{
  "title": "IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva Urges G20 Leadership to Address ‘Exceptionally Uncertain’ Global Outlook",
  "publication": "IMF News, July 16, 2022",
  "sourceUrl": "https://www.imf.org/en/news/articles/2022/07/16/pr22261-md-g20-statement",
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  "summary": "IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva Urges G20 Leadership to Address ‘Exceptionally Uncertain’ Global Outlook",
  "publishDate": "2022-07-16",
  "sections": [
    {
      "heading": "Context and key observations",
      "content": "- Press Release No. 22/261; July 16, 2022; Bali, Indonesia.\n- Speaker: International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva at the hybrid meeting of the G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors.\n- Core assessment: “The outlook has darkened significantly, and uncertainty is exceptionally high. Downside risks about which the IMF had previously warned have now materialized.”\n- Drivers of the worsened outlook:\n  - The war in Ukraine has intensified, exerting added pressures on commodity and food prices.\n  - Global financial conditions are tightening more than previously anticipated.\n  - Continuing pandemic-related disruptions and renewed bottlenecks in global supply chains are weighing on economic activity.\n- Near-term projection action: “As a result, later this month we will project a further downgrade to global growth for both 2022 and 2023 in our World Economic Outlook Update.”"
    },
    {
      "heading": "Immediate economic risks and impacts",
      "content": "- Inflation risk: If inflation is more persistent, downside risks could deepen, “requiring even stronger policy interventions which could potentially impact growth and exacerbate spillovers particularly to emerging and developing countries.”\n- Debt stress:\n  - “More than 30 percent of emerging and developing countries are at or near debt distress.”\n  - “For low-income countries that number is 60 percent.”\n  - “With tightening financial conditions and exchange rate depreciations, the debt service burden is a harsh – and for some countries – unbearable burden.”\n- Capital flows: Emerging and developing countries have experienced sustained capital outflows “for four months in a row,” risking reversal of “three decades of catching up with advanced economies.”\n- Country example: “Look no further than Sri Lanka as a warning sign.”"
    },
    {
      "heading": "Policy priorities recommended by the IMF Managing Director",
      "content": "- Three priority areas to navigate the challenging environment:\n  1. Bring inflation down\n     - Rationale: “Failure to do so could risk the recovery and further damage living standards for vulnerable people.”\n     - Current stance: “Central banks are stepping up. Monetary policy is increasingly synchronized: more than three-quarters of central banks have raised interest rates and have done so 3.8 times.”\n     - Emphasis on: central bank independence, clear communication, and a data-driven approach.\n  2. Use fiscal policy to help, not hinder, inflation control\n     - Fiscal objectives: Reduce debt while providing targeted measures to support vulnerable households facing shocks, especially from high energy or food prices.\n     - Trade-off: Growth slowing means “some people will need more support, not less.”\n  3. Reinvigorate global cooperation\n     - Priority areas: food insecurity and high debt.\n     - Food security actions called for: support those in immediate need, remove export restrictions, promote food production, and invest in climate-resilient agriculture.\n     - Collective initiatives: progress on SDR channeling and operationalizing new IMF instruments."
    },
    {
      "heading": "Institutional and multilateral measures urged",
      "content": "- Common Framework (CF) for debt:\n  - Need for CF to “deliver on its promise.”\n  - Encouragement: “the three creditor committees for Chad, Ethiopia, and Zambia are meeting this week.”\n  - Calls for action: “New rules and timelines should be established for the CF. And it is important to expand coverage to non-DSSI countries.”\n  - Urgency: “I urge the G20 to come together on a way forward and to do so swiftly. The debt situation is deteriorating fast and a well-functioning mechanism for debt resolution should be in place.”\n- Special Drawing Rights (SDRs):\n  - Support for making progress on SDR channeling “to amplify the effect of the IMF’s recent US$650 billion SDR allocation.”\n- Resilience and Sustainability Trust (RST):\n  - Acknowledgement: G20 helped establish the IMF’s newest instrument—the RST—with “close to US$40 billion in pledges.”\n  - Call to action: “Now is the time to turn those pledges into actual contributions for the new Trust to be operational by the Annual Meetings in October.”\n- Poverty Reduction and Growth Trust:\n  - Recognition: G20 members have pledged loan resources of “nearly SDR 8 billion (US$10.5 billion) – about three-quarters of what is needed.”\n  - Expectation: “I am confident that additional pledges will be made soon.”"
    },
    {
      "heading": "Climate and energy transition",
      "content": "- Climate urgency: “We cannot lose sight of the most pressing crisis of all: climate change.”\n- Recommendations:\n  - Scale up financial resources for the climate transition.\n  - Provide clear policy signals from national governments to decarbonize economies.\n  - Leverage easing energy prices as an opportunity to “accelerate carbon pricing or equivalent measures.”"
    },
    {
      "heading": "Closing and IMF engagement",
      "content": "- The IMF will continue to support the G20 on the identified priorities.\n- Forward-looking engagement: “I look forward to our next meeting in October.”\n\nInternational Monetary Fund. Press Release No. 22/261; July 16, 2022.\n\n---\n\n\n References\n\n- https://www.imf.org/en/about/senior-officials/bios/kristalina-georgieva\n- Indonesia and the IMF\n- Sri Lanka and the IMF\n- Special Drawing Rights (SDRs) -- A Factsheet\n- Press Releases\n- PRESS CENTER\n- https://www.imf.org/en/home\n\nSource: https://www.imf.org/en/news/articles/2022/07/16/pr22261-md-g20-statement"
    }
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    "Published: July 16, 2022",
    "Press Release No. 22/261; July 16, 2022; Bali, Indonesia.",
    "Speaker: International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva at the hybrid meeting of the G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors.",
    "Core assessment: “The outlook has darkened significantly, and uncertainty is exceptionally high. Downside risks about which the IMF had previously warned have now materialized.”",
    "Drivers of the worsened outlook:",
    "Near-term projection action: “As a result, later this month we will project a further downgrade to global growth for both 2022 and 2023 in our World Economic Outlook Update.”",
    "Inflation risk: If inflation is more persistent, downside risks could deepen, “requiring even stronger policy interventions which could potentially impact growth and exacerbate spillovers particularly to emerging and developing countries.”",
    "Debt stress:",
    "Capital flows: Emerging and developing countries have experienced sustained capital outflows “for four months in a row,” risking reversal of “three decades of catching up with advanced economies.”",
    "Country example: “Look no further than Sri Lanka as a warning sign.”",
    "Three priority areas to navigate the challenging environment:",
    "Common Framework (CF) for debt:",
    "Special Drawing Rights (SDRs):",
    "Resilience and Sustainability Trust (RST):",
    "Poverty Reduction and Growth Trust:",
    "Climate urgency: “We cannot lose sight of the most pressing crisis of all: climate change.”",
    "Recommendations:",
    "The IMF will continue to support the G20 on the identified priorities.",
    "Forward-looking engagement: “I look forward to our next meeting in October.”",
    "[https://www.imf.org/en/about/senior-officials/bios/kristalina-georgieva](https://www.imf.org/en/about/senior-officials/bios/kristalina-georgieva)",
    "[Indonesia and the IMF](http://www.imf.org/external/country/IDN/index.htm)",
    "[Sri Lanka and the IMF](http://www.imf.org/external/country/LKA/index.htm)",
    "[Special Drawing Rights (SDRs) -- A Factsheet](https://www.imf.org/en/about/factsheets/sheets/2023/special-drawing-rights-sdr)",
    "[Press Releases](https://www.imf.org/en/news/searchnews)",
    "[PRESS CENTER](http://presscenter.imf.org/)",
    "[https://www.imf.org/en/home](https://www.imf.org/en/home)"
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