{
  "title": "Regional Economic Outlook: Middle East and Central Asia, May 2010 -- Table of Contents",
  "publication": "Middle East and Central Asia, May 25, 2010",
  "sourceUrl": "https://www.imf.org/en/publications/reo/meca/issues/2017/01/07/regional-economic-outlook-middle-east-and-central-asia11",
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  "summary": "The May 2010 Regional Economic Outlook: Middle East and Central Asia reports on the implications for the region of global economic developments and presents key policy challenges and recommendations.",
  "sections": [
    {
      "heading": "Overview",
      "content": "- The May 2010 Regional Economic Outlook: Middle East and Central Asia reports on the implications for the region of global economic developments and presents key policy challenges and recommendations.\n- A resumption of capital inflows and the rebound in crude oil prices have aided the recovery in the oil-exporting countries of the Middle East and North Africa.\n- The group of oil-importing countries is expected to show marginal increase in growth in response to a pickup in trade, investment, and bank credit.\n- In the Caucasus and Central Asia, exports have begun to pick up, the decline in remittances appears to be slowing or reversing, and capital inflows have turned positive.\n- For 2010, a recovery across the region is projected as the global economy, and in particular Russia, picks up speed.\n- Overall prospects for the region are improving, though a repricing of sovereign debt cannot be excluded, adding a degree of uncertainty to the outlook.\n- The regional impact of the Dubai crisis and events in Greece has been limited so far."
    },
    {
      "heading": "Main findings by subregion",
      "content": "- MENAP Oil Exporters\n  - Emerging from the crisis aided by resumption of capital inflows and rebound in crude oil prices.\n  - Figures and boxes related: A.1.2 Exports and Imports of Goods; A.1.3 Financing Conditions before and after the Dubai World Crisis; A.1.4 External Reserves and Crude Oil Prices; A.1.5 Credit and Deposits; A.1.6 Non-GCC: External and Fiscal Balances; A.1.7 GCC: External and Fiscal Balances; A.1.8 Beginnings of Inflationary Pressures?\n  - Box: A.1.1 The Dubai World Crisis.\n\n- MENAP Oil Importers\n  - Expected marginal increase in growth from pickup in trade, investment, and bank credit.\n  - Key challenge: enhance competitiveness to raise growth rates and generate employment.\n  - Figures and boxes related: A.2.1 Lagging Growth; A.2.2 External Receipts on the Mend; A.2.3 Fiscal Situation; A.2.4 Stock Markets Still Far from Peak; A.2.5 Lower Risk Premiums; A.2.6 Real Exchange Rates Appreciated from Precrisis; A.2.7 Lagging Trade Performance; A.2.8 Challenging Competitive Environment; A.2.9 Unemployment Has Stayed High.\n  - Highlighted issue: Recent Declines in Credit Growth.\n\n- Caucasus and Central Asia (CCA)\n  - Incipient recovery: exports picking up, remittances stabilizing or reversing decline, capital inflows positive.\n  - For 2010, recovery projected as global economy and Russia pick up speed.\n  - Figures and boxes related: B.1.2 Signs of Recovery; B.1.3 Fiscal Policy Stance; B.1.4 Energy Importers Have Limited Fiscal Room; B.1.5 Early Signs of Price Pressures?; B.1.6 Recent Gains in Competitiveness; B.1.7 Financial Sector Stress Building Up.\n  - Banking focus: B.2.2 Deposit Dollarization: 2002–07; B.2.3 Precrisis Exposure to Direct and Indirect Currency Risk; B.2.4 Effects of the Crisis: Depreciations and Balance Sheet Deteriorations.\n  - Box: B.1.1 2009: Similar Shocks, Different Growth Outcomes.\n  - Box: B.2.1 IMF, EBRD, and National Bank of Georgia Conference Explores Ways to Revive Credit."
    },
    {
      "heading": "Risks and uncertainty",
      "content": "- A repricing of sovereign debt cannot be excluded, adding a degree of uncertainty to the outlook.\n- The regional impact of the Dubai crisis and events in Greece has been limited so far, but remain sources of potential contagion."
    },
    {
      "heading": "Policy challenges and recommendations",
      "content": "- Enhance competitiveness in oil-importing countries to raise growth rates and generate employment.\n- Revive bank credit in MENA to support a stronger recovery (see A.3 Reviving Bank Credit in MENA).\n- Broaden capital flow sources for MENAP (see A.4 Capital Flows to the MENAP Region: Going Beyond Traditional Sources).\n- Address financial sector stress and balance sheet vulnerabilities in the Caucasus and Central Asia."
    },
    {
      "heading": "Contents structure (major report components)",
      "content": "- Preface\n- Assumptions and Conventions\n- Country and Regional Groupings\n- Highlights\n- Chapters: A.1–A.4 (MENAP topics); B.1–B.2 (CCA topics)\n- Statistical Appendix\n- Boxes (A.1.1; A.3.1; B.1.1; B.2.1)\n- Figures (detailed figure list across A.1–B.2, including sectoral and balance indicators)\n- Tables (Selected Economic Indicators: MENAP Oil Exporters; Selected Economic Indicators: MENAP Oil Importers; Selected Economic Indicators: CCA; Countercyclical Monetary Policies and Response of Lending Rates; Statistical Appendix Tables 1–21)"
    },
    {
      "heading": "Key numeric and dated references preserved from the source",
      "content": "- Report date reference: May 2010\n- Projection year explicitly mentioned: 2010\n- Box and figure numbering preserved (examples): A.1.1; A.3.1; B.1.1; B.2.1; A.1.2; A.3.2; B.1.2\n- Time series range cited: 1983–2008\n- Specific period cited for deposit dollarization figure: 2002–07\n- Year referenced for comparative shocks box: 2009\n\nSource: Regional Economic Outlook: Middle East and Central Asia, May 2010 -- Table of Contents\n\n---\n\n Content in this bundle\n\n- صندوق النقد الدولي: آفاق الاقتصاد في بلدان الشرق الأوسط وشمال إفريقيا\n  - صندوق النقد الدولي: آفاق الاقتصاد في بلدان الشرق الأوسط وشمال إفريقيا (Markdown version){rel=\"alternate\" type=\"text/markdown\"}\n  - صندوق النقد الدولي: آفاق الاقتصاد في بلدان الشرق الأوسط وشمال إفريقيا (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- آفاق الاقتصاد الإقليمي: الشرق الأوسط وآسيا الوسطى 25 مايو/أيار 2010\n  - آفاق الاقتصاد الإقليمي: الشرق الأوسط وآسيا الوسطى 25 مايو/أيار 2010 (Markdown version){rel=\"alternate\" type=\"text/markdown\"}\n  - آفاق الاقتصاد الإقليمي: الشرق الأوسط وآسيا الوسطى 25 مايو/أيار 2010 (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- آفاق الاقتصاد الإقليمي: منطقة الشرق الأوسط وآسيا الوسطى -- الفصول 1-4\n  - آفاق الاقتصاد الإقليمي: منطقة الشرق الأوسط وآسيا الوسطى -- الفصول 1-4 (Markdown version){rel=\"alternate\" type=\"text/markdown\"}\n  - آفاق الاقتصاد الإقليمي: منطقة الشرق الأوسط وآسيا الوسطى -- الفصول 1-4 (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- 中东和中亚\n  - 中东和中亚 (Markdown version){rel=\"alternate\" type=\"text/markdown\"}\n  - 中东和中亚 (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Moyen-Orient et Asie centrale : Principaux points des Perspectives économiques régionales – Mai 2010\n  - Moyen-Orient et Asie centrale : Principaux points des Perspectives économiques régionales – Mai 2010 (Markdown version){rel=\"alternate\" type=\"text/markdown\"}\n  - Moyen-Orient et Asie centrale : Principaux points des Perspectives économiques régionales – Mai 2010 (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Perspectives économiques régionales\n  - Perspectives économiques régionales (Markdown version){rel=\"alternate\" type=\"text/markdown\"}\n  - Perspectives économiques régionales (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Regional Economic Outlook: Caucasus and Central Asia\n  - Regional Economic Outlook: Caucasus and Central Asia (Markdown version){rel=\"alternate\" type=\"text/markdown\"}\n  - Regional Economic Outlook: Caucasus and Central Asia (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Middle East and Central Asia: May 2010 Regional Economic Outlook Highlights\n  - Middle East and Central Asia: May 2010 Regional Economic Outlook Highlights (Markdown version){rel=\"alternate\" type=\"text/markdown\"}\n  - Middle East and Central Asia: May 2010 Regional Economic Outlook Highlights (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Regional Economic Outlook: Middle East and Central Asia\n  - Regional Economic Outlook: Middle East and Central Asia (Markdown version){rel=\"alternate\" type=\"text/markdown\"}\n  - Regional Economic Outlook: Middle East and Central Asia (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Regional Economic Outlook: Middle East and Central Asia\n  - Regional Economic Outlook: Middle East and Central Asia (Markdown version){rel=\"alternate\" type=\"text/markdown\"}\n  - Regional Economic Outlook: Middle East and Central Asia (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Перспективы развития: региональной экономики Кавказ и Центральная Азия\n  - Перспективы развития: региональной экономики Кавказ и Центральная Азия (Markdown version){rel=\"alternate\" type=\"text/markdown\"}\n  - Перспективы развития: региональной экономики Кавказ и Центральная Азия (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- The Caucasus and Central Asia\n  - The Caucasus and Central Asia (Markdown version){rel=\"alternate\" type=\"text/markdown\"}\n  - The Caucasus and Central Asia (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Ближний Восток и Центральная Азия: Перспективы развития региональной экономики, май 2010 года\n  - Ближний Восток и Центральная Азия: Перспективы развития региональной экономики, май 2010 года (Markdown version){rel=\"alternate\" type=\"text/markdown\"}\n  - Ближний Восток и Центральная Азия: Перспективы развития региональной экономики, май 2010 года (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n\n---\n\n References\n\n- Sign up to receive free e-mail notices when new series and/or country items are posted on the IMF website.\n- Modify your profile\n- Watch a video on Growth Gains Strength in Middle East and North Africa\n- Watch a video on Signs of Recovery in Caucasus and Central Asia\n- Reviving Credit Growth in the Caucasus and Central Asia: What Can Policymakers Do?\n- Downturn After Boom: Slow Credit Growth in Middle East, North Africa\n- Growth Picks Up in Middle East, But Credit Still Sluggish,\n- IMF Sees Early Signs of Rebound in Central Asia, Caucasus,\n- https://www.imf.org/en/publications/reo/meca/issues/2017/01/07/mreo0510menap.ppt\n- عربي\n- https://www.imf.org/external/french/pubs/ft/reo/2010/mcd/mreo0510menapf.ppt\n- https://www.imf.org/en/publications/reo/meca/issues/2017/01/07/mreo0510CCA.ppt\n- https://www.imf.org/external/russian/pubs/ft/reo/mcd/2010/mreo0510CCAr.ppt\n- Press Release: Growth Gains Strength in Middle East and North Africa, but Sluggish Credit Impedes Stronger Recovery\n- Press Release: IMF Sees Incipient Recovery in the Caucasus and Central Asia\n- Regional Economic Outlooks\n- World Economic Outlook:\n- Ordering Information\n- Adobe Acrobat Reader\n- https://www.imf.org/en/home\n\nSource: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/reo/meca/issues/2017/01/07/regional-economic-outlook-middle-east-and-central-asia11"
    }
  ],
  "bullets": [
    "[Markdown version](/en/publications/reo/meca/issues/2017/01/07/regional-economic-outlook-middle-east-and-central-asia11/index.md)",
    "[Structured JSON version](/en/publications/reo/meca/issues/2017/01/07/regional-economic-outlook-middle-east-and-central-asia11/index.json)",
    "[Bundle manifest](/en/publications/reo/meca/issues/2017/01/07/regional-economic-outlook-middle-east-and-central-asia11/bundle-manifest.json)",
    "Published: May 25, 2010",
    "Series: Middle East and Central Asia",
    "The May 2010 Regional Economic Outlook: Middle East and Central Asia reports on the implications for the region of global economic developments and presents key policy challenges and recommendations.",
    "A resumption of capital inflows and the rebound in crude oil prices have aided the recovery in the oil-exporting countries of the Middle East and North Africa.",
    "The group of oil-importing countries is expected to show marginal increase in growth in response to a pickup in trade, investment, and bank credit.",
    "In the Caucasus and Central Asia, exports have begun to pick up, the decline in remittances appears to be slowing or reversing, and capital inflows have turned positive.",
    "For 2010, a recovery across the region is projected as the global economy, and in particular Russia, picks up speed.",
    "Overall prospects for the region are improving, though a repricing of sovereign debt cannot be excluded, adding a degree of uncertainty to the outlook.",
    "The regional impact of the Dubai crisis and events in Greece has been limited so far.",
    "MENAP Oil Exporters",
    "MENAP Oil Importers",
    "Caucasus and Central Asia (CCA)",
    "A repricing of sovereign debt cannot be excluded, adding a degree of uncertainty to the outlook.",
    "The regional impact of the Dubai crisis and events in Greece has been limited so far, but remain sources of potential contagion.",
    "Enhance competitiveness in oil-importing countries to raise growth rates and generate employment.",
    "Revive bank credit in MENA to support a stronger recovery (see A.3 Reviving Bank Credit in MENA).",
    "Broaden capital flow sources for MENAP (see A.4 Capital Flows to the MENAP Region: Going Beyond Traditional Sources).",
    "Address financial sector stress and balance sheet vulnerabilities in the Caucasus and Central Asia.",
    "Preface",
    "Assumptions and Conventions",
    "Country and Regional Groupings",
    "Highlights",
    "Chapters: A.1–A.4 (MENAP topics); B.1–B.2 (CCA topics)",
    "Statistical Appendix",
    "Boxes (A.1.1; A.3.1; B.1.1; B.2.1)",
    "Figures (detailed figure list across A.1–B.2, including sectoral and balance indicators)",
    "Tables (Selected Economic Indicators: MENAP Oil Exporters; Selected Economic Indicators: MENAP Oil Importers; Selected Economic Indicators: CCA; Countercyclical Monetary Policies and Response of Lending Rates; Statistical Appendix Tables 1–21)",
    "Report date reference: May 2010",
    "Projection year explicitly mentioned: 2010",
    "Box and figure numbering preserved (examples): A.1.1; A.3.1; B.1.1; B.2.1; A.1.2; A.3.2; B.1.2",
    "Time series range cited: 1983–2008",
    "Specific period cited for deposit dollarization figure: 2002–07",
    "Year referenced for comparative shocks box: 2009",
    "**صندوق النقد الدولي: آفاق الاقتصاد في بلدان الشرق الأوسط وشمال إفريقيا**",
    "**آفاق الاقتصاد الإقليمي: الشرق الأوسط وآسيا الوسطى 25 مايو/أيار 2010**",
    "**آفاق الاقتصاد الإقليمي: منطقة الشرق الأوسط وآسيا الوسطى -- الفصول 1-4**",
    "**中东和中亚**",
    "**Moyen-Orient et Asie centrale : Principaux points des Perspectives économiques régionales – Mai 2010**",
    "**Perspectives économiques régionales**",
    "**Regional Economic Outlook: Caucasus and Central Asia**",
    "**Middle East and Central Asia: May 2010 Regional Economic Outlook Highlights**",
    "**Regional Economic Outlook: Middle East and Central Asia**",
    "**Regional Economic Outlook: Middle East and Central Asia**",
    "**Перспективы развития: региональной экономики Кавказ и Центральная Азия**",
    "**The Caucasus and Central Asia**",
    "**Ближний Восток и Центральная Азия: Перспективы развития региональной экономики, май 2010 года**",
    "[Sign up to receive free e-mail notices when new series and/or country items are posted on the IMF website.](https://www.imf.org/en/email-subscription/index)",
    "[Modify your profile](https://www.imf.org/en/email-subscription/login)",
    "[Watch a video on Growth Gains Strength in Middle East and North Africa](http://www.imf.org/external/mmedia/view.aspx?vid=87685892001)",
    "[Watch a video on Signs of Recovery in Caucasus and Central Asia](http://www.imf.org/external/mmedia/view.aspx?vid=87688506001)",
    "[Reviving Credit Growth in the Caucasus and Central Asia: What Can Policymakers Do?](http://blog-imfdirect.imf.org/2010/06/07/reviving-credit-growth-in-the-caucasus-and-central-asia-what-can-policymakers-do/)",
    "[Downturn After Boom: Slow Credit Growth in Middle East, North Africa](http://blog-imfdirect.imf.org/2010/05/25/downturn-after-boom-slow-credit-growth-in-middle-east-north-africa/)",
    "[Growth Picks Up in Middle East, But Credit Still Sluggish,](https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/survey/so/2010/CAR052410A.htm)",
    "[IMF Sees Early Signs of Rebound in Central Asia, Caucasus,](https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/survey/so/2010/CAR052510A.htm)",
    "[https://www.imf.org/en/publications/reo/meca/issues/2017/01/07/mreo0510menap.ppt](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/reo/meca/issues/2017/01/07/mreo0510menap.ppt)",
    "[عربي](https://www.imf.org/external/arabic/pubs/ft/reo/2010/mcd/mreo0510menapa.ppt)",
    "[https://www.imf.org/external/french/pubs/ft/reo/2010/mcd/mreo0510menapf.ppt](https://www.imf.org/external/french/pubs/ft/reo/2010/mcd/mreo0510menapf.ppt)",
    "[https://www.imf.org/en/publications/reo/meca/issues/2017/01/07/mreo0510CCA.ppt](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/reo/meca/issues/2017/01/07/mreo0510CCA.ppt)",
    "[https://www.imf.org/external/russian/pubs/ft/reo/mcd/2010/mreo0510CCAr.ppt](https://www.imf.org/external/russian/pubs/ft/reo/mcd/2010/mreo0510CCAr.ppt)",
    "[Press Release: Growth Gains Strength in Middle East and North Africa, but Sluggish Credit Impedes Stronger Recovery](https://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/pr/2010/pr10210.htm)",
    "[Press Release: IMF Sees Incipient Recovery in the Caucasus and Central Asia](https://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/pr/2010/pr10209.htm)",
    "[Regional Economic Outlooks](https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/reo/reorepts.aspx)",
    "[World Economic Outlook:](https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2010/01/index.htm)",
    "[Ordering Information](http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/cat/longres.cfm?sk=23347.0)",
    "[Adobe Acrobat Reader](https://www.imf.org/adobe)"
  ],
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