Marcos Chamon is a Senior Economist in the Systemic Issues Division of the Research Department (RES) of the International Monetary Fund. He has worked on a wide range of topics related to international finance, including problems related to sovereign debt structure, and restructuring, liability denomination, indexation of debt to GDP, the international financial architecture, country insurance, methodologies to assess vulnerabilities in emerging markets and advanced economies, consumption and savings in China, currency composition of reserves, the emerging market’s policy responses to the Global Financial Crisis, the design of capital controls and macro prudential policies. Prior to joining the Fund, he obtained a Ph.D. in Economics from Harvard University in 2003.
Fluent In: Portuguese.
2003 Ph.D. in Economics, Harvard University
Thesis: “Essays on International Debt.”
1998 S.B. in Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Visiting Assistant Professor, Pontifícia Universidade Católica do Rio de Janeiro, Fall 2007.
IMF Books and Working Papers:
Consumption Based Estimates of Urban Chinese Growth, Working Paper No. 13/265, December 23, 2013
Two Targets, Two Instruments: Monetary and Exchange Rate Policies in Emerging Market Economies, Staff Discussion Notes No. 12/1, February 29, 2012
The Problem that Wasn’t: Coordination Failures in Sovereign Debt Restructurings, Working Paper No. 11/265, November 01, 2011
Country Insurance Using Financial Instruments, Working Paper No. 11/169, July 01, 2011
Managing Capital Inflows: What Tools to Use?, Staff Discussion Notes No. 11/6, April 05, 2011
Income Uncertainty and Household Savings in China, Working Paper No. 10/289, December 01, 2010
Capital Inflows: The Role of Controls, Staff Position Note No. 2010/4, February 19, 2010
Coping with the Crisis: Policy Options for Emerging Market Countries, Staff Position Note No. 2009/08, April 23, 2009
The Myth of Post-Reform Income Stagnation: Evidence from Brazil and Mexico, Working Paper No. 08/197, August 01, 2008
Why are Saving Rates of Urban Households in China Rising?, Working Paper No. 08/145, June 01, 2008
Is There a Novelty Premium on New Financial Instruments? The Argentine Experience with GDP-Indexed Warrants, Working Paper No. 08/109, April 01, 2008
The Myth of Post-Reform Income Stagnation in Brazil, Working Paper No. 06/275, December 01, 2006
Economic Transformation, Population Growth, and the Long-Run World Income Distribution, Working Paper No. 06/21, January 01, 2006
Pricing Growth-Indexed Bonds, Working Paper No. 05/216, November 01, 2005
Sovereign Debt Structure for Crisis Prevention, Occasional Paper No. 237, January 26, 2005
Can Debt Crises Be Self-Fulfilling?, Working Paper No. 04/99, June 01, 2004
Publications in Journals (Refereed)
“Tools for Managing Financial-Stability Risks from Capital Inflows” (with Jonathan D. Ostry, Atish Ghosh and Mahvash Qureshi). Journal of International Economics, forthcoming.
"The Iceberg Theory of Campaign Contributions: Political Threats and Interest Group Behavior" joint with Ethan Kaplan. The American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, forthcoming.
“The Myth of Post-Reform Income Stagnation: Evidence from Brazil and Mexico” (with Irineu de Carvalho Filho). Journal of Development Economics, Volume 97 (2), March 2012, pp. 368-386.
“Capital Controls—When and Why?” (with Jonathan D. Ostry, Atish R. Ghosh, and Mahvash S. Qureshi). IMF Economic Review, Vol. 59(3), 2011, pp. 562-580.
“IMF Policy Advice to Emerging Market Economies During the 2008-2009 Crisis: New Fund or New Fundamentals?” (with Atish R. Ghosh, Christopher Crowe, Jun Il Kim, and Jonathan D. Ostry) Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy, Volume 2 (1), 2011, pp. 1-17.
“Why are Saving Rates of Urban Households in China Rising?” (with Eswar Prasad). American Economic Journal Macroeconomics, January 2010, Vol 2(1), pp.93-130.
“Economic Transformation, Population Growth and the Long-Run World Income Distribution.” (with Michael Kremer). Journal of International Economics, September 2009, Vol 79(1), pp.20-30.
“A Micro-Empirical Foundation for the Political Economy of Exchange Rate Populism” (with Irineu de Carvalho Filho), IMF Staff Papers, September 2008, V.55(3), pp. 481-510.
“Cars: Mass Car Ownership in the Emerging Market Giants” (with Paolo Mauro and Yohei Okawa), Economic Policy, April 2008, Vol. 23, Issue 54, pp. 243-296.
“Can We Predict the Next Capital Account Crises” (with Paolo Manasse and Alessandro Prati), IMF Staff Papers, September 2007, V.54(2), pp. 270-305.
“Can Debt Crises Be Self-Fulfilling”, Journal of Development Economics, January 2007, v. 82(1), pp. 234-44.
“Asian Growth and African Development” (with Michael Kremer), American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, May 2006, Vol 96(2), pp. 400-404.
“Pricing Growth Indexed Bonds” (with Paolo Mauro), Journal of Banking and Finance, 2006, Vol. 30(12), pp. 3349-66.
Other Published Materials
“Why do Countries Borrow the Way They Borrow” (with Ricardo Hausmann), in Barry
Eichengreen and Ricardo Hausman (eds.), Debt Denomination and Financial Instability in Emerging
Market Economies (Chicago: University of Chicago Press), 2004.