{
  "title": "IMF Executive Board Completes the Third Review of the Extended Credit Facility Arrangement for Guinea-Bissau and Approves US$8.2 Million Disbursement",
  "publication": "IMF News, November 30, 2023",
  "sourceUrl": "https://www.imf.org/en/news/articles/2023/11/30/pr23412guineabissauthirdreviewecf",
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  "summary": "Guinea Bissau, Third Review, Extended Credit Facility",
  "publishDate": "2023-11-30",
  "sections": [
    {
      "heading": "Executive Board decision and financing actions",
      "content": "- The Executive Board decision allows for an immediate disbursement of about US$8.23 million (SDR6.16 million) to help meet the country’s financing needs.\n- The Executive Board approved an augmentation of access under the Extended Credit Facility arrangement from about US$37.96 (SDR28.4 million) to US$53.14 million (SDR39.76 million or 140 percent of quota).\n- With the third review disbursement, the total amount disbursed under the arrangement is SDR13.27 million (about US$ 17.7 million).\n- The three-year arrangement was approved on January 30, 2023."
    },
    {
      "heading": "Performance under the ECF-supported program and waivers",
      "content": "- Performance under the ECF supported program was weaker than expected for the third review, against a challenging external and domestic context.\n- The Executive Board granted a waiver for nonobservance of performance criteria on:\n  - the floor on domestic tax revenue,\n  - the ceiling on wages,\n  - the floor on the domestic primary fiscal balance,\n  - and the nonobservance of the continuous performance criterion on ceiling on new external arrears.\n- The Executive Board approved the request to modify the end-December 2023 performance criterion on the domestic primary balance.\n- The financing assurances review was completed."
    },
    {
      "heading": "Economic context and projections (2023)",
      "content": "- Growth:\n  - The economy continues to recover in 2023 and growth is projected at 4.2 percent, the same level as in 2022.\n- Inflation:\n  - Inflation is expected to reach 8 percent in 2023, because of soaring food prices.\n- Fiscal balance:\n  - The overall fiscal deficit is projected at 5.6 percent of GDP in 2023, partly reflecting the spending overruns during the legislative elections period.\n- Public debt:\n  - Public debt is projected to decline and reach 76.5 percent of GDP in 2023 because of a lower fiscal deficit, an appreciation of the domestic currency and higher nominal GDP.\n- Drivers of financing need:\n  - Significant deterioration of Guinea-Bissau terms of trade and a tightening of regional financing conditions.\n- Country actions:\n  - The authorities remain committed to strong policies and are taking measures to ensure that end-December 2023 targets are met."
    },
    {
      "heading": "Policy priorities, reforms, and corrective measures",
      "content": "- Fiscal consolidation and revenue:\n  - Improving domestic revenue mobilization and containing wage and non-wage current expenditures will be key to support fiscal consolidation and put public debt on a firm downward trajectory.\n  - The authorities have adopted corrective actions and a draft 2024 budget in line with program parameters.\n  - They are strictly rationalizing non-priority expenditure, mobilizing additional revenue, and tightly controlling the wage bill.\n- Structural reforms and risk mitigation:\n  - The new government is leading structural reforms to mitigate fiscal risks in the energy and financial sectors, as well as in governance and the rule of law.\n  - Implementation of policies to foster agricultural and economic diversification is important.\n- Governance, transparency, and oversight:\n  - Progress continues in strengthening external audits, public procurement, and AML/CFT effectiveness.\n  - The Audit Court has published the audit report of the High Commissioner for COVID-19.\n  - The authorities continue to publish the beneficial ownership information of all public contracts.\n  - A series of legislative reforms are underway to modernize the asset declaration regime and improve the anti-corruption and AML/CFT framework.\n- External support:\n  - The augmentation of access under the ECF, together with increased support from development partners, will help cover the balance of payments needs."
    },
    {
      "heading": "Statement by Mr. Li, Deputy Managing Director and Acting Chair",
      "content": "- Mr. Li noted:\n  - “Guinea-Bissau’s successful completion of the last legislative election and the timely formation of the new government is commendable.”\n  - The country is facing acute economic shocks from disappointing cashew exports, soaring food inflation, and a tightening of regional financing conditions.\n  - “Sustained implementation of the reform agenda under the ECF arrangement will be crucial, and the authorities’ firm commitment to the program objectives is welcome.”\n  - He emphasized that continued efforts in rationalizing non-priority expenditure, mobilizing additional revenue, tightly controlling the wage bill, and sustained fiscal consolidation are needed to ensure debt sustainability.\n  - He highlighted the importance of reforms in energy and financial sectors, governance and the rule of law, and policies to foster agricultural and economic diversification.\n\nPress Release No. 23/412, November 29, 2023\n\n---\n\n\n References\n\n- Guinea and the IMF\n- Guinea-Bissau and the IMF\n- Press Releases\n- PRESS CENTER\n- Extended Credit Facility\n- https://www.imf.org/en/home\n\nSource: https://www.imf.org/en/news/articles/2023/11/30/pr23412guineabissauthirdreviewecf"
    }
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    "Published: November 30, 2023",
    "The Executive Board decision allows for an immediate disbursement of about US$8.23 million (SDR6.16 million) to help meet the country’s financing needs.",
    "The Executive Board approved an augmentation of access under the Extended Credit Facility arrangement from about US$37.96 (SDR28.4 million) to US$53.14 million (SDR39.76 million or 140 percent of quota).",
    "With the third review disbursement, the total amount disbursed under the arrangement is SDR13.27 million (about US$ 17.7 million).",
    "The three-year arrangement was approved on January 30, 2023.",
    "Performance under the ECF supported program was weaker than expected for the third review, against a challenging external and domestic context.",
    "The Executive Board granted a waiver for nonobservance of performance criteria on:",
    "The Executive Board approved the request to modify the end-December 2023 performance criterion on the domestic primary balance.",
    "The financing assurances review was completed.",
    "Growth:",
    "Inflation:",
    "Fiscal balance:",
    "Public debt:",
    "Drivers of financing need:",
    "Country actions:",
    "Fiscal consolidation and revenue:",
    "Structural reforms and risk mitigation:",
    "Governance, transparency, and oversight:",
    "External support:",
    "Mr. Li noted:",
    "[Guinea and the IMF](http://www.imf.org/external/country/GIN/index.htm)",
    "[Guinea-Bissau and the IMF](http://www.imf.org/external/country/GNB/index.htm)",
    "[Press Releases](https://www.imf.org/en/news/searchnews)",
    "[PRESS CENTER](http://presscenter.imf.org/)",
    "[Extended Credit Facility](https://www.imf.org/en/About/Factsheets/Sheets/2023/Extended-Credit-Facility-ECF)",
    "[https://www.imf.org/en/home](https://www.imf.org/en/home)"
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