## Syria’s Conflict Economy

_IMF Working Papers, June 29, 2016_

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## Bibliographic details
- Authors: Jeanne Gobat, Kristina Kostial
- Published: June 29, 2016
- Series: IMF Working Papers
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9781498336826.001

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### Overview
- Five years into the ongoing and tragic conflict, the paper analyzes how Syria’s economy and its people have been affected and outlines the challenges in rebuilding the economy.
- With extreme limitations on information, the findings of the paper are subject to an extraordinary degree of uncertainty.

### Key findings
- The devastating civil war has set the country back decades in terms of economic, social and human development.
- Syria’s GDP today is less than half of what it was before the war started.
- It could take two decades or more for Syria to return to its pre-conflict GDP levels.
- While reconstructing damaged physical infrastructure will be a monumental task, rebuilding Syria’s human and social capital will be an even greater and lasting challenge.

### Analytical emphasis and caveats
- The analysis stresses severe data limitations and explicitly notes an extraordinary degree of uncertainty surrounding the findings.
- The paper focuses on economic, social, and human development impacts rather than operational reconstruction plans.

### Publication and authorship (selected)
- By Jeanne Gobat, Kristina Kostial
- June 29, 2016
- IMF Working Paper No. 2016/123
- Pages: 29
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9781498336826.001

*Source: IMF Working Paper “Syria’s Conflict Economy”*

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_Source: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2016/12/31/syrias-conflict-economy-44033_