{
  "title": "Frederik Giancarlo Toscani",
  "sourceUrl": "https://www.imf.org/en/research/researcher-cv/author/toscani-frederik",
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  "summary": "Frederik Toscani is a Senior Economist in the IMF's European Department, covering the Euro Area. Previously he worked in the Western Hemisphere and Fiscal Affairs Departments. He holds a Ph.D. and an M.Phil. in Economics from the University of Cambridge and a B.Sc. in Economics from the London School of Economics.",
  "authors": [
    "Frederik Giancarlo Toscani"
  ],
  "sections": [
    {
      "heading": "Biography",
      "content": "Frederik Toscani is a Senior Economist in the IMF's European Department, covering the Euro Area. Previously he worked in the Western Hemisphere and Fiscal Affairs Departments. He holds a Ph.D. and an M.Phil. in Economics from the University of Cambridge and a B.Sc. in Economics from the London School of Economics."
    },
    {
      "heading": "Education",
      "content": "- Ph.D. in Economics, 2014, University of Cambridge.\n\n- M.Phil. in Economics, 2009, with Distinction, University of Cambridge\n\n- B.Sc. in Economics, 2008, First Class Honors, London School of Economics."
    },
    {
      "heading": "Field of Expertise",
      "content": "- Labor Economics\n\n- Development Economics"
    },
    {
      "heading": "IMF Direct Blog Posts",
      "content": "- Fiscal Costs of Hidden Deficits: Beware—When It Rains, It Pours\n\n- How the Commodity Boom Helped Tackle Poverty and Inequality in Latin America"
    },
    {
      "heading": "IMF Books and Working Papers",
      "content": "- A Silver Lining? The European Energy Crisis through the Lens of Directed Technical Change, Working Paper No. 2026/003 , January 9, 2026\n\n- Lifting Binding Constraints on Growth in Europe: Actionable Priorities to Deepen the Single Market, Working Paper No. 2025/113 , June 13, 2025\n\n- Migration into the EU: Stocktaking of Recent Developments and Macroeconomic Implications, Working Paper No. 2024/211 , September 27, 2024\n\n- Carbon Prices and Inflation in the Euro Area, Working Paper No. 2024/031 , February 16, 2024\n\n- Dissecting the Decline in Average Hours Worked in Europe, Working Paper No. 2024/002 , January 12, 2024\n\n- Euro Area Inflation after the Pandemic and Energy Shock: Import Prices, Profits and Wages, Working Paper No. 2023/131 , June 23, 2023\n\n- Targeted, Implementable, and Practical Energy Relief Measures for Households in Europe, Working Paper No. 2022/262 , December 16, 2022\n\n- A Bottom-Up Reduced Form Phillips Curve for the Euro Area, Working Paper No. 2022/260 , December 16, 2022\n\n- Natural Gas in Europe: The Potential Impact of Disruptions to Supply, Working Paper No. 2022/145 , July 19, 2022\n\n- Estimating the Employment and GDP Multiplier of Emergency Cash Transfers in Brazil, Working Paper No. 2022/055 , March 18, 2022\n\n- Commodity Cycles, Inequality, and Poverty in Latin America, Departmental Paper No 2021/009 , April 26, 2021\n\n- The Short-Term Impact of COVID-19 on Labor Markets, Poverty and Inequality in Brazil, Working Paper No. 2021/066 , March 5, 2021\n\n- Labor Market Informality and the Business Cycle, Working Paper No. 2020/256 , November 20, 2020\n\n- Informality and the Challenge of Pension Adequacy: Outlook and Reform Options for Peru, Working Paper No. 2019/149 , July 11, 2019\n\n- More Work to Do? Taking Stock of Latin American Labor Markets, Working Paper No. 2019/055 , March 8, 2019\n\n- Explaining Inflation in Colombia: A Disaggregated Phillips Curve Approach, Working Paper No. 2018/106 , May 10, 2018\n\n- The Impact of Natural Resource Discoveries in Latin America and the Caribbean: A Closer Look at the Case of Bolivia, Working Paper No. 2017/027 , February 10, 2017\n\n- Winning the Oil Lottery: The Impact of Natural Resource Extraction on Growth, Working Paper No. 2016/061 , March 14, 2016\n\n- The Fiscal Costs of Contingent Liabilities: A New Dataset, Working Paper No. 2016/014 , February 8, 2016\n\n- Structural Reforms, IMF Programs and Capacity Building: An Empirical Investigation, Working Paper No. 2012/232 , September 21, 2012\n\n- Education Attainment in Public Administration Around the World: Evidence from a New Dataset, Working Paper No. 2012/231 , September 21, 2012"
    },
    {
      "heading": "F&D articles",
      "content": "- A Move South"
    },
    {
      "heading": "Other Published Materials",
      "content": "- Book Chapter: “Poverty and Inequality in Brazil and Latin America” (joint with R. Balakrishnan and M. Vargas) in A. Spilimbergo and K. Srinivasan, Brazil: Boom, Bust and the Road to Recovery, 2019, IMF, Washington DC.\n\n- IMF Research Bulletin (December 2015), “Winning the Oil Lottery: The Impact of Natural Resource Extraction on Growth” (joint with T. Cavalcanti and D. da Mata)\n\n- IMF Research Bulletin (June 2013): “Structural Reforms, IMF Programs and Capacity Building: An Empirical Investigation” (joint with R. Arezki and M. Quintyn)"
    },
    {
      "heading": "Publications in Journals (Referred)",
      "content": "- Arezki, R., F. van der Ploeg and F. Toscani (2019), \"The shifting natural wealth of nations: The role of market orientation\", Journal of Development Economics, Volume 138, pp 228-245.\n\n- Bova, E., Ruiz-Arranz, M., Toscani, F.G. and E. Ture (2019), \"The impact of contingent liability realizations on public finances\", International Tax and Public Finance, Volume 26, Issue 2, pp 381–417.\n\n- Cavalcanti, T., Da Mata, D. & Toscani, F (2019) \"Winning the oil lottery: the impact of natural resource extraction on growth\", Journal of Economic Growth, Volume 24, Issue 1, pp 79–115."
    },
    {
      "heading": "Other Published Materials",
      "content": "- VoxEU (15 December 2016), “The shifting natural wealth of nations” (joint with R. Arezki and R. van der Ploeg)\n\n- VoxEU (15 March 2016), “Budgetary Surprises: Fiscal costs of contingent liabilities” (joint with E. Bova, M. Ruiz-Arranz and E. Ture)"
    }
  ],
  "bullets": [
    "Ph.D. in Economics, 2014, University of Cambridge.",
    "M.Phil. in Economics, 2009, with Distinction, University of Cambridge",
    "B.Sc. in Economics, 2008, First Class Honors, London School of Economics.",
    "Labor Economics",
    "Development Economics",
    "[Fiscal Costs of Hidden Deficits: Beware—When It Rains, It Pours](https://blogs.imf.org/2016/02/09/fiscal-costs-of-hidden-deficits-beware-when-it-rains-it-pours/)",
    "[How the Commodity Boom Helped Tackle Poverty and Inequality in Latin America](https://blogs.imf.org/2018/06/21/how-the-commodity-boom-helped-tackle-poverty-and-inequality-in-latin-america/)",
    "[A Silver Lining? The European Energy Crisis through the Lens of Directed Technical Change](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2026/01/09/a-silver-lining-the-european-energy-crisis-through-the-lens-of-directed-technical-change-573066), Working Paper No. 2026/003 , January 9, 2026",
    "[Lifting Binding Constraints on Growth in Europe: Actionable Priorities to Deepen the Single Market](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2025/06/13/lifting-binding-constraints-on-growth-in-europe-actionable-priorities-to-deepen-the-single-567610), Working Paper No. 2025/113 , June 13, 2025",
    "[Migration into the EU: Stocktaking of Recent Developments and Macroeconomic Implications](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2024/09/27/migration-into-the-eu-stocktaking-of-recent-developments-and-macroeconomic-implications-555578), Working Paper No. 2024/211 , September 27, 2024",
    "[Carbon Prices and Inflation in the Euro Area](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2024/02/09/carbon-prices-and-inflation-in-the-euro-area-544465), Working Paper No. 2024/031 , February 16, 2024",
    "[Dissecting the Decline in Average Hours Worked in Europe](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2024/01/10/dissecting-the-decline-in-average-hours-worked-in-europe-542417), Working Paper No. 2024/002 , January 12, 2024",
    "[Euro Area Inflation after the Pandemic and Energy Shock: Import Prices, Profits and Wages](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2023/06/23/euro-area-inflation-after-the-pandemic-and-energy-shock-import-prices-profits-and-wages-534837), Working Paper No. 2023/131 , June 23, 2023",
    "[Targeted, Implementable, and Practical Energy Relief Measures for Households in Europe](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2022/12/17/targeted-implementable-and-practical-energy-relief-measures-for-households-in-europe-526980), Working Paper No. 2022/262 , December 16, 2022",
    "[A Bottom-Up Reduced Form Phillips Curve for the Euro Area](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2022/12/16/a-bottom-up-reduced-form-phillips-curve-for-the-euro-area-522749), Working Paper No. 2022/260 , December 16, 2022",
    "[Natural Gas in Europe: The Potential Impact of Disruptions to Supply](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2022/07/18/natural-gas-in-europe-the-potential-impact-of-disruptions-to-supply-520934), Working Paper No. 2022/145 , July 19, 2022",
    "[Estimating the Employment and GDP Multiplier of Emergency Cash Transfers in Brazil](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2022/03/18/estimating-the-employment-and-gdp-multiplier-of-emergency-cash-transfers-in-brazil-515147), Working Paper No. 2022/055 , March 18, 2022",
    "[Commodity Cycles, Inequality, and Poverty in Latin America](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/departmental-papers-policy-papers/issues/2021/04/26/commodity-cycles-inequality-and-poverty-in-latin-america-45381), Departmental Paper No 2021/009 , April 26, 2021",
    "[The Short-Term Impact of COVID-19 on Labor Markets, Poverty and Inequality in Brazil](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2021/03/05/the-short-term-impact-of-covid-19-on-labor-markets-poverty-and-inequality-in-brazil-50124), Working Paper No. 2021/066 , March 5, 2021",
    "[Labor Market Informality and the Business Cycle](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2020/11/20/labor-market-informality-and-the-business-cycle-49892), Working Paper No. 2020/256 , November 20, 2020",
    "[Informality and the Challenge of Pension Adequacy: Outlook and Reform Options for Peru](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2019/07/11/informality-and-the-challenge-of-pension-adequacy-outlook-and-reform-options-for-peru-46967), Working Paper No. 2019/149 , July 11, 2019",
    "[More Work to Do? Taking Stock of Latin American Labor Markets](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2019/03/09/more-work-to-do-taking-stock-of-latin-american-labor-markets-46661), Working Paper No. 2019/055 , March 8, 2019",
    "[Explaining Inflation in Colombia: A Disaggregated Phillips Curve Approach](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2018/05/10/explaining-inflation-in-colombia-a-disaggregated-phillips-curve-approach-45850), Working Paper No. 2018/106 , May 10, 2018",
    "[The Impact of Natural Resource Discoveries in Latin America and the Caribbean: A Closer Look at the Case of Bolivia](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2017/02/10/the-impact-of-natural-resource-discoveries-in-latin-america-and-the-caribbean-a-closer-look-44652), Working Paper No. 2017/027 , February 10, 2017",
    "[Winning the Oil Lottery: The Impact of Natural Resource Extraction on Growth](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2016/12/31/winning-the-oil-lottery-the-impact-of-natural-resource-extraction-on-growth-43789), Working Paper No. 2016/061 , March 14, 2016",
    "[The Fiscal Costs of Contingent Liabilities: A New Dataset](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2016/12/31/the-fiscal-costs-of-contingent-liabilities-a-new-dataset-43685), Working Paper No. 2016/014 , February 8, 2016",
    "[Structural Reforms, IMF Programs and Capacity Building: An Empirical Investigation](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2016/12/31/structural-reforms-imf-programs-and-capacity-building-an-empirical-investigation-40009), Working Paper No. 2012/232 , September 21, 2012",
    "[Education Attainment in Public Administration Around the World: Evidence from a New Dataset](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/wp/issues/2016/12/31/education-attainment-in-public-administration-around-the-world-evidence-from-a-new-dataset-40006), Working Paper No. 2012/231 , September 21, 2012",
    "[A Move South](https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2016/03/arezki.htm)",
    "Book Chapter: “Poverty and Inequality in Brazil and Latin America” (joint with R. Balakrishnan and M. Vargas) in A. Spilimbergo and K. Srinivasan, Brazil: Boom, Bust and the Road to Recovery, 2019, IMF, Washington DC.",
    "[IMF Research Bulletin (December 2015), “Winning the Oil Lottery: The Impact of Natural Resource Extraction on Growth” (joint with T. Cavalcanti and D. da Mata)](https://www.elibrary.imf.org/abstract/IMF026/23145-9781498322461/23145-9781498322461/23145-9781498322461_A002.xml?rskey=2Y7hvV&result=2&redirect=true)",
    "IMF Research Bulletin (June 2013): “Structural Reforms, IMF Programs and Capacity Building: An Empirical Investigation” (joint with R. Arezki and M. Quintyn)",
    "[Arezki, R., F. van der Ploeg and F. Toscani (2019), \"The shifting natural wealth of nations: The role of market orientation\", Journal of Development Economics, Volume 138, pp 228-245.](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304387818307338)",
    "[Bova, E., Ruiz-Arranz, M., Toscani, F.G. and E. Ture (2019), \"The impact of contingent liability realizations on public finances\", International Tax and Public Finance, Volume 26, Issue 2, pp 381–417.](https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10797-018-9496-1)",
    "[Cavalcanti, T., Da Mata, D. & Toscani, F (2019) \"Winning the oil lottery: the impact of natural resource extraction on growth\", Journal of Economic Growth, Volume 24, Issue 1, pp 79–115.](https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10887-018-09161-z)",
    "[VoxEU (15 December 2016), “The shifting natural wealth of nations” (joint with R. Arezki and R. van der Ploeg)](https://voxeu.org/article/shifting-natural-wealth-nations)",
    "[VoxEU (15 March 2016), “Budgetary Surprises: Fiscal costs of contingent liabilities” (joint with E. Bova, M. Ruiz-Arranz and E. Ture)](https://voxeu.org/article/two-hundred-budget-surprises-new-imf-dataset)"
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