## Shedding Light on the Local Impact of Temperature

_IMF Working Papers, August 16, 2024_

## Source details

**Canonical URL:** [Shedding Light on the Local Impact of Temperature](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2024/08/16/shedding-light-on-the-local-impact-of-temperature-553559)

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## Bibliographic details
- Authors: Da Hoang, Duong Trung Le, Ha Nguyen, Nikola Spatafora
- Published: August 16, 2024
- Series: IMF Working Papers
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9798400287305.001

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### Summary
- Authors: Da Hoang, Duong Trung Le, Ha Nguyen, Nikola Spatafora  
- Publication: IMF Working Papers, Working Paper No. 2024/178  
- Date: August 16, 2024  
- Pages: 30  
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9798400287305.001  
- Abstract (key point): Analyzing 30-kilometer grid cells at a monthly frequency, temperature has a negative, highly statistically significant, and quantitatively large effect on output: a 1 °C increase in monthly temperature is associated with a 0.77 percent reduction in nighttime lights, a proxy for local economic activity.

### Key findings
- Unit of analysis: 30-kilometer grid cells at a monthly frequency.  
- Main quantitative estimate: A 1 °C increase in monthly temperature is associated with a 0.77 percent reduction in nighttime lights (proxy for local economic activity).  
- Statistical significance: The negative effect of temperature on output is described as highly statistically significant.  
- Persistence: The effects of even a temporary increase in temperature persist for almost one year after the shock.  
- Distributional heterogeneity: Increases in temperature have an especially large, negative impact on growth in poorer countries, indicating greater vulnerability to the impact of climate change.

### Themes and topics covered
- Climate change  
- Environment  
- Production  
- Productivity

### Keywords (as provided)
- B. data description  
- Climate change  
- economic growth  
- Global  
- Google Earth engine  
- IMF working paper No. 24/178  
- impact of temperature  
- nighttime lights  
- Productivity  
- temperature  
- temperature shock

*Source: Shedding Light on the Local Impact of Temperature — Da Hoang; Duong Trung Le; Ha Nguyen; Nikola Spatafora; August 16, 2024; IMF Working Paper No. 2024/178*

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- **Working Paper**
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_Source: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2024/08/16/shedding-light-on-the-local-impact-of-temperature-553559_