{
  "title": "Modeling Inflation in Chad",
  "publication": "IMF Working Papers, March 1, 2011",
  "sourceUrl": "https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2016/12/31/modeling-inflation-in-chad-24705",
  "canonical": "https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2016/12/31/modeling-inflation-in-chad-24705",
  "overlayPath": "/en/publications/wp/issues/2016/12/31/modeling-inflation-in-chad-24705/index.md",
  "summary": "This paper examines the determinants of inflation in Chad using quarterly data from 1983:Q1 to 2009:Q3. The analysis is based on a single-equation model, completed by a structural vector auto regression model to capture inflation persistence.",
  "sections": [
    {
      "heading": "Summary",
      "content": "- Examines determinants of inflation in Chad using quarterly data from 1983:Q1 to 2009:Q3.\n- Analysis is based on a single-equation model, completed by a structural vector auto regression model to capture inflation persistence.\n- Main determinants identified: rainfall, foreign prices, exchange rate movements, and public spending.\n- Persistence of effects:\n  - Rainfall shocks: persist during six quarters.\n  - Changes in foreign prices: persist during six quarters.\n  - Changes in public spending: affect inflation during three quarters.\n  - Changes in the nominal exchange rate: affect inflation during four quarters."
    },
    {
      "heading": "Methodology",
      "content": "- Data frequency and sample: quarterly data from 1983:Q1 to 2009:Q3.\n- Models used:\n  - Single-equation model to identify determinants.\n  - Structural vector auto regression (SVAR) model to capture inflation persistence."
    },
    {
      "heading": "Key Findings and Statistics",
      "content": "- Determinants of inflation: rainfall; foreign prices; exchange rate movements; public spending.\n- Persistence durations:\n  - Rainfall shocks — six quarters.\n  - Foreign prices — six quarters.\n  - Public spending — three quarters.\n  - Nominal exchange rate — four quarters.\n\n---\n\n Content in this bundle\n\n- Modeling Inflation in Chad; by Tidiane Kinda; IMF Working Paper 11/57; March 1, 2011\n  - Modeling Inflation in Chad; by Tidiane Kinda; IMF Working Paper 11/57; March 1, 2011 (Markdown version){rel=\"alternate\" type=\"text/markdown\"}\n  - Modeling Inflation in Chad; by Tidiane Kinda; IMF Working Paper 11/57; March 1, 2011 (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n\n---\n\nSource: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2016/12/31/modeling-inflation-in-chad-24705"
    }
  ],
  "bullets": [
    "[Markdown version](/en/publications/wp/issues/2016/12/31/modeling-inflation-in-chad-24705/index.md)",
    "[Structured JSON version](/en/publications/wp/issues/2016/12/31/modeling-inflation-in-chad-24705/index.json)",
    "[Bundle manifest](/en/publications/wp/issues/2016/12/31/modeling-inflation-in-chad-24705/bundle-manifest.json)",
    "Authors: Tidiane Kinda",
    "Published: March 1, 2011",
    "Series: IMF Working Papers",
    "DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9781455221011.001",
    "Examines determinants of inflation in Chad using quarterly data from 1983:Q1 to 2009:Q3.",
    "Analysis is based on a single-equation model, completed by a structural vector auto regression model to capture inflation persistence.",
    "Main determinants identified: rainfall, foreign prices, exchange rate movements, and public spending.",
    "Persistence of effects:",
    "Data frequency and sample: quarterly data from 1983:Q1 to 2009:Q3.",
    "Models used:",
    "Determinants of inflation: rainfall; foreign prices; exchange rate movements; public spending.",
    "Persistence durations:",
    "**Modeling Inflation in Chad; by Tidiane Kinda; IMF Working Paper 11/57; March 1, 2011**"
  ],
  "related": [
    {
      "title": "Modeling Inflation in Chad; by Tidiane Kinda; IMF Working Paper 11/57; March 1, 2011",
      "role": "document",
      "sourceUrl": "https://www.imf.org/-/media/websites/imf/imported-full-text-pdf/external/pubs/ft/wp/2011/_wp1157.pdf",
      "summary": {
        "path": "/-/media/websites/imf/imported-full-text-pdf/external/pubs/ft/wp/2011/_wp1157.pdf.md",
        "mime": "text/markdown"
      },
      "binary": {
        "path": "/-/media/websites/imf/imported-full-text-pdf/external/pubs/ft/wp/2011/_wp1157.pdf",
        "mime": "application/pdf"
      }
    }
  ],
  "alternates": {
    "markdown": "/en/publications/wp/issues/2016/12/31/modeling-inflation-in-chad-24705/index.md",
    "json": "/en/publications/wp/issues/2016/12/31/modeling-inflation-in-chad-24705/index.json",
    "bundleManifest": "/en/publications/wp/issues/2016/12/31/modeling-inflation-in-chad-24705/bundle-manifest.json"
  },
  "generatedAtUtc": "2026-09-17T18:03:00.445Z"
}