Egypt: IMF Reaches Staff-Level Agreement on a Three-Year US$12 Billion Extended Fund Facility
IMF News, August 11, 2016
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- Published: August 11, 2016
Mission and Agreement
- Mission led by Mr. Chris Jarvis visited Cairo from July 30 to August 11, 2016.
- Staff-level agreement reached on a three-year Extended Fund Facility (EFF) in the amount of SDR 8.5966 billion (422 percent of quota or about US$12 billion).
- Staff-level agreement is subject to approval by the IMF’s Executive Board, which is expected to consider Egypt’s request in the coming weeks.
- Press release date: August 11, 2016.
- IMF Communications Department media contact: PRESS OFFICER: Randa Mohamed Elnagar; Phone: +1 202 623-7100; Email: MEDIA@IMF.org.
Program Objectives and Policy Anchors
- The EFF supports the authorities’ comprehensive economic reform program as approved by the parliament.
- Program aims:
- Improve the functioning of the foreign exchange markets.
- Bring down the budget deficit and government debt.
- Raise growth and create jobs, especially for women and young people.
- Strengthen the social safety net to protect the poor and vulnerable groups. Social protection is described as a cornerstone in the program.
Fiscal Policy and Public Debt
- Fiscal anchor: place public debt on a clearly declining path toward more sustainable levels.
- Projected general government debt trajectory over the program period:
- Decline from about 98% in 15/16 to about 88% of GDP in 2018/19.
- Policy measures to achieve fiscal consolidation:
- Raise revenue and rationalize spending to reduce the deficit and free up public funds for high-priority spending (infrastructure, health, education, social protection).
- Adopt the VAT law after approval by the parliament (as indicated in the budget approved by the parliament).
- Continue the program begun in 2014 to rationalize energy subsidies.
- Advance the structural reform agenda to increase investment and strengthen the role of the private sector.
Social Protection and Safety Nets
- Social protection measures will be prioritized and financed in part by budgetary savings from other measures.
- Specific social protection commitments include:
- Preserve or increase support for insurance and medicine for the poor.
- Preserve or increase subsidies for infant milk and medicine for children.
- Provide health insurance for young children and female primary providers.
- Provide targeted social transfers.
- Expand vocational training for youth.
- Develop a plan to enhance the school meals program.
- Priority will also be given to investment in public infrastructure.
Monetary, Exchange Rate, and Financial Sector Policies
- CBE monetary and exchange rate policy objectives:
- Improve the functioning of the foreign exchange market.
- Increase foreign reserves.
- Bring down inflation to single digits during the program.
- Policy orientation:
- Move to a flexible exchange rate regime to strengthen competitiveness, support exports and tourism, and attract foreign direct investment.
- Expected outcomes: foster growth and jobs and reduce financing needs.
- Financial sector policies aimed at safeguarding the strength and stability of the banking system.
Structural Reforms and Governance
- Structural reforms will target:
- Improving the business environment.
- Deepening labor markets.
- Simplifying regulations.
- Promoting competition.
- Ambition: significantly improve Egypt’s ratings in Doing Business and Global Competitiveness.
- Public financial management and fiscal transparency will be strengthened to improve governance, delivery of public services, enhance accountability, and combat corruption.
External Support and Partnerships
- IMF stands ready to partner with Egypt in implementing the program and will encourage other multilateral agencies and countries to support Egypt.
- Consultations with World Bank and African Development Bank indicate willingness to help.
- The statement notes it would be helpful for Egypt’s bilateral partners to step forward at this critical time.
Key Quotations from Mr. Chris Jarvis (Mission Chief)
- “I am pleased to announce that, in support of the government’s economic reform program, the Egyptian government, the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) and the IMF team have reached a staff-level agreement on a three-year Extended Fund Facility (EFF) in the amount of SDR 8.5966 billion (422 percent of quota or about US$12 billion).”
- “Egypt is a strong country with great potential but it has some problems that need to be fixed urgently.”
- “Social protection is a cornerstone in the government’s reform program.”
- “With the implementation of the government reform program, together with the help of Egypt’s friends, the Egyptian economy will return to its full potential. This will help achieve inclusive job-rich growth and raise living standards for the Egyptian people.”
International Monetary Fund — End-of-Mission staff statement (August 11, 2016).