakers and papers to advance discussion across the issues highlighted.",
    "[Tobias Adrian](http://www.imf.org/external/np/bio/eng/ta.htm)",
    "[Jordan and the IMF](http://www.imf.org/external/country/JOR/index.htm)",
    "[Speeches](https://www.imf.org/en/news/searchnews)",
    "[PRESS CENTER](http://presscenter.imf.org/)",
    "[https://www.imf.org/en/home](https://www.imf.org/en/home)"
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