{ "title": "Regional Economic Outlook: Asia and Pacific, April 2016: Building on Asia's Strengths During Turbulent Times", "publication": "Asia and Pacific, May 3, 2016", "sourceUrl": "https://www.imf.org/en/publications/reo/apac/issues/2017/03/06/building-on-asia-s-strengths-during-turbulent-times", "canonical": "https://www.imf.org/en/publications/reo/apac/issues/2017/03/06/building-on-asia-s-strengths-during-turbulent-times", "overlayPath": "/en/publications/reo/apac/issues/2017/03/06/building-on-asia-s-strengths-during-turbulent-times/index.md", "summary": "Growth in the Asia-Pacific economies is expected to decelerate slightly to about 5.3 percent during 2016–17.", "publishDate": "2016-05-03", "series": "Asia and Pacific", "sections": [ { "heading": "Summary of key findings", "content": "- Growth in the Asia-Pacific economies is expected to decelerate slightly to about 5.3 percent during 2016–17.\n- The moderation in regional growth reflects the sluggish global recovery and slowing global trade.\n- With external demand relatively subdued and global financial conditions starting to tighten, domestic demand is expected to be a major driver of activity across most of the region.\n- Policy settings are assessed as appropriate across most of the region, but implementing structural reforms is emphasized as critical to bolstering potential growth and reducing potential vulnerabilities.\n- The report also analyzes China’s spillovers to Asia, implications of China’s rebalancing for trade, and inequality in the region." }, { "heading": "Near-term outlook and drivers", "content": "- Projected regional growth: about 5.3 percent during 2016–17.\n- Main downside pressures: sluggish global recovery; slowing global trade; tightening global financial conditions.\n- Main domestic offset: domestic demand as the principal driver of activity across most economies in the region." }, { "heading": "Policy recommendations and priorities", "content": "- Maintain appropriate macroeconomic policy settings where feasible to support demand.\n- Implement structural reforms to:\n - Bolster potential growth.\n - Reduce potential vulnerabilities arising from the slower external environment.\n- Pay attention to spillovers from major economies (notably China) and adapt policies to manage trade and financial transmission channels." }, { "heading": "Topics and analyses covered", "content": "- China’s spillovers to Asia and the regional consequences of China’s growth slowdown.\n- Implications of China’s rebalancing for trade and partner-country growth.\n- Financial spillovers from China to regional markets and analysis of market sensitivities.\n- Inequality in the region: trends, drivers, and policy implications.\n\nSource: Regional Economic Outlook: Asia and Pacific, April 2016: Building on Asia's Strengths During Turbulent Times (published May 3, 2016).\n\n---\n\n Content in this bundle\n\n- Fig Box1 1 (XLSX){rel=\"external\" 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type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Fig412pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Fig413pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Fig414pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Fig415pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Fig416pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Fig417pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Fig418pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Fig419pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Fig41pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Fig420pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Fig421pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Fig422pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Fig423pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Fig424pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Fig425pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Fig42pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Fig43pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Fig44pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Fig45pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Fig46pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Fig47pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Fig48pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Fig49pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Areo0516 (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Areo0516c1pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Areo0516c2pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Areo0516c3pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Areo0516c4pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Areo0516definitionspdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Areo0516exesum (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Areo0516exesumpdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Areo0516pdf (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Areo0516exesums (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Areo0516exesums (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n\n---\n\n References\n\n- Asia Pacific Growth Projection\n- Impact of China Rebalancing\n- Recommendation\n- Asia: Growth Remains Strong, Expected to Ease Only Modestly\n- Asia and Pacific: Regional Economic Outlooks Archive\n- Regional Economic Outlooks\n- IMF Regional Reports\n- World Economic Outlook Archives\n- Latest Data\n- IMF Data Portal: APD REO April 2016\nVisualize, query, export, and search\n- Buy a print subscription\n- Disclaimer\n- Sign up to receive free e-mail notices when new series and/or country items are posted on the IMF website.\n- Modify your profile\n- https://www.imf.org/en/home\n\nSource: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/reo/apac/issues/2017/03/06/building-on-asia-s-strengths-during-turbulent-times" } ], "bullets": [ "[Markdown version](/en/publications/reo/apac/issues/2017/03/06/building-on-asia-s-strengths-during-turbulent-times/index.md)", "[Structured JSON version](/en/publications/reo/apac/issues/2017/03/06/building-on-asia-s-strengths-during-turbulent-times/index.json)", "[Bundle manifest](/en/publications/reo/apac/issues/2017/03/06/building-on-asia-s-strengths-during-turbulent-times/bundle-manifest.json)", "Published: May 3, 2016", "Series: Asia and Pacific", "Growth in the Asia-Pacific economies is expected to decelerate slightly to about 5.3 percent during 2016–17.", "The moderation in regional growth reflects the sluggish global recovery and slowing global trade.", "With external demand relatively subdued and global financial conditions starting to tighten, domestic demand is expected to be a major driver of activity across most of the region.", "Policy settings are assessed as appropriate across most of the region, but implementing structural reforms is emphasized as critical to bolstering potential growth and reducing potential vulnerabilities.", "The report also analyzes China’s spillovers to Asia, implications of China’s rebalancing for trade, and inequality in the region.", "Projected regional growth: about 5.3 percent during 2016–17.", "Main downside pressures: sluggish global recovery; slowing global trade; tightening global financial conditions.", "Main domestic offset: domestic demand as the principal driver of activity across most economies in the region.", "Maintain appropriate macroeconomic policy settings where feasible to support demand.", "Implement structural reforms to:", "Pay attention to spillovers from major economies (notably China) and adapt policies to manage trade and financial transmission channels.", "China’s spillovers to Asia and the regional consequences of China’s growth slowdown.", "Implications of China’s rebalancing for trade and partner-country growth.", "Financial spillovers from China to regional markets and analysis of market sensitivities.", "Inequality in the region: trends, drivers, and policy implications.", "[Fig Box1 1 (XLSX)](/external/pubs/ft/reo/2016/apd/eng/data/fig_box1_1.xlsx){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.spreadsheetml.sheet\"}", "[Fig Box1 2 (XLSX)](/external/pubs/ft/reo/2016/apd/eng/data/fig_box1_2.xlsx){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.spreadsheetml.sheet\"}", "[Fig Box1 3 (XLSX)](/external/pubs/ft/reo/2016/apd/eng/data/fig_box1_3.xlsx){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.spreadsheetml.sheet\"}", "[Fig Box1 4 (XLSX)](/external/pubs/ft/reo/2016/apd/eng/data/fig_box1_4.xlsx){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.spreadsheetml.sheet\"}", "[Fig Box1 5 (XLSX)](/external/pubs/ft/reo/2016/apd/eng/data/fig_box1_5.xlsx){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.spreadsheetml.sheet\"}", "[Fig Box1 6 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(PDF)](/-/media/websites/imf/imported-flagship-issues/external/pubs/ft/reo/2016/apd/eng/pdf/_areo0516exesum.pdf){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}", "[Areo0516exesumpdf (PDF)](/-/media/websites/imf/imported-flagship-issues/external/pubs/ft/reo/2016/apd/eng/pdf/_areo0516exesumpdf.pdf){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}", "[Areo0516pdf (PDF)](/-/media/websites/imf/imported-flagship-issues/external/pubs/ft/reo/2016/apd/eng/pdf/_areo0516pdf.pdf){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}", "[Areo0516exesums (PDF)](/-/media/websites/imf/imported-flagship-issues/external/spanish/pubs/ft/reo/2016/apd/_areo0516exesums.pdf){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}", "[Areo0516exesums (PDF)](/-/media/websites/imf/imported-flagship-issues/external/spanish/pubs/ft/reo/2016/apd/areo0516exesums.pdf){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}", "[Asia Pacific Growth Projection](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/reo/apac/issues/2017/03/06/images/charts/Chart-02-v01.gif)", "[Impact of China Rebalancing](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/reo/apac/issues/2017/03/06/images/APD_infographics2016_2.jpg)", "[Recommendation](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/reo/apac/issues/2017/03/06/images/APD_infographics2016_3.jpg)", "[Asia: Growth Remains Strong, Expected to Ease Only Modestly](https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/survey/so/2016/CAR050316B.htm)", "[Asia and Pacific: Regional Economic Outlooks Archive](https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/reorepts.aspx?ddlRegions=4&ddlYear=-1)", "[Regional Economic Outlooks](https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/reorepts.aspx)", "[IMF Regional Reports](https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/cat/region.asp)", "[World Economic Outlook Archives](https://www.imf.org/external/ns/cs.aspx?id=29)", "[Latest Data](https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/index.php)", "[IMF Data Portal: APD REO April 2016", "[Buy a print 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"http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/2016/APD/eng/data/fig1_2.csv", "binary": { "path": "/external/pubs/ft/reo/2016/apd/eng/data/fig1_2.csv", "mime": "text/csv" } }, { "title": "Fig1 20", "role": "dataset", "sourceUrl": "http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/2016/APD/eng/data/fig1_20.csv", "binary": { "path": "/external/pubs/ft/reo/2016/apd/eng/data/fig1_20.csv", "mime": "text/csv" } }, { "title": "Fig1 21", "role": "dataset", "sourceUrl": "http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/2016/APD/eng/data/fig1_21.csv", "binary": { "path": "/external/pubs/ft/reo/2016/apd/eng/data/fig1_21.csv", "mime": "text/csv" } }, { "title": "Fig1 22", "role": "dataset", "sourceUrl": "http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/2016/APD/eng/data/fig1_22.csv", "binary": { "path": "/external/pubs/ft/reo/2016/apd/eng/data/fig1_22.csv", "mime": "text/csv" } }, { "title": "Fig1 23", "role": "dataset", "sourceUrl": "http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/2016/APD/eng/data/fig1_23.csv", "binary": { "path": 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28", "role": "dataset", "sourceUrl": "http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/2016/APD/eng/data/fig1_28.csv", "binary": { "path": "/external/pubs/ft/reo/2016/apd/eng/data/fig1_28.csv", "mime": "text/csv" } }, { "title": "Fig1 29", "role": "dataset", "sourceUrl": "http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/2016/APD/eng/data/fig1_29.csv", "binary": { "path": "/external/pubs/ft/reo/2016/apd/eng/data/fig1_29.csv", "mime": "text/csv" } }, { "title": "Fig1 3", "role": "dataset", "sourceUrl": "http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/2016/APD/eng/data/fig1_3.csv", "binary": { "path": "/external/pubs/ft/reo/2016/apd/eng/data/fig1_3.csv", "mime": "text/csv" } }, { "title": "Fig1 30", "role": "dataset", "sourceUrl": "http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/2016/APD/eng/data/fig1_30.csv", "binary": { "path": "/external/pubs/ft/reo/2016/apd/eng/data/fig1_30.csv", "mime": "text/csv" } }, { "title": "Fig1 31", "role": "dataset", "sourceUrl": "http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/2016/APD/eng/data/fig1_31.csv", "binary": { "path": "/external/pubs/ft/reo/2016/apd/eng/data/fig1_31.csv", "mime": "text/csv" } }, { "title": "Fig1 32", "role": "dataset", "sourceUrl": "http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/2016/APD/eng/data/fig1_32.csv", "binary": { "path": "/external/pubs/ft/reo/2016/apd/eng/data/fig1_32.csv", "mime": "text/csv" } }, { "title": "Fig1 33", "role": "dataset", "sourceUrl": "http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/2016/APD/eng/data/fig1_33.csv", "binary": { "path": "/external/pubs/ft/reo/2016/apd/eng/data/fig1_33.csv", "mime": "text/csv" } }, { "title": "Fig1 34", "role": "dataset", "sourceUrl": "http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/2016/APD/eng/data/fig1_34.csv", "binary": { "path": "/external/pubs/ft/reo/2016/apd/eng/data/fig1_34.csv", "mime": "text/csv" } }, { "title": "Fig1 35", "role": "dataset", "sourceUrl": "http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/2016/APD/eng/data/fig1_35.csv", "binary": { "path": 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