## IMF Executive Board Completes the Fifth Review Under the Extended Credit Facility Arrangement with the Democratic Republic of the Congo

_IMF News, December 14, 2023_

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## Bibliographic details
- Published: December 14, 2023

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### Review outcome and financing
- The Executive Board completed the fifth review under the Extended Credit Facility (ECF) arrangement with the Democratic Republic of Congo.
- Immediate disbursement: US$ 202.1 million towards international reserves, to continue building buffers.
- Equivalent disbursement amount: SDR152.3 million (about US$ 202.1 million).
- Aggregate disbursement to date: SDR913.8 million (about US$ 1219.1 million).
- Press Release No. 23/453.

### Macroeconomic performance and risks
- Real GDP projected at 6.2 percent in 2023, with the extractive sector supporting resilience despite negative terms of trade shocks.
- Inflation: surged to 23.3 percent year-on-year in July 2023, before declining moderately following policy actions from the Central Bank of the Congo (BCC).
- Current account: remains elevated due to deteriorated terms of trade and higher-than-anticipated imports.
- Reserve accumulation slowed due to a shortfall in dollar-denominated mining tax revenues and the BCC’s interventions amid exchange rate depreciation pressures.
- Socio-political/security context: increasingly challenging, reflecting the upcoming December 20, 2023 general elections and ongoing conflict in Eastern DRC.
- Downside risks highlighted: continued fighting, potential discontents on the electoral process, and adverse terms-of-trade shocks.

### Fiscal position and public financial management
- 2023 domestic fiscal deficit projected at 0.8 percent of GDP.
- Limited fiscal space due to revenue underperformance; spending reprioritized towards security and elections at the expense of arrears payments.
- Fiscal policy priorities:
  - Continued revenue mobilization.
  - Contained spending, including through the phasing out of fuel subsidies.
  - Improved spending efficiency, governance, and transparency.
  - Reforms to strengthen fiscal governance and transparency, enhance budget credibility, and limit the usage of emergency procedures and cash management slippages.
  - Progress in public financial and investment management reforms to support fiscal policy.

### Monetary policy, reserves, and financial stability
- Authorities: Central Bank of the Congo (BCC) actions helped moderate inflation after the July 2023 surge.
- Issues and recommendations:
  - Depreciation and inflationary pressures persist; strengthening monetary policy implementation is warranted.
  - Strengthen the implementation framework of monetary policy to achieve price stability and enhance the attractiveness of the Congolese franc.
  - Continue efforts to accumulate reserves while safeguarding the exchange rate’s role as a shock absorber.
  - Strengthen governance and safeguards of the BCC and ensure its adequate capitalization.
  - Implement the new banking law and the remaining FSSR recommendations to promote financial stability.

### Program performance and structural reforms
- Performance under the ECF arrangement described as broadly satisfactory.
- Quantitative performance criteria (end-June 2023):
  - All but one were met.
  - The PC on domestic fiscal balance was missed due to central government revenue shortfall and insufficient expenditure adjustments.
  - Continuous PC on introduction of new multiple currency practices was missed.
- Indicative targets (end-June 2023):
  - All met except two: the floor on social spending and the floor on central government revenues.
- Structural benchmarks (nine total):
  - Six were met.
  - Two were implemented with delays.
  - One (central bank recapitalization) was partially met and rescheduled.

### Policy recommendations and reform priorities (from Mr. Kenji Okamura, Deputy Managing Director, Acting Chair)
- Contain macroeconomic slippages through prudent fiscal policies, curbing non-essential spending, and improving spending efficiency, governance, and transparency.
- Strengthen monetary policy implementation and readiness of the central bank to tighten policy where appropriate.
- Accumulate reserves and safeguard exchange rate flexibility to build external resilience.
- Strengthen governance, safeguards, and capitalization of the BCC.
- Implement the new banking law and remaining FSSR recommendations to promote financial stability.
- Advance reforms to improve governance and transparency, including in mining; strengthen anti-corruption and AML/CFT frameworks; enhance the business environment; and build climate resilience to support private sector development and diversified, sustainable, and inclusive growth.

### Selected economic and financial indicators (as presented)
- Real GDP:
  - 2022: 8.8
  - 2023: 6.8
  - 2024: 6.2
  - 2025: 4.7
- Extractive GDP:
  - 2022: 22.2
  - 2023: 11.7
  - 2024: 9.1
  - 2025: 4.3
- Non-extractive GDP:
  - 2022: 3.1
  - 2023: 4.9
  - 2024: 5.0
  - 2025: 6.1
- GDP deflator:
  - 2022: 11.4
  - 2023: 16.7
  - 2024: 6.6
  - 2025: 13.0
- Consumer prices, period average:
  - 2022: 9.3
  - 2023: 14.8
  - 2024: 19.4
  - 2025: 7.1
- Consumer prices, end of period:
  - 2022: 13.1
  - 2023: 11.5
  - 2024: 20.8
  - 2025: 11.6
- Money and credit (annual change in percent of beginning-of-period broad money):
  - Net foreign assets: 2022: -7.0; 2023: 22.9; 2024: 29.8; 2025: 8.9
  - Net domestic assets: 2022: 10.4; 2023: -6.0; 2024: 2.4; 2025: 4.2
  - Domestic credit: 2022: 12.4; 2023: 28.5; 2024: 12.6; 2025: 7.8
  - Broad money: 2022: 3.5; 2023: 16.9; 2024: 32.3; 2025: 20.7
- Central government finance (percent of GDP):
  - Revenue and grants: 2022: 14.3; 2023: 16.5; 2024: 14.9; 2025: 16.8
  - Expenditures: 2022: 17.5; 2023: 16.1; 2024: 15.9; 2025: 17.6
  - Domestic fiscal balance: 2022: -1.2; 2023: -0.5; 2024: -0.8; 2025: -0.2
- Investment and saving:
  - Gross national saving: 2022: 4.6; 2023: 5.1; 2024: 7.9; 2025: 12.0
  - Investment: 2022: 11.8; 2023: 10.1; 2024: 10.8
- Balance of payments:
  - Exports of goods and services: 2022: 42.1; 2023: 42.8; 2024: 42.5; 2025: 41.1
  - Imports of goods and services: 2022: 46.9; 2023: 48.2; 2024: 48.0; 2025: 45.6
  - Current account balance, incl. transfer: 2022: -5.0; 2023: -5.5; 2024: -5.3; 2025: -3.9
  - Current account balance, excl. transfers: 2022: -6.1; 2023: -6.3; 2024: -5.4; 2025: -4.2
- Gross official reserves (weeks of imports):
  - 2022: 8.3; 2023: 9.6; 2024: 10.2; 2025: 11.2
- Debt service in percent of government revenue:
  - 2022: 7.4; 2023: 7.3

*Press Release No. 23/453, December 14, 2023.*

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## References

- [https://www.imf.org/-/media/images/imf/bios/imfboard.jpg](https://www.imf.org/-/media/images/imf/bios/imfboard.jpg)
- [The Executive Board](https://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/memdir/eds.aspx)
- [Democratic Republic of the Congo and the IMF](http://www.imf.org/external/country/COD/index.htm)
- [Press Releases](https://www.imf.org/en/news/searchnews)
- [PRESS CENTER](http://presscenter.imf.org/)
- [see
PR 21/217](https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2021/07/15/pr21217-drc-imf-executive-board-approves-us-1-52b-ecf-arrangement)
- [https://www.imf.org/en/home](https://www.imf.org/en/home)

_Source: https://www.imf.org/en/news/articles/2023/12/14/pr23453-drc-imf-exec-board-completes-5th-rev-ecf-arr_
