## IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO) — Transitions and Tensions, October 2013 — Table of Contents

_World Economic Outlook, October 7, 2013_

## Source details

**Canonical URL:** [IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO) — Transitions and Tensions, October 2013 — Table of Contents](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2016/12/31/transitions-tensions)

## Other formats

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## Bibliographic details
- Published: October 7, 2013
- Series: World Economic Outlook

---

### Global outlook and main messages
- Global growth is in low gear.
- Drivers of activity are changing, raising new policy challenges.
- Advanced economies are growing again but must:
  - continue financial sector repair,
  - pursue fiscal consolidation,
  - spur job growth.
- Emerging market economies face:
  - the dual challenges of slowing growth and tighter global financial conditions.
- The issue examines potential spillovers from these transitions and appropriate policy responses.

### Analytical focus and chapter highlights
- Chapter 1: Global Prospects and Policies
  - Themes: Growth Dynamics Further Diverge; External Sector Developments; Policy Challenges; Rebalancing Global Demand.
  - Special Feature: Commodity Market Review, including boxes on booms and the current account, oil price drivers and the narrowing WTI-Brent spread, and country-specific analyses such as Abenomics.
- Chapter 2: Country and Regional Perspectives
  - Regional assessments: The United States and Canada; Europe; Asia; Latin America and the Caribbean; Commonwealth of Independent States; Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan, and Pakistan; Sub-Saharan Africa.
  - Emphasis on 2013 GDP growth forecasts and the effects of a plausible downside scenario.
- Chapter 3: Dancing Together? Spillovers, Common Shocks, and the Role of Financial and Trade Linkages
  - Explores evolution of output comovements and influence of:
    - policy shocks (unexpected monetary or fiscal tightening),
    - financial shocks (systemic banking crisis or renewed financial turmoil),
    - growth surprises in advanced economies or large emerging markets.
  - Sections: conceptual framework, role of common shocks and linkages, spillovers of country-specific shocks, summary and implications.
  - Empirical coverage spans periods and measures including 2004–12, 1978–2012, and growth surprise and shock decompositions.
- Chapter 4: The Yin and Yang of Capital Flow Management: Balancing Capital Inflows with Capital Outflows
  - Investigates why some emerging market economies avoided classical boom-and-bust cycles during the global financial crisis by domestic residents drawing down foreign assets to replace foreign capital.
  - Focus areas: financial adjustment and resilience; how more resilient economies differ; case studies (Chile, Malaysia, The Czech Republic); overall analysis.
  - Includes simulation: Box 4.1 Simulating Vulnerability to International Capital Market Conditions.

### Key datasets, tables, and figures referenced
- Assumptions and Conventions; Further Information and Data; Statistical Appendix.
- Numerous tables and figures covering:
  - Real GDP Growth, Inflation, Fiscal Policies, Financial Market Conditions, Capital Flows, Exchange Rates and Reserves, Global Trade and Imbalances, Risks to the Global Outlook.
- Select numeric and period references in the table of contents:
  - Time spans and datasets: 2004–12; 1978–2012; 2011–13; 2012; 2013.
  - Country and group tables labeled A through F and numbered tables A1–A16, B1–B27.
  - Specific figure and table identifiers (examples): 1.SF.1; 1.SF.2; 1.1.1; 3.1; 3.2.1; 3.16.a; 4.1.1.

### Policy implications and recommendations (as presented)
- Advanced economies:
  - Continue repair of the financial sector.
  - Pursue fiscal consolidation consistent with growth and debt dynamics.
  - Implement policies to spur job growth.
- Emerging market economies:
  - Manage the transition of slower growth and tighter global financial conditions.
  - Consider policies and institutions that enhance resilience to volatile capital flows, including ways to encourage domestic residents to offset foreign outflows.
- Cross-border and global policy focus:
  - Monitor and assess spillovers from policy, financial, and growth shocks in major economies.
  - Account for trade and financial linkages when designing national policies to reduce adverse international spillovers.

*IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO) — Transitions and Tensions, October 2013 — Table of Contents*

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---

## References

- [https://www.imf.org/en/home](https://www.imf.org/en/home)

_Source: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2016/12/31/transitions-tensions_