## Fiscal Monitor, October 2021

_Fiscal Monitor, October 2021_

## Source details

**Canonical URL:** [Fiscal Monitor, October 2021](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/fm/issues/2021/10/13/fiscal-monitor-october-2021)

## Other formats

- [Markdown version](/en/publications/fm/issues/2021/10/13/fiscal-monitor-october-2021/index.md)
- [Structured JSON version](/en/publications/fm/issues/2021/10/13/fiscal-monitor-october-2021/index.json)
- [Bundle manifest](/en/publications/fm/issues/2021/10/13/fiscal-monitor-october-2021/bundle-manifest.json)

## Bibliographic details
- Published: October 7, 2021

---

### Chapter 1 — Policy in an Uncertain Recovery
- Fiscal policy should remain nimble and strengthen its medium-term frameworks as countries face highly uncertain and differentiated prospects.
- Vaccination has saved lives and is helping fuel a nascent recovery, but risks are elevated amidst new virus variants, high debt, and poverty.
- In advanced economies, the shift in fiscal support toward medium-term packages to “build back better” will have overall positive effects globally.
- Emerging markets and low-income developing countries face a more challenging outlook, with permanent economic scarring and revenue losses.
- These countries need international support to increase vaccine availability and financing to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals.

### Chapter 2 — Strengthening the Credibility of Public Finances
- Many countries still need fiscal support to protect lives and livelihoods while facing questions on elevated debt and gross financing needs.
- Guidance for balancing near-term support with signaling long-run debt sustainability:
  - Avoid withdrawing fiscal support too early while signaling credible long-term adjustment.
  - Commit to future deficit reduction through several instruments:
    - Undertaking structural fiscal reforms (such as pension reform or subsidies reform).
    - Pre-legislating changes to taxes or spending.
    - Committing to fiscal rules that lead to deficit reduction in the future.
- Evidence and outcomes highlighted:
  - Countries that follow debt rules manage to reduce debt faster than other countries.
  - Fiscal rules should provide enough flexibility to spend in times of need.
  - Governments that commit to sound public finances and achieve high levels of fiscal transparency reap meaningful benefits:
    - Their budgets are more credible.
    - Their announcements are better perceived by the media.
    - They pay lower interest rates on their debt.

### Additional content and resources on the page
- Full Report
- Executive Summary
- Foreword
- FUll Report DATA
- Methodological and Statistical Appendix
- Chapter 1: Policy in an Uncertain Recovery
- october 2021 database
- Read the blog
- Online Annexes
- press conference
- Chapter 2: Strengthening the Credibility of Public Finances
- Watch the Video
- blog

*Source: Fiscal Monitor, October 2021*

---

## Content in this bundle

- **Chapter 2**
  - [Chapter 2 (Markdown version)](/-/media/files/publications/fiscal-monitor/2021/october/english/ch2.pdf.md){rel="alternate" type="text/markdown"}
  - [Chapter 2 (PDF)](/-/media/files/publications/fiscal-monitor/2021/october/english/ch2.pdf){rel="external" type="application/pdf"}
- **Executive Summary**
  - [Executive Summary (Markdown version)](/-/media/files/publications/fiscal-monitor/2021/october/english/execsum.pdf.md){rel="alternate" type="text/markdown"}
  - [Executive Summary (PDF)](/-/media/files/publications/fiscal-monitor/2021/october/english/execsum.pdf){rel="external" type="application/pdf"}
- **Dataset overview**
  - [Dataset overview (Markdown version)](/-/media/files/publications/fiscal-monitor/2021/october/english/fiscalmonitorfullreportfigures-oct2021.xlsx.md){rel="alternate" type="text/markdown"}
  - [Dataset overview (XLSX)](/-/media/files/publications/fiscal-monitor/2021/october/english/fiscalmonitorfullreportfigures-oct2021.xlsx){rel="external" type="application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.spreadsheetml.sheet"}
- **CHAPTER 2 Strengthening the Credibility of Public Finances**
  - [CHAPTER 2 Strengthening the Credibility of Public Finances (Markdown version)](/-/media/files/publications/fiscal-monitor/2021/october/english/fm-chapter-2-online-only-annexes-final.pdf.md){rel="alternate" type="text/markdown"}
  - [CHAPTER 2 Strengthening the Credibility of Public Finances (PDF)](/-/media/files/publications/fiscal-monitor/2021/october/english/fm-chapter-2-online-only-annexes-final.pdf){rel="external" type="application/pdf"}
- **Foreword**
  - [Foreword (Markdown version)](/-/media/files/publications/fiscal-monitor/2021/october/english/foreword.pdf.md){rel="alternate" type="text/markdown"}
  - [Foreword (PDF)](/-/media/files/publications/fiscal-monitor/2021/october/english/foreword.pdf){rel="external" type="application/pdf"}
- **Methodological and Statistical Appendix. IMF Fiscal Monitor, October 2021**
  - [Methodological and Statistical Appendix. IMF Fiscal Monitor, October 2021 (Markdown version)](/-/media/files/publications/fiscal-monitor/2021/october/english/msa.pdf.md){rel="alternate" type="text/markdown"}
  - [Methodological and Statistical Appendix. IMF Fiscal Monitor, October 2021 (PDF)](/-/media/files/publications/fiscal-monitor/2021/october/english/msa.pdf){rel="external" type="application/pdf"}
- **Full Report**
  - [Full Report (Markdown version)](/-/media/files/publications/fiscal-monitor/2021/october/english/text.pdf.md){rel="alternate" type="text/markdown"}
  - [Full Report (PDF)](/-/media/files/publications/fiscal-monitor/2021/october/english/text.pdf){rel="external" type="application/pdf"}
- **Chapter 1: Policy in An Uncertain Recovery**
  - [Chapter 1: Policy in An Uncertain Recovery (Markdown version)](/-/media/files/publications/fiscal-monitor/2021/october/english/updated-october-2021-fiscal-monitor-chapter1-annexes.pdf.md){rel="alternate" type="text/markdown"}
  - [Chapter 1: Policy in An Uncertain Recovery (PDF)](/-/media/files/publications/fiscal-monitor/2021/october/english/updated-october-2021-fiscal-monitor-chapter1-annexes.pdf){rel="external" type="application/pdf"}

---

## References

- [https://blogs.imf.org/2021/10/13/fiscal-policy-for-an-uncertain-world/](https://blogs.imf.org/2021/10/13/fiscal-policy-for-an-uncertain-world/)
- [october 2021 database](https://www.imf.org/en/topics/imf-and-covid19/fiscal-policies-database-in-response-to-covid-19)
- [press conference](https://www.imf.org/en/Videos/view?vid=6276923464001)
- [https://blogs.imf.org/2021/10/07/when-it-comes-to-public-finances-credibility-is-key](https://blogs.imf.org/2021/10/07/when-it-comes-to-public-finances-credibility-is-key)
- [Watch the Video](https://www.imf.org/en/Videos/view?vid=6276002257001)
- [https://www.imf.org/en/home](https://www.imf.org/en/home)

_Source: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/fm/issues/2021/10/13/fiscal-monitor-october-2021_
