{ "title": "Regional Economic Outlook: Asia and Pacific, April 2010: Leading the Global Recovery: Rebalancing for the Medium Term", "publication": "Asia and Pacific, April 29, 2010", "sourceUrl": "https://www.imf.org/en/publications/reo/apac/issues/2017/01/07/regional-economic-outlook-asia-and-pacific1", "canonical": "https://www.imf.org/en/publications/reo/apac/issues/2017/01/07/regional-economic-outlook-asia-and-pacific1", "overlayPath": "/en/publications/reo/apac/issues/2017/01/07/regional-economic-outlook-asia-and-pacific1/index.md", "summary": "One year after the deepest recession in recent history, Asia is leading the global recovery.", "publishDate": "2010-04-29", "series": "Asia and Pacific", "sections": [ { "heading": "Executive Summary and Near-Term Findings", "content": "- One year after the deepest recession in recent history, Asia is leading the global recovery.\n- As in many emerging and developing markets, Asia rebounded swiftly during 2009 and in the first quarter of 2010.\n- In the near term, the region is expected to continue leading the global recovery.\n- The global crisis has highlighted the importance for Asia of ensuring that private domestic demand becomes a more prominent engine of growth in the medium term." }, { "heading": "Major Themes Covered (Section A: Asia and Pacific: Leading the Global Recovery)", "content": "- Recent Developments and Main Themes\n - Overview\n - Recent Developments\n - Asia, the Inventory Cycle, and the Role of China\n - Transitioning from Public to Private Domestic Demand?\n - Are Large Capital Flows Threatening Financial Stability?\n- Projections, Risks, and Policy Challenges\n - Projections for 2010–11\n - Risks to the Outlook\n - Policy Challenges" }, { "heading": "Major Themes Covered (Section B: Asia and Pacific: Rebalancing for the Medium Term)", "content": "- Does Asia Need Rebalancing?\n - Introduction\n - Assessing Asia’s Export Dependence\n - What Does Rebalancing Mean for Asian Economies?\n - Are There Any Supply-Side Imbalances?\n - Impact of Rebalancing: Illustrative Model Simulations\n - Conclusions\n- Technical Appendix 3.1" }, { "heading": "Annexes, Country and Regional Focus", "content": "- ANNEX––Low-Income Countries and Pacific Islands Countries\n - A1 Asian Low-Income Countries: Recovery Prospects and Policy Challenges\n - A2 Impact of the Global Crisis on the Pacific Island Countries\n - A3 Restoring Macroeconomic Sustainability in Maldives" }, { "heading": "Analytical Tools, Boxes, and Empirical Focus", "content": "- Boxes highlight topical analyses including:\n - Recent Exchange-Rate Developments in Asia\n - What is the Outlook for Japan’s Domestic Demand?\n - China: An Extraordinary Investment Response in 2009\n - Lessons from Past Episodes of Large Capital Inflows in Asia\n - Assessing Monetary Policy Stances in Asia\n - Boosting Consumption in China: Is Public Spending on Health the Right Medicine?\n - Consumption and Financial Development in Asia\n - Rebalancing Growth in Asia: What Role for Investment?\n - The Asia GIMF Model and Policy Assumptions\n- Extensive tables and figures covering growth, demand composition, fiscal impulse, capital flows, financial conditions, labor markets, prices, sector shares, and model-based simulations." }, { "heading": "Policy Implications and Recommendations (as framed by the report)", "content": "- Near-term: support the recovery while monitoring financial-stability risks associated with large capital flows and excess liquidity.\n- Medium-term: shift growth composition toward stronger private domestic demand to reduce export dependence and enhance resilience to external shocks.\n- Structural policies to address supply-side imbalances and to facilitate rebalancing, informed by model simulations and country-specific diagnostics.\n\nRegional Economic Outlook: Asia and Pacific, April 2010: Leading the Global Recovery: Rebalancing for the Medium Term\n\n---\n\n Content in this bundle\n\n- Areo0410exkpdf 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(PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Fig322pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Fig32pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Fig33pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Fig34pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Fig35pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Fig36pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Fig37pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Fig38pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Fig39pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Figbox11pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Figbox12pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Figbox13pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Figbox14pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Figbox21pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Figbox31pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Figbox32pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Figbox33pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Figboxa1pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Figboxa2pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Figboxa3pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Table21pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Table22pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n\n---\n\n References\n\n- Press Release: IMF’s Regional Outlook Shows Asia Leading Global Recovery\n- Regional Economic Outlooks\n- World Economic Outlook\n- https://www.imf.org/en/home\n\nSource: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/reo/apac/issues/2017/01/07/regional-economic-outlook-asia-and-pacific1" } ], "bullets": [ "[Markdown version](/en/publications/reo/apac/issues/2017/01/07/regional-economic-outlook-asia-and-pacific1/index.md)", "[Structured JSON version](/en/publications/reo/apac/issues/2017/01/07/regional-economic-outlook-asia-and-pacific1/index.json)", "[Bundle manifest](/en/publications/reo/apac/issues/2017/01/07/regional-economic-outlook-asia-and-pacific1/bundle-manifest.json)", "Published: April 29, 2010", "Series: Asia and Pacific", "One year after the deepest recession in recent history, Asia is leading the global recovery.", "As in many emerging and developing markets, Asia rebounded swiftly during 2009 and in the first quarter of 2010.", "In the near term, the region is expected to continue leading the global recovery.", "The global crisis has highlighted the importance for Asia of ensuring that private domestic demand becomes a more prominent engine of growth in the medium term.", "Recent Developments and Main Themes", "Projections, Risks, and Policy Challenges", "Does Asia Need Rebalancing?", "Technical Appendix 3.1", "ANNEX––Low-Income Countries and Pacific Islands Countries", "Boxes highlight topical analyses including:", "Extensive tables and figures covering growth, demand composition, fiscal impulse, capital flows, financial conditions, labor markets, prices, sector shares, and model-based simulations.", "Near-term: support the recovery while monitoring financial-stability risks associated with large capital flows and excess liquidity.", "Medium-term: shift growth composition toward stronger private domestic demand to reduce export dependence and enhance resilience to external shocks.", "Structural policies to address supply-side imbalances and to facilitate rebalancing, informed by model simulations and country-specific diagnostics.", "[Areo0410exkpdf (PDF)](/en/publications/reo/apac/issues/2017/01/07https:/www.imf.org/-/media/websites/imf/imported-flagship-issues/external/lang/korean/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/_areo0410exkpdf.pdf){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}", "[Areo0410exlpdf 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type=\"application/pdf\"}", "[Figboxa1pdf (PDF)](/-/media/websites/imf/imported-flagship-issues/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/_figboxa1pdf.pdf){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}", "[Figboxa2pdf (PDF)](/-/media/websites/imf/imported-flagship-issues/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/_figboxa2pdf.pdf){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}", "[Figboxa3pdf (PDF)](/-/media/websites/imf/imported-flagship-issues/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/_figboxa3pdf.pdf){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}", "[Table21pdf (PDF)](/-/media/websites/imf/imported-flagship-issues/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/_table21pdf.pdf){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}", "[Table22pdf (PDF)](/-/media/websites/imf/imported-flagship-issues/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/_table22pdf.pdf){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}", "[Press Release: IMF’s Regional Outlook Shows Asia Leading Global 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20", "role": "dataset", "sourceUrl": "http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/APD/eng/data/fig1_20.csv", "binary": { "path": "/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/fig1_20.csv", "mime": "text/csv" } }, { "title": "Fig1 21", "role": "dataset", "sourceUrl": "http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/APD/eng/data/fig1_21.csv", "binary": { "path": "/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/fig1_21.csv", "mime": "text/csv" } }, { "title": "Fig1 22", "role": "dataset", "sourceUrl": "http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/APD/eng/data/fig1_22.csv", "binary": { "path": "/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/fig1_22.csv", "mime": "text/csv" } }, { "title": "Fig1 23", "role": "dataset", "sourceUrl": "http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/APD/eng/data/fig1_23.csv", "binary": { "path": "/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/fig1_23.csv", "mime": "text/csv" } }, { "title": "Fig1 24", "role": "dataset", "sourceUrl": 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32", "role": "dataset", "sourceUrl": "http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/APD/eng/data/fig1_32.csv", "binary": { "path": "/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/fig1_32.csv", "mime": "text/csv" } }, { "title": "Fig1 33", "role": "dataset", "sourceUrl": "http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/APD/eng/data/fig1_33.csv", "binary": { "path": "/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/fig1_33.csv", "mime": "text/csv" } }, { "title": "Fig1 34", "role": "dataset", "sourceUrl": "http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/APD/eng/data/fig1_34.csv", "binary": { "path": "/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/fig1_34.csv", "mime": "text/csv" } }, { "title": "Fig1 35", "role": "dataset", "sourceUrl": "http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/APD/eng/data/fig1_35.csv", "binary": { "path": "/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/fig1_35.csv", "mime": "text/csv" } }, { "title": "Fig1 36", "role": "dataset", "sourceUrl": 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"binary": { "path": "/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/fig2_12.csv", "mime": "text/csv" } }, { "title": "Fig2 13", "role": "dataset", "sourceUrl": "http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/APD/eng/data/fig2_13.csv", "binary": { "path": "/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/fig2_13.csv", "mime": "text/csv" } }, { "title": "Fig2 14", "role": "dataset", "sourceUrl": "http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/APD/eng/data/fig2_14.csv", "binary": { "path": "/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/fig2_14.csv", "mime": "text/csv" } }, { "title": "Fig2 15", "role": "dataset", "sourceUrl": "http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/APD/eng/data/fig2_15.csv", "binary": { "path": "/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/fig2_15.csv", "mime": "text/csv" } }, { "title": "Fig2 2", "role": "dataset", "sourceUrl": "http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/APD/eng/data/fig2_2.csv", "binary": { "path": "/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/fig2_2.csv", "mime": "text/csv" } }, { "title": "Fig2 3", "role": "dataset", "sourceUrl": "http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/APD/eng/data/fig2_3.csv", "binary": { "path": "/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/fig2_3.csv", "mime": "text/csv" } }, { "title": "Fig2 4", "role": "dataset", "sourceUrl": "http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/APD/eng/data/fig2_4.csv", "binary": { "path": "/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/fig2_4.csv", "mime": "text/csv" } }, { "title": "Fig2 5", "role": "dataset", "sourceUrl": "http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/APD/eng/data/fig2_5.csv", "binary": { "path": "/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/fig2_5.csv", "mime": "text/csv" } }, { "title": "Fig2 7", "role": "dataset", "sourceUrl": "http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/APD/eng/data/fig2_7.csv", "binary": { "path": "/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/fig2_7.csv", "mime": "text/csv" } }, { "title": "Fig2 8", "role": "dataset", "sourceUrl": 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