## Regional Economic Outlook: Asia and Pacific, April 2010: Leading the Global Recovery: Rebalancing for the Medium Term _Asia and Pacific, April 29, 2010_ ## Source details **Canonical URL:** [Regional Economic Outlook: Asia and Pacific, April 2010: Leading the Global Recovery: Rebalancing for the Medium Term](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/reo/apac/issues/2017/01/07/regional-economic-outlook-asia-and-pacific1) ## Other formats - [Markdown version](/en/publications/reo/apac/issues/2017/01/07/regional-economic-outlook-asia-and-pacific1/index.md) - [Structured JSON version](/en/publications/reo/apac/issues/2017/01/07/regional-economic-outlook-asia-and-pacific1/index.json) - [Bundle manifest](/en/publications/reo/apac/issues/2017/01/07/regional-economic-outlook-asia-and-pacific1/bundle-manifest.json) ## Bibliographic details - Published: April 29, 2010 - Series: Asia and Pacific --- ### Executive Summary and Near-Term Findings - One year after the deepest recession in recent history, Asia is leading the global recovery. - As in many emerging and developing markets, Asia rebounded swiftly during 2009 and in the first quarter of 2010. - In the near term, the region is expected to continue leading the global recovery. - The global crisis has highlighted the importance for Asia of ensuring that private domestic demand becomes a more prominent engine of growth in the medium term. ### Major Themes Covered (Section A: Asia and Pacific: Leading the Global Recovery) - Recent Developments and Main Themes - Overview - Recent Developments - Asia, the Inventory Cycle, and the Role of China - Transitioning from Public to Private Domestic Demand? - Are Large Capital Flows Threatening Financial Stability? - Projections, Risks, and Policy Challenges - Projections for 2010–11 - Risks to the Outlook - Policy Challenges ### Major Themes Covered (Section B: Asia and Pacific: Rebalancing for the Medium Term) - Does Asia Need Rebalancing? - Introduction - Assessing Asia’s Export Dependence - What Does Rebalancing Mean for Asian Economies? - Are There Any Supply-Side Imbalances? - Impact of Rebalancing: Illustrative Model Simulations - Conclusions - Technical Appendix 3.1 ### Annexes, Country and Regional Focus - ANNEX––Low-Income Countries and Pacific Islands Countries - A1 Asian Low-Income Countries: Recovery Prospects and Policy Challenges - A2 Impact of the Global Crisis on the Pacific Island Countries - A3 Restoring Macroeconomic Sustainability in Maldives ### Analytical Tools, Boxes, and Empirical Focus - Boxes highlight topical analyses including: - Recent Exchange-Rate Developments in Asia - What is the Outlook for Japan’s Domestic Demand? - China: An Extraordinary Investment Response in 2009 - Lessons from Past Episodes of Large Capital Inflows in Asia - Assessing Monetary Policy Stances in Asia - Boosting Consumption in China: Is Public Spending on Health the Right Medicine? - Consumption and Financial Development in Asia - Rebalancing Growth in Asia: What Role for Investment? - The Asia GIMF Model and Policy Assumptions - Extensive tables and figures covering growth, demand composition, fiscal impulse, capital flows, financial conditions, labor markets, prices, sector shares, and model-based simulations. ### Policy Implications and Recommendations (as framed by the report) - Near-term: support the recovery while monitoring financial-stability risks associated with large capital flows and excess liquidity. - Medium-term: shift growth composition toward stronger private domestic demand to reduce export dependence and enhance resilience to external shocks. - Structural policies to address supply-side imbalances and to facilitate rebalancing, informed by model simulations and country-specific diagnostics. *Regional Economic Outlook: Asia and Pacific, April 2010: Leading the Global Recovery: Rebalancing for the Medium Term* --- ## Content in this bundle - [Areo0410exkpdf (PDF)](/en/publications/reo/apac/issues/2017/01/07https:/www.imf.org/-/media/websites/imf/imported-flagship-issues/external/lang/korean/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/_areo0410exkpdf.pdf){rel="external" type="application/pdf"} - 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[Fig34pdf (PDF)](/-/media/websites/imf/imported-flagship-issues/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/_fig34pdf.pdf){rel="external" type="application/pdf"} - [Fig35pdf (PDF)](/-/media/websites/imf/imported-flagship-issues/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/_fig35pdf.pdf){rel="external" type="application/pdf"} - [Fig36pdf (PDF)](/-/media/websites/imf/imported-flagship-issues/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/_fig36pdf.pdf){rel="external" type="application/pdf"} - [Fig37pdf (PDF)](/-/media/websites/imf/imported-flagship-issues/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/_fig37pdf.pdf){rel="external" type="application/pdf"} - [Fig38pdf (PDF)](/-/media/websites/imf/imported-flagship-issues/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/_fig38pdf.pdf){rel="external" type="application/pdf"} - [Fig39pdf (PDF)](/-/media/websites/imf/imported-flagship-issues/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/_fig39pdf.pdf){rel="external" type="application/pdf"} - [Figbox11pdf (PDF)](/-/media/websites/imf/imported-flagship-issues/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/_figbox11pdf.pdf){rel="external" type="application/pdf"} - [Figbox12pdf (PDF)](/-/media/websites/imf/imported-flagship-issues/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/_figbox12pdf.pdf){rel="external" type="application/pdf"} - [Figbox13pdf (PDF)](/-/media/websites/imf/imported-flagship-issues/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/_figbox13pdf.pdf){rel="external" type="application/pdf"} - [Figbox14pdf (PDF)](/-/media/websites/imf/imported-flagship-issues/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/_figbox14pdf.pdf){rel="external" type="application/pdf"} - [Figbox21pdf (PDF)](/-/media/websites/imf/imported-flagship-issues/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/_figbox21pdf.pdf){rel="external" type="application/pdf"} - [Figbox31pdf (PDF)](/-/media/websites/imf/imported-flagship-issues/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/_figbox31pdf.pdf){rel="external" type="application/pdf"} - [Figbox32pdf (PDF)](/-/media/websites/imf/imported-flagship-issues/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/_figbox32pdf.pdf){rel="external" type="application/pdf"} - [Figbox33pdf (PDF)](/-/media/websites/imf/imported-flagship-issues/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/_figbox33pdf.pdf){rel="external" type="application/pdf"} - [Figboxa1pdf (PDF)](/-/media/websites/imf/imported-flagship-issues/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/_figboxa1pdf.pdf){rel="external" type="application/pdf"} - [Figboxa2pdf (PDF)](/-/media/websites/imf/imported-flagship-issues/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/_figboxa2pdf.pdf){rel="external" type="application/pdf"} - [Figboxa3pdf (PDF)](/-/media/websites/imf/imported-flagship-issues/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/_figboxa3pdf.pdf){rel="external" type="application/pdf"} - [Table21pdf (PDF)](/-/media/websites/imf/imported-flagship-issues/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/_table21pdf.pdf){rel="external" type="application/pdf"} - [Table22pdf (PDF)](/-/media/websites/imf/imported-flagship-issues/external/pubs/ft/reo/2010/apd/eng/data/_table22pdf.pdf){rel="external" type="application/pdf"} --- ## References - [Press Release: IMF’s Regional Outlook Shows Asia Leading Global Recovery](https://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/pr/2010/pr10175.htm) - [Regional Economic Outlooks](http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/reorepts.aspx) - [World Economic Outlook](https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2010/01/index.htm) - [https://www.imf.org/en/home](https://www.imf.org/en/home) _Source: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/reo/apac/issues/2017/01/07/regional-economic-outlook-asia-and-pacific1_