{
  "title": "Adding Fuel to the Fire: How Weather Shocks Intensify Conflict",
  "publication": "IMF Working Papers, June 7, 2024",
  "sourceUrl": "https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2024/06/07/adding-fuel-to-the-fire-how-weather-shocks-intensify-conflict-549951",
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  "summary": "Do weather shocks worsen conflict around the world? To answer this question, this paper uses an innovative dataset created by using georeferencing to match weather and conflict data at the subregional level on a monthly frequency across 168 countries over 2013 to 2022.",
  "sections": [
    {
      "heading": "Research question and data",
      "content": "- Research question: Do weather shocks worsen conflict around the world?\n- Dataset and scope:\n  - Georeferencing to match weather and conflict data at the subregional level on a monthly frequency.\n  - Coverage: 168 countries.\n  - Time period: 2013 to 2022."
    },
    {
      "heading": "Key empirical findings",
      "content": "- Higher temperature exacerbate conflict where it already exists.\n- Projection under a high emissions scenario:\n  - By 2060, conflict deaths as a share of the population for a median country facing conflict could increase by 12.3 percent due to rising temperatures."
    },
    {
      "heading": "Implications for policy and practice",
      "content": "- Integrate climate resilience into peace and security efforts.\n- Design climate adaptation policies that support conflict prevention and resolution."
    },
    {
      "heading": "Subject areas and keywords (as stated in the source)",
      "content": "- Subjects: Climate change, Environment, Food security, Natural disasters, Population and demographics, Poverty.\n- Keywords: climate change; conflict; conflict intensity; East Africa; Food security; IMF working paper No. 24/112; impact of weather; Middle East; Natural disasters; precipitation; precipitation shock; temperature; weather shock.\n\nSidra Rehman and Laura Jaramillo, \"Adding Fuel to the Fire: How Weather Shocks Intensify Conflict\", IMF Working Papers, June 7, 2024.\n\n---\n\n Content in this bundle\n\n- Working Paper\n  - Working Paper (Markdown version){rel=\"alternate\" type=\"text/markdown\"}\n  - Working Paper (PDF){rel=\"external\" type=\"application/pdf\"}\n\n---\n\nSource: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2024/06/07/adding-fuel-to-the-fire-how-weather-shocks-intensify-conflict-549951"
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    "Authors: Sidra Rehman, Laura Jaramillo",
    "Published: June 7, 2024",
    "Series: IMF Working Papers",
    "DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9798400277818.001",
    "Research question: Do weather shocks worsen conflict around the world?",
    "Dataset and scope:",
    "Higher temperature exacerbate conflict where it already exists.",
    "Projection under a high emissions scenario:",
    "Integrate climate resilience into peace and security efforts.",
    "Design climate adaptation policies that support conflict prevention and resolution.",
    "Subjects: Climate change, Environment, Food security, Natural disasters, Population and demographics, Poverty.",
    "Keywords: climate change; conflict; conflict intensity; East Africa; Food security; IMF working paper No. 24/112; impact of weather; Middle East; Natural disasters; precipitation; precipitation shock; temperature; weather shock.",
    "**Working Paper**"
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