Loading component...
Fiscal Monitor
Back To Work: How Fiscal Policy Can Help
October 2014
[$token_name="PublicationDisclaimer"]
With the recovery uneven, uncertainties still widespread, and social tensions rising, fiscal policy must find ways to put public finances on a firmer footing while at the same time supporting long-term growth. Specifics of course vary across country groups. In advanced economies, weak recovery and low inflation call for a delicate balance between support for growth and debt sustainability. Emerging markets should take advantage of their still favorable positions to rebuild policy buffers. And low-income countries should decisively strengthen fiscal governance to make productive use of their natural and financial resources. But in all cases fiscal policy must, maybe more than in the past, incorporate measures aimed at increasing productivity, employment, and long term growth.
| Boxes | ||||
| 1.1 | Lowflation and Debt in the Euro Area | |||
| 1.2 | The Fiscal Implications of International Bond Issuance by Low-Income Developing Countries | |||
| Figures | ||||
| 1.1 | Fiscal Trends in Advanced Economies | |||
| 1.2 | Historical Fiscal Adjustment Episodes in Advanced Economies | |||
| 1.3 | Fiscal Trends in Emerging Market and Middle-Income Economies | |||
| 1.4 | Fiscal Trends in Low-Income Developing Countries | |||
| Tables | ||||
| 1.1a | Fiscal Balances, 2008−15: Overall Balance | |||
| 1.1b | Fiscal Balances, 2008−15: Cyclically Adjusted Balance | |||
| 1.2 | General Government Debt, 2008–15 | |||
| 1.3 | Selected Advanced Economies: Gross Financing Needs, 2014–16 | |||
| 1.4 | Selected Advanced Economies: Financial Sector Support | |||
| 1.5 | Selected Emerging Market and Middle-Income Economies: Gross Financing Needs, 2014–15 | |||
| Boxes | ||||
| 2.1 | Targeted Employer Social Security Contribution Cuts: Lessons from Experiences in Advanced Economies | |||
| 2.2 | Do Old Workers Crowd Out the Youth? | |||
| Figures | ||||
| 2.1 | Average Unemployment Rate by Country Group | |||
| 2.2 | Advanced Economies: Impact of Expenditure- and Revenue-Based Consolidations on Employment | |||
| 2.3 | Advanced Economies: Impact of Expenditure- and Revenue-Based Consolidations on Different Unemployment Segments | |||
| 2.4 | Advanced Economies: Impact of Expenditure- and Revenue-Based Consolidations Following Protracted Recessions on Employment | |||
| 2.5 | Developing Economies: Impact of Expenditure- and Revenue-Based Consolidations on Employment | |||
| 2.6 | Labor Reforms Trends among OECD Countries, 1985–2011 | |||
| 2.7 | Direct Fiscal Costs of Labor Market Reforms | |||
| 2.8 | Fiscal Costs of Measures Compensating Redistributive Effects of Labor Reforms | |||
| 2.9 | Implications of a Two-Handed Approach to Reforms | |||
| 2.10 | Relationship between the Tax Wedge and Employment Rate | |||
| 2.11 | Social Assistance Coverage and Social Spending | |||
| 2.12 | Low Social Security Coverage: Tax Wedge and Employment | |||
| 2.13 | OECD Countries: Impact of Cuts in Employer Social Security Contributions | |||
| 2.14 | OECD Countries: Employment Impact of One Percentage Point Employer SSC Cut across Different Degrees of Labor Market Regulation | |||
| 2.15 | European Union: Frequency of Employer Social Security Contribution Cuts by Group, 2000–13 | |||
| 2.16 | Impact on Employment Growth of a Cut in Employer Social Security Contributions | |||
| 2.17 | Change in Life Expectancy at Age 60 and Effective Retirement Ages for Men | |||
| 2.18 | Labor Force Participation Rates by Gender, Ages 60–64 | |||
| 2.19 | Statutory versus Effective Retirement Ages for Men, 2012 | |||
| 2.20 | Pension Replacement Rates for Average Worker versus Retirement Age Gap for Men, 2012 | |||
| 2.21 | Average Wage Earners: Replacement Rates for Mandatory and Voluntary Public and Private Pension Schemes | |||
| 2.22 | Select Advanced Economies: Probability of Exiting the Labor Market | |||
| 2.23 | Implicit Tax Rate and Men’s Effective Retirement Age, 2009 | |||
| Statistical Tables | ||||
| 1. | Advanced Economies: General Government Overall Balance | |||
| 2. | Advanced Economies: General Government Primary Balance | |||
| 3. | Advanced Economies: General Government Cyclically Adjusted Balance | |||
| 4. | Advanced Economies: General Government Cyclically Adjusted Primary Balance | |||
| 5. | Advanced Economies: General Government Revenue | |||
| 6. | Advanced Economies: General Government Expenditure | |||
| 7. | Advanced Economies: General Government Gross Debt | |||
| 8. | Advanced Economies: General Government Net Debt | |||
| 9. | Emerging Market and Middle-Income Economies: General Government Overall Balance | |||
| 10. | Emerging Market and Middle-Income Economies: General Government Primary Balance | |||
| 11. | Emerging Market and Middle-Income Economies: General Government Cyclically Adjusted Balance | |||
| 12. | Emerging Market and Middle-Income Economies: General Government Cyclically Adjusted Primary Balance | |||
| 13. | Emerging Market and Middle-Income Economies: General Government Revenue | |||
| 14. | Emerging Market and Middle-Income Economies: General Government Expenditure | |||
| 15. | Emerging Market and Middle-Income Economies: General Government Gross Debt | |||
| 16. | Emerging Market and Middle-Income Economies: General Government Net Debt | |||
| 17. | Low-Income Developing Countries: General Government Overall Balance | |||
| 18. | Low-Income Developing Countries: General Government Primary Balance | |||
| 19. | Low-Income Developing Countries: General Government Revenue | |||
| 20. | Low-Income Developing Countries: General Government Expenditure | |||
| 21. | Low-Income Developing Countries: General Government Gross Debt | |||
| 22. | Low-Income Developing Countries: General Government Net Debt | |||
| 23a. | Advanced Economies: Structural Fiscal Indicators | |||
| 23b. | Emerging Market and Middle-Income Economies: Structural Fiscal Indicators | |||
| 24a. | Advanced Economies: Illustrative Adjustment Needs Based on Long-Term Debt Targets | |||
| 24b. | Advanced Economies: Illustrative Adjustment Needs Based on Medium-Term Structural Balance Targets | |||
| 25. | Emerging Market Economies: Illustrative Adjustment Needs Based on Long-Term Debt Targets | |||