{
  "title": "Ghana: Transforming a Crisis into a Journey Toward Prosperity",
  "publication": "IMF News, January 29, 2024",
  "sourceUrl": "https://www.imf.org/en/news/articles/2024/01/29/cf-ghana-transforming-a-crisis-into-a-journey-toward-prosperity",
  "canonical": "https://www.imf.org/en/news/articles/2024/01/29/cf-ghana-transforming-a-crisis-into-a-journey-toward-prosperity",
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  "summary": "Ghana is making important inroads to stabilize its economy, and continued program implementation beckons a brighter future.",
  "authors": [
    "Leandro Medina January"
  ],
  "publishDate": "2024-01-29",
  "sections": [
    {
      "heading": "Crisis background and triggers",
      "content": "- Ghana requested an IMF-supported program in July 2022 amid an economic and financial crisis.\n- Preexisting vulnerabilities and external shocks included the COVID-19 pandemic, Russia’s war in Ukraine, and global monetary policy tightening.\n- Consequences included:\n  - Loss of international market access.\n  - Increased pressures on domestic financing and monetary financing by the central bank.\n  - Declining international reserves, currency depreciation, and accelerating inflation."
    },
    {
      "heading": "Program approval and objectives",
      "content": "- IMF Board approved the program in May 2023.\n- Program aims:\n  - Restore macroeconomic stability.\n  - Secure debt sustainability.\n  - Lay foundations for higher and more inclusive growth."
    },
    {
      "heading": "Policy and reform commitment under the program",
      "content": "- Fiscal measures:\n  - Budgets for 2023 and 2024 emphasize fiscal consolidation and sound public finances.\n  - Fiscal efforts are central to ensuring long-term debt sustainability.\n- Structural reforms:\n  - Enhance domestic resource mobilization.\n  - Strengthen public financial management.\n  - Create a business environment that better fosters private sector development.\n- Monetary and financial sector policies:\n  - Bank of Ghana increased interest rates and eliminated monetary financing of the budget.\n  - Inflation declined to 23 percent in December 2023 from a record high of 54 percent in December 2022.\n  - Bank of Ghana aims to maintain policies to bring inflation down to levels consistent with their inflation targeting framework.\n  - Authorities designed a plan to ensure financial sector stability.\n- Debt operations:\n  - Government launched a comprehensive debt restructuring operation in December 2022 that includes:\n    - A concluded domestic debt voluntary exchange.\n    - Two external debt operations: one with official bilateral creditors and the other with commercial creditors.\n  - Under the G20’s Common Framework, authorities reached agreement in principle with official creditors on a debt treatment consistent with program parameters.\n  - Authorities are engaging external commercial creditors to seek their support."
    },
    {
      "heading": "Early signs of stabilization and performance",
      "content": "- Performance under the program described as compelling, with the economy “turning the corner.”\n- Growth in 2023 showed resilience despite a difficult global environment.\n- Key macro developments:\n  - Inflation declined from 54 percent in December 2022 to 23 percent in December 2023.\n  - Currency recovered from a sharp depreciation of 45 percent vis-à-vis the US dollar at end-2022 and has been less volatile.\n  - International reserves increasing.\n- Success factors cited:\n  - Aligning the budget with the program.\n  - Meeting program targets, especially net international reserve accumulation and primary fiscal balance.\n  - Carrying out key structural reforms in the financial and energy sectors."
    },
    {
      "heading": "Social dimension and protection of the vulnerable",
      "content": "- Authorities focused on expanding effective social protection programs while implementing reforms.\n- Social policy measures and outcomes:\n  - Targeted cash transfer program (Living Empowerment Against Poverty):\n    - Benefits doubled in 2023.\n    - Benefits expected to be doubled again in 2024.\n    - Benefit coverage increasing from about 6 percent to 12 percent (of household pre-transfer consumption).\n    - Expected to significantly reduce poverty and inequality.\n  - Education:\n    - Allocations to the Ghana School Feeding Program and the Capitation Grant received a boost.\n  - Health:\n    - Allocation to the National Health Insurance Authority expanded by over 40 percent to cover medical claims, essential medicines, and vaccines for the most vulnerable.\n- These interventions are regularly monitored under the IMF-supported program."
    },
    {
      "heading": "Path forward and risks",
      "content": "- Key priorities:\n  - Lock in gains and continue steadfast implementation of the program.\n  - Complete fiscal consolidation and debt restructuring operations to put public debt on a sustainable trajectory.\n  - Continue reforms to foster recovery and bring economic growth back to long-term potential.\n  - Continue policies to drive inflation lower toward the inflation targeting framework.\n- Risks and challenges:\n  - Potential external shocks.\n  - Political environment in the run-up to the 2024 Presidential and parliamentary elections.\n- Outlook conditional on sustained implementation:\n  - If authorities continue to implement the package of policies and reforms with current commitment, sustained implementation of the program promises to bring a brighter future to all Ghanaians.\n\nBy Leandro Medina, January 29, 2024 — IMF News\n\n---\n\n\n References\n\n- GHANA AND THE IMF\n- REGIONAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK\n- EASING DEBT PRESSURES IN LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES\n- https://www.imf.org/en/News/country-focus\n- approved by the IMF Board\n- reached agreement in principle with their official creditors\n- https://www.imf.org/en/home\n\nSource: https://www.imf.org/en/news/articles/2024/01/29/cf-ghana-transforming-a-crisis-into-a-journey-toward-prosperity"
    }
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    "Authors: Leandro Medina January",
    "Published: January 29, 2024",
    "Ghana requested an IMF-supported program in July 2022 amid an economic and financial crisis.",
    "Preexisting vulnerabilities and external shocks included the COVID-19 pandemic, Russia’s war in Ukraine, and global monetary policy tightening.",
    "Consequences included:",
    "IMF Board approved the program in May 2023.",
    "Program aims:",
    "Fiscal measures:",
    "Structural reforms:",
    "Monetary and financial sector policies:",
    "Debt operations:",
    "Performance under the program described as compelling, with the economy “turning the corner.”",
    "Growth in 2023 showed resilience despite a difficult global environment.",
    "Key macro developments:",
    "Success factors cited:",
    "Authorities focused on expanding effective social protection programs while implementing reforms.",
    "Social policy measures and outcomes:",
    "These interventions are regularly monitored under the IMF-supported program.",
    "Key priorities:",
    "Risks and challenges:",
    "Outlook conditional on sustained implementation:",
    "[GHANA AND THE IMF](https://www.imf.org/en/Countries/GHA)",
    "[REGIONAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK](https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/REO/SSA/Issues/2023/10/16/regional-economic-outlook-for-sub-saharan-africa-october-2023)",
    "[EASING DEBT PRESSURES IN LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES](https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2024/01/24/how-to-ease-rising-external-debt-service-pressures-in-low-income-countries)",
    "[https://www.imf.org/en/News/country-focus](https://www.imf.org/en/News/country-focus)",
    "[approved by the IMF Board](https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2023/05/17/pr23151-ghana-imf-executive-board-approves-extended-credit-facility-arrangement-for-ghana)",
    "[reached agreement in principle with their official creditors](https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2024/01/12/pr2408-ghana-imf-md-kristalina-georgieva-debt-treatment-agreement-official-creditors-g20-com-frmwrk)",
    "[https://www.imf.org/en/home](https://www.imf.org/en/home)"
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