IMF Staff Country Reports

Montenegro: 2018 Article IV Consultation-Press Release and Staff Report

May 21, 2018

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Format: Chicago

International Monetary Fund. European Dept. "Montenegro: 2018 Article IV Consultation-Press Release and Staff Report", IMF Staff Country Reports 2018, 121 (2018), accessed 12/30/2025, https://doi.org/10.5089/9781484356968.002

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Summary

This 2018 Article IV Consultation highlights that Montenegro’s economy is growing strongly, boosted by the implementation of large investment projects, including the construction of the Bar-Boljare highway. Growth should continue over the medium term, albeit at a more moderate pace as highway construction ends. The IMF staff projects the economy to expand by 3 percent in 2018 and 2.5 percent in 2019, with fiscal consolidation also acting as a moderate drag on growth. Although the implementation of large publicly financed infrastructure projects has added to economic growth, the accompanying use of fiscal resources has contributed to a large increase in government debt. Economic growth should remain strong in 2018, notwithstanding fiscal consolidation, and maintain momentum over the medium term.

Subject: Banking, Capital spending, Expenditure, Fiscal consolidation, Fiscal policy, Fiscal stance, Public debt

Keywords: Capital spending, CPI indexation, CR, debt, Fiscal consolidation, Fiscal stance, GDP, Global, government, government debt, government finances, IMF TA, ISCR, Montenegrin authorities, Montenegro, pension sustainability, public-sector workforce, surplus