{
  "title": "Estimating Potential Output in Niger: Niger",
  "publication": "Selected Issues Papers, April 18, 2025",
  "sourceUrl": "https://www.imf.org/en/publications/selected-issues-papers/issues/2025/04/18/estimating-potential-output-in-niger-niger-566313",
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  "summary": "Potential growth in Niger is estimated at around 6 percent with a structurally significant contribution of labor and peaks of growth associated with higher investment in physical capital.",
  "sections": [
    {
      "heading": "Key findings on potential growth",
      "content": "- Potential growth in Niger is estimated at around 6 percent.\n- Labor provides a structurally significant contribution to potential growth.\n- Peaks of growth are associated with higher investment in physical capital.\n- Growth is constrained by weak productivity, limited structural transformation, and inadequate economic diversification.\n- Downside risks to growth stem mainly from regional insecurity and adverse climate shocks."
    },
    {
      "heading": "Drivers and constraints",
      "content": "- Drivers highlighted:\n  - Labor accumulation (structurally significant).\n  - Investment in physical capital (associated with growth peaks).\n- Constraints highlighted:\n  - Weak productivity.\n  - Limited structural transformation.\n  - Inadequate economic diversification.\n- External and regional risks:\n  - Regional insecurity.\n  - Adverse climate shocks."
    },
    {
      "heading": "Policy priorities and measures to boost growth",
      "content": "- Investment in human capital.\n- Development of the extractive sector.\n- Development of agro-industrial value chains.\n- Diffusion of digital technologies."
    },
    {
      "heading": "Thematic tags and technical focus",
      "content": "- Subject areas: Human capital, Labor, Output gap, Potential output, Production, Total factor productivity.\n- Methodological and topical keywords: B. sectoral growth trend, Economic Growth, Global, Growth decomposition, growth in Niger, Human capital, I. Cobb-Douglas production function, Output gap, output gap estimate, output gap estimation, Potential output, Production function, Statistical filters, Total factor productivity, West Africa.\n\nBy Guy Morel Kossivi Amouzou Agbe, April 18, 2025 — Selected Issues Paper (21 pages).\n\n---\n\n Content in this bundle\n\n- Contributions to Real GDP Growth in Niger\n  - Contributions to Real GDP Growth in Niger (Markdown version){rel=\"alternate\" type=\"text/markdown\"}\n  - Contributions to Real GDP Growth in Niger (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n\n---\n\nSource: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/selected-issues-papers/issues/2025/04/18/estimating-potential-output-in-niger-niger-566313"
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    "Authors: Guy Morel Kossivi Amouzou Agbe",
    "Published: April 18, 2025",
    "Series: Selected Issues Papers",
    "DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9798229006507.018",
    "Potential growth in Niger is estimated at around 6 percent.",
    "Labor provides a structurally significant contribution to potential growth.",
    "Peaks of growth are associated with higher investment in physical capital.",
    "Growth is constrained by weak productivity, limited structural transformation, and inadequate economic diversification.",
    "Downside risks to growth stem mainly from regional insecurity and adverse climate shocks.",
    "Drivers highlighted:",
    "Constraints highlighted:",
    "External and regional risks:",
    "Investment in human capital.",
    "Development of the extractive sector.",
    "Development of agro-industrial value chains.",
    "Diffusion of digital technologies.",
    "Subject areas: Human capital, Labor, Output gap, Potential output, Production, Total factor productivity.",
    "Methodological and topical keywords: B. sectoral growth trend, Economic Growth, Global, Growth decomposition, growth in Niger, Human capital, I. Cobb-Douglas production function, Output gap, output gap estimate, output gap estimation, Potential output, Production function, Statistical filters, Total factor productivity, West Africa.",
    "**Contributions to Real GDP Growth in Niger**"
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