{
  "title": "IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO) — Transitions and Tensions, October 2013 — Table of Contents",
  "publication": "World Economic Outlook, October 7, 2013",
  "sourceUrl": "https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2016/12/31/transitions-tensions",
  "canonical": "https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2016/12/31/transitions-tensions",
  "overlayPath": "/en/publications/weo/issues/2016/12/31/transitions-tensions/index.md",
  "summary": "IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO), October 2013 -- table of Contents: Global growth is in low gear, and the drivers of activity are changing. These dynamics raise new policy challenges.",
  "publishDate": "2013-10-07",
  "series": "World Economic Outlook",
  "sections": [
    {
      "heading": "Global outlook and main messages",
      "content": "- Global growth is in low gear.\n- Drivers of activity are changing, raising new policy challenges.\n- Advanced economies are growing again but must:\n  - continue financial sector repair,\n  - pursue fiscal consolidation,\n  - spur job growth.\n- Emerging market economies face:\n  - the dual challenges of slowing growth and tighter global financial conditions.\n- The issue examines potential spillovers from these transitions and appropriate policy responses."
    },
    {
      "heading": "Analytical focus and chapter highlights",
      "content": "- Chapter 1: Global Prospects and Policies\n  - Themes: Growth Dynamics Further Diverge; External Sector Developments; Policy Challenges; Rebalancing Global Demand.\n  - Special Feature: Commodity Market Review, including boxes on booms and the current account, oil price drivers and the narrowing WTI-Brent spread, and country-specific analyses such as Abenomics.\n- Chapter 2: Country and Regional Perspectives\n  - Regional assessments: The United States and Canada; Europe; Asia; Latin America and the Caribbean; Commonwealth of Independent States; Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan, and Pakistan; Sub-Saharan Africa.\n  - Emphasis on 2013 GDP growth forecasts and the effects of a plausible downside scenario.\n- Chapter 3: Dancing Together? Spillovers, Common Shocks, and the Role of Financial and Trade Linkages\n  - Explores evolution of output comovements and influence of:\n    - policy shocks (unexpected monetary or fiscal tightening),\n    - financial shocks (systemic banking crisis or renewed financial turmoil),\n    - growth surprises in advanced economies or large emerging markets.\n  - Sections: conceptual framework, role of common shocks and linkages, spillovers of country-specific shocks, summary and implications.\n  - Empirical coverage spans periods and measures including 2004–12, 1978–2012, and growth surprise and shock decompositions.\n- Chapter 4: The Yin and Yang of Capital Flow Management: Balancing Capital Inflows with Capital Outflows\n  - Investigates why some emerging market economies avoided classical boom-and-bust cycles during the global financial crisis by domestic residents drawing down foreign assets to replace foreign capital.\n  - Focus areas: financial adjustment and resilience; how more resilient economies differ; case studies (Chile, Malaysia, The Czech Republic); overall analysis.\n  - Includes simulation: Box 4.1 Simulating Vulnerability to International Capital Market Conditions."
    },
    {
      "heading": "Key datasets, tables, and figures referenced",
      "content": "- Assumptions and Conventions; Further Information and Data; Statistical Appendix.\n- Numerous tables and figures covering:\n  - Real GDP Growth, Inflation, Fiscal Policies, Financial Market Conditions, Capital Flows, Exchange Rates and Reserves, Global Trade and Imbalances, Risks to the Global Outlook.\n- Select numeric and period references in the table of contents:\n  - Time spans and datasets: 2004–12; 1978–2012; 2011–13; 2012; 2013.\n  - Country and group tables labeled A through F and numbered tables A1–A16, B1–B27.\n  - Specific figure and table identifiers (examples): 1.SF.1; 1.SF.2; 1.1.1; 3.1; 3.2.1; 3.16.a; 4.1.1."
    },
    {
      "heading": "Policy implications and recommendations (as presented)",
      "content": "- Advanced economies:\n  - Continue repair of the financial sector.\n  - Pursue fiscal consolidation consistent with growth and debt dynamics.\n  - Implement policies to spur job growth.\n- Emerging market economies:\n  - Manage the transition of slower growth and tighter global financial conditions.\n  - Consider policies and institutions that enhance resilience to volatile capital flows, including ways to encourage domestic residents to offset foreign outflows.\n- Cross-border and global policy focus:\n  - Monitor and assess spillovers from policy, financial, and growth shocks in major economies.\n  - Account for trade and financial linkages when designing national policies to reduce adverse international spillovers.\n\nIMF World Economic Outlook (WEO) — Transitions and Tensions, October 2013 — Table of Contents\n\n---\n\n Content in this bundle\n\n- Texta (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- Textc (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n- 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(CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig3 1 (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig3 10 (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig3 11 (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig3 12 (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig3 13 (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig3 14 (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig3 15 A (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig3 15 B (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig3 15 C (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig3 16 A (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig3 16 B (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig3 16 C (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig3 16 D (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig3 17 (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig3 2 1 (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig3 2 2 (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig3 2 3 (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig3 2 4 (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig3 2 5 (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig3 2 (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig3 3 (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig3 4 (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig3 5 (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig3 6 (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig3 7 (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig3 8 (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig3 9 (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig4 1 1 (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig4 1 (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig4 2 (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig4 3 (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig4 4 (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig4 5 (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig4 6 (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig4 7 (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n- Fig4 8 (CSV){rel=\"external\" type=\"text/csv\"}\n\n---\n\n References\n\n- https://www.imf.org/en/home\n\nSource: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2016/12/31/transitions-tensions"
    }
  ],
  "bullets": [
    "[Markdown version](/en/publications/weo/issues/2016/12/31/transitions-tensions/index.md)",
    "[Structured JSON version](/en/publications/weo/issues/2016/12/31/transitions-tensions/index.json)",
    "[Bundle manifest](/en/publications/weo/issues/2016/12/31/transitions-tensions/bundle-manifest.json)",
    "Published: October 7, 2013",
    "Series: World Economic Outlook",
    "Global growth is in low gear.",
    "Drivers of activity are changing, raising new policy challenges.",
    "Advanced economies are growing again but must:",
    "Emerging market economies face:",
    "The issue examines potential spillovers from these transitions and appropriate policy responses.",
    "Chapter 1: Global Prospects and Policies",
    "Chapter 2: Country and Regional Perspectives",
    "Chapter 3: Dancing Together? Spillovers, Common Shocks, and the Role of Financial and Trade Linkages",
    "Chapter 4: The Yin and Yang of Capital Flow Management: Balancing Capital Inflows with Capital Outflows",
    "Assumptions and Conventions; Further Information and Data; Statistical Appendix.",
    "Numerous tables and figures covering:",
    "Select numeric and period references in the table of contents:",
    "Advanced economies:",
    "Emerging market economies:",
    "Cross-border and global policy focus:",
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