Capital Flow Deflection

By Paolo Giordani, Michèle Ruta, Hans Weisfeld, Ling Zhu

August 8, 2014

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Format: Chicago

Paolo Giordani, Michèle Ruta, Hans Weisfeld, and Ling Zhu. Capital Flow Deflection, (USA: International Monetary Fund, 2014) accessed September 19, 2024

Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate

Summary

This paper focuses on the coordination problem among borrowing countries imposing controls on capital infl ows. In a simple model of capital flows and controls, we show that inflow restrictions distort international capital flows to other countries and that, in turn, such capital flow deflection may lead to a policy response. We then test the theory using data on inflow restrictions and gross capital inflows for a large sample of developing countries between 1995 and 2009. Our estimation yields strong evidence that capital controls deflect capital flows to other borrowing countries with similar economic characteristics. Notwithstanding these strong cross-border spillover effects, we do not find evidence of a policy response.

Subject: Balance of payments, Capital controls, Capital flows, Capital inflows, Capital outflows, Financial services, Real interest rates

Keywords: Africa, Borrowing country, Capital control, Capital controls, Capital flow deflection, Capital flows, Capital inflows, Capital outflows, Cross-border spillovers, Flow deflection, Global, Inflow control, Interest rate, Policy response, Real interest rates, Spillover effect, WP

Publication Details

Pages:

47
Volume:

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DOI:

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Issue:

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Series:

Working Paper No. 2014/145
Stock No:

WPIEA2014145
ISBN:

9781498383202
ISSN:

1018-5941

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