## IMF Executive Board Completes the Third Review of the Extended Credit Facility Arrangement for Guinea-Bissau and Approves US$8.2 Million Disbursement

_IMF News, November 30, 2023_

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## Bibliographic details
- Published: November 30, 2023

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### Executive Board decision and financing actions
- The Executive Board decision allows for an immediate disbursement of about US$8.23 million (SDR6.16 million) to help meet the country’s financing needs.
- The Executive Board approved an augmentation of access under the Extended Credit Facility arrangement from about US$37.96 (SDR28.4 million) to US$53.14 million (SDR39.76 million or 140 percent of quota).
- With the third review disbursement, the total amount disbursed under the arrangement is SDR13.27 million (about US$ 17.7 million).
- The three-year arrangement was approved on January 30, 2023.

### Performance under the ECF-supported program and waivers
- Performance under the ECF supported program was weaker than expected for the third review, against a challenging external and domestic context.
- The Executive Board granted a waiver for nonobservance of performance criteria on:
  - the floor on domestic tax revenue,
  - the ceiling on wages,
  - the floor on the domestic primary fiscal balance,
  - and the nonobservance of the continuous performance criterion on ceiling on new external arrears.
- The Executive Board approved the request to modify the end-December 2023 performance criterion on the domestic primary balance.
- The financing assurances review was completed.

### Economic context and projections (2023)
- Growth:
  - The economy continues to recover in 2023 and growth is projected at 4.2 percent, the same level as in 2022.
- Inflation:
  - Inflation is expected to reach 8 percent in 2023, because of soaring food prices.
- Fiscal balance:
  - The overall fiscal deficit is projected at 5.6 percent of GDP in 2023, partly reflecting the spending overruns during the legislative elections period.
- Public debt:
  - Public debt is projected to decline and reach 76.5 percent of GDP in 2023 because of a lower fiscal deficit, an appreciation of the domestic currency and higher nominal GDP.
- Drivers of financing need:
  - Significant deterioration of Guinea-Bissau terms of trade and a tightening of regional financing conditions.
- Country actions:
  - The authorities remain committed to strong policies and are taking measures to ensure that end-December 2023 targets are met.

### Policy priorities, reforms, and corrective measures
- Fiscal consolidation and revenue:
  - Improving domestic revenue mobilization and containing wage and non-wage current expenditures will be key to support fiscal consolidation and put public debt on a firm downward trajectory.
  - The authorities have adopted corrective actions and a draft 2024 budget in line with program parameters.
  - They are strictly rationalizing non-priority expenditure, mobilizing additional revenue, and tightly controlling the wage bill.
- Structural reforms and risk mitigation:
  - The new government is leading structural reforms to mitigate fiscal risks in the energy and financial sectors, as well as in governance and the rule of law.
  - Implementation of policies to foster agricultural and economic diversification is important.
- Governance, transparency, and oversight:
  - Progress continues in strengthening external audits, public procurement, and AML/CFT effectiveness.
  - The Audit Court has published the audit report of the High Commissioner for COVID-19.
  - The authorities continue to publish the beneficial ownership information of all public contracts.
  - A series of legislative reforms are underway to modernize the asset declaration regime and improve the anti-corruption and AML/CFT framework.
- External support:
  - The augmentation of access under the ECF, together with increased support from development partners, will help cover the balance of payments needs.

### Statement by Mr. Li, Deputy Managing Director and Acting Chair
- Mr. Li noted:
  - “Guinea-Bissau’s successful completion of the last legislative election and the timely formation of the new government is commendable.”
  - The country is facing acute economic shocks from disappointing cashew exports, soaring food inflation, and a tightening of regional financing conditions.
  - “Sustained implementation of the reform agenda under the ECF arrangement will be crucial, and the authorities’ firm commitment to the program objectives is welcome.”
  - He emphasized that continued efforts in rationalizing non-priority expenditure, mobilizing additional revenue, tightly controlling the wage bill, and sustained fiscal consolidation are needed to ensure debt sustainability.
  - He highlighted the importance of reforms in energy and financial sectors, governance and the rule of law, and policies to foster agricultural and economic diversification.

*Press Release No. 23/412, November 29, 2023*

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## References

- [Guinea and the IMF](http://www.imf.org/external/country/GIN/index.htm)
- [Guinea-Bissau and the IMF](http://www.imf.org/external/country/GNB/index.htm)
- [Press Releases](https://www.imf.org/en/news/searchnews)
- [PRESS CENTER](http://presscenter.imf.org/)
- [Extended Credit Facility](https://www.imf.org/en/About/Factsheets/Sheets/2023/Extended-Credit-Facility-ECF)
- [https://www.imf.org/en/home](https://www.imf.org/en/home)

_Source: https://www.imf.org/en/news/articles/2023/11/30/pr23412guineabissauthirdreviewecf_
