## Making Chile’s Economy More Dynamic, Greener, and Inclusive

_IMF News, February 15, 2024_

## Source details

**Canonical URL:** [Making Chile’s Economy More Dynamic, Greener, and Inclusive](https://www.imf.org/en/news/articles/2024/02/15/cf-making-chiles-economy-more-dynamic-greener-and-inclusive)

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## Bibliographic details
- Authors: Luiza Antoun
- Published: February 15, 2024

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### Overview
- Chile has successfully brought down high inflation and reduced the large current account deficit that emerged during the pandemic.
- Increases in social benefits have provided some relief in response to discontent over inequality.
- Investment and growth remain tepid and social gaps remain high.
- Chile is the world’s largest copper producer, second largest lithium producer, and richly endowed with solar and wind resources.

### Boosting economic activity
- Electricity generated from solar and wind increased from 1 to 23 percent of total electricity supply during 2010–22.
- Replacing coal with renewable energy, along the lines of the authorities’ plans to decommission coal-fired power plants by 2040, could boost economic activity by at least 1 percent over the long term.
- Such a shift in the energy mix would imply a nearly 30 percent cost reduction in electricity generation, in addition to benefits from lower carbon emissions and air pollution.
- A shift in the energy mix would significantly strengthen the economy’s resilience against future coal and fuel price shocks.
- Development of the green hydrogen industry could offer additional growth prospects, conditional on further reductions in the production and transportation costs.
- The geographic mismatch between power generation and consumption is a main bottleneck: areas rich in solar and wind in the northern and southern parts of Chile are more than 1,000 miles away from its economic hub in the central area.
- Upgrading the transmission network, including through the new Kimal-Lo Aguirre transmission line set to become operational in 2029, could help resolve this bottleneck.

### New opportunities
- Greater use of lithium for energy storage in batteries presents an opportunity for Chile to play a role in global efforts to reduce carbon emissions.
- Higher global demand for lithium offers prospects to expand Chile’s lithium production and related industries along the value chain, while balancing social and environmental objectives.
- Lithium has become an important source of exports and fiscal revenue for Chile in recent years when the lithium price surged.
- The country is planning to expand its lithium production through public-private partnerships.
- Providing a clear institutional framework for investors that can be swiftly implemented as global demand ramps up will be an important factor to further develop the industry.

### More investment needed
- Chile’s economy is projected to resume growth in 2024, but its average real economic growth rate has been declining for many years alongside negative productivity growth.
- Strengthening investment is critical to sustainably raise and diversify economic activity.
- Investment approvals have become more complicated, uncertain, and lengthier over the years, reflecting more complex safeguards for the environment, health, safety, social concerns, and a larger number of stakeholders.
- The government’s ongoing efforts to streamline and improve coordination of permitting processes, while maintaining high environmental standards, could contribute to lifting much-needed investment and bring meaningful growth dividends.

### Key policy implications and priorities
- Advance the planned decommissioning of coal-fired power plants by 2040 and accelerate the replacement of coal with renewable energy to realize at least 1 percent long-term economic gains and a nearly 30 percent reduction in electricity generation costs.
- Invest in transmission upgrades (including the Kimal-Lo Aguirre line becoming operational in 2029) to address the more-than-1,000 miles geographic mismatch between generation and consumption centers.
- Support cost reductions in green hydrogen production and transportation to unlock additional growth prospects.
- Develop a clear, implementable institutional framework for lithium investment and expansion, prioritizing public-private partnerships while balancing social and environmental objectives.
- Streamline permitting and coordination processes to reduce delays and uncertainty for investment, while upholding high environmental, health, safety, and social standards.

*IMF News — February 15, 2024. Authors: Luiza Antoun de Almeida, Si Guo, and Andrea Schaechter.*

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## References

- [https://www.imf.org/en/News/country-focus](https://www.imf.org/en/News/country-focus)
- [Our estimates](https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/CR/Issues/2024/02/06/Chile-Selected-Issues-544442)
- [https://www.imf.org/en/home](https://www.imf.org/en/home)

_Source: https://www.imf.org/en/news/articles/2024/02/15/cf-making-chiles-economy-more-dynamic-greener-and-inclusive_
