{
  "title": "A Unified Model of Cohort Mortality for Economic Analysis",
  "publication": "IMF Working Papers, February 12, 2021",
  "sourceUrl": "https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2021/02/13/a-unified-model-of-cohort-mortality-for-economic-analysis-50062",
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  "summary": "We propose a dynamic production function of population health and mortality from birth onwards. Our parsimonious model provides an excellent fit for the mortality and survival curves for both primate and human populations since 1816.",
  "sections": [
    {
      "heading": "Summary",
      "content": "- Proposal: A dynamic production function of population health and mortality from birth onwards.\n- Model characteristics: Parsimonious; provides an excellent fit for mortality and survival curves for both primate and human populations since 1816.\n- Analytical scope: Sheds light on dynamics behind documented phenomena in the literature."
    },
    {
      "heading": "Key findings and analytic contributions",
      "content": "- The model explains the following phenomena:\n  - The existence and evolution of mortality gradients across socio-economic statuses.\n  - Non-monotonic dynamic effects of in-utero shocks.\n  - Persistent or “scarring” effects of wars.\n  - Mortality displacement after large temporary shocks such as extreme weather.\n- Empirical fit:\n  - Applies to primate and human populations since 1816.\n  - Described as providing an \"excellent fit\" for mortality and survival curves."
    },
    {
      "heading": "Publication and metadata (preserved exactly)",
      "content": "- Authors: Flavien Moreau, Adriana Lleras-Muney\n- Date: February 12, 2021\n- Series: Working Paper No. 2021/037\n- Issue: 037\n- Volume: 2021\n- Pages: 67\n- DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9781513569499.001\n- Stock No: WPIEA2021037\n- ISBN: 9781513569499\n- ISSN: 1018-5941\n- Format citation (Chicago) as presented: Flavien Moreau, and Adriana Lleras-Muney. \"A Unified Model of Cohort Mortality for Economic Analysis\", IMF Working Papers 2021, 037 (2021), accessed 9/16/2026, https://doi.org/10.5089/9781513569499.001\n\nIMF Working Paper No. 2021/037 — A Unified Model of Cohort Mortality for Economic Analysis\n\n---\n\n\nSource: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2021/02/13/a-unified-model-of-cohort-mortality-for-economic-analysis-50062"
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    "Authors: Flavien Moreau, Adriana Lleras-Muney",
    "Published: February 12, 2021",
    "Series: IMF Working Papers",
    "DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9781513569499.001",
    "Proposal: A dynamic production function of population health and mortality from birth onwards.",
    "Model characteristics: Parsimonious; provides an excellent fit for mortality and survival curves for both primate and human populations since 1816.",
    "Analytical scope: Sheds light on dynamics behind documented phenomena in the literature.",
    "The model explains the following phenomena:",
    "Empirical fit:",
    "Authors: Flavien Moreau, Adriana Lleras-Muney",
    "Date: February 12, 2021",
    "Series: Working Paper No. 2021/037",
    "Issue: 037",
    "Volume: 2021",
    "Pages: 67",
    "DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9781513569499.001",
    "Stock No: WPIEA2021037",
    "ISBN: 9781513569499",
    "ISSN: 1018-5941",
    "Format citation (Chicago) as presented: Flavien Moreau, and Adriana Lleras-Muney. \"A Unified Model of Cohort Mortality for Economic Analysis\", IMF Working Papers 2021, 037 (2021), accessed 9/16/2026, https://doi.org/10.5089/9781513569499.001"
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