Lebanon Local Office Site
IMF Local Office in Lebanon
This web page provides information on the activities of the Office, views of the IMF staff, and the relations between Lebanon and the IMF. Additional information can be found on Lebanon and IMF country page, including official IMF reports and Executive Board documents in English that deal with Lebanon.
News — Highlights
Based on the recently published official national accounts for 1997-2010, this paper presents an update about the main contributors to Lebanon’s real GDP growth, decomposes value-added by sector and demand components, discusses disposable income, and provides a regional comparison of GDP performance. It follows two notes published in July 2010 and March 2011.
The economic outlook for the Middle East and North Africa region is mixed. Most of the region’s oil-exporting countries are growing at healthy rates while the oil importers face subdued economic prospects, the IMF says in its latest assessment.
Recent uprisings in the Middle East and North Africa provide an opportunity for the region to lay the foundation for a socially inclusive growth agenda, but in the near term, oil-importing countries face multiple pressures stemming from higher crude prices and disruptions to economic activity, the IMF said in its latest assessment of the region.
Lebanon and The IMF
Statement by the Hon. Ali Hassan Khalil, Governor of the World Bank Group for Lebanon, on behalf of the Arab Governors
October 8, 2014
PDF File Size: 174Kb
Regional Economic Outlook Update: Middle East & Central Asia
A large and possibly persistent decline in oil prices, and slower-than-projected growth in the euro area, China, Japan, and Russia, have substantially altered the economic context for countries in the Middle East and Central Asia. The appropriate policy response will depend on whether a country is an oil exporter or importer. A common theme, however, is that these developments present both an opportunity and an impetus to reform energy subsidies and step up structural reform efforts to support jobs and growth.
Lower oil prices have weakened the external and fiscal balances of oil exporters, including members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC). Large buffers and available financing should allow most oil exporters to avoid sharp cuts in government spending, limiting the impact on near-term growth and financial stability. Oil exporters should prudently treat the oil price decline as largely permanent and adjust their medium-term fiscal consolidation plans so as to prevent major erosion of their buffers and to ensure intergenerational equity.
Gains from lower oil prices provide much-needed breathing space for oil importers but will be offset by a concurrent decline in external demand, particularly from Russia, but also from the euro area and China. Russia's sharp slowdown and currency depreciation have weakened the outlook for the Caucasus and Central Asia (CCA) because of strong linkages through trade, remittances, and foreign direct investment, suggesting the need for greater exchange rate flexibility and near-term fiscal easing where financing allows, along with stepped-up reform efforts.