IMF Staff Completes Review Mission to Niger
IMF News, November 12, 2019
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Bibliographic details
- Published: November 12, 2019
Mission context and timeline
- Press Release No. 19/409; November 12, 2019.
- An IMF staff team led by Christoph A. Klingen visited Niamey from October 29 to November 12, 2019.
- Purpose: conduct discussions on the fifth review of the program supported by the Extended Credit Facility (ECF) arrangement.
- Niger’s program was approved by the IMF Board on January 23, 2017.
- Staff-level agreement reached for the completion of the fifth review; it could be considered by the Executive Board of the IMF in early-January 2020.
Macroeconomic assessment and growth outlook
- Implementation of the government’s reform program has been satisfactory despite a challenging environment.
- Macroeconomic stability remains firmly in place on the back of prudent fiscal policy and solid growth.
- Economic activity benefits from:
- the government’s success in attracting foreign investors;
- scaling-up of donor support;
- favorable harvests;
- large-scale projects (including pipeline construction).
- Growth projections and milestones:
- Growth should reach 6.3 percent this year.
- Growth should average more than 7 percent over the next five years.
- The construction of the pipeline for crude oil and the expected onset of oil exports in 2022 are highlighted as an important boon for the economy.
- Fiscal revenue impact from oil:
- Fiscal revenues should rise by at least 2 percent of GDP from 2022.
Fiscal policy and public finances
- Fiscal policy is geared toward striking the difficult balance between attending to public needs and supporting macroeconomic stability.
- The fiscal situation remains broadly satisfactory:
- The overall deficit is on track to improve this year.
- The overall deficit is on track to comply with the WAEMU deficit ceiling of 3 percent of GDP in 2020.
- Revenue mobilization challenges:
- Revenue mobilization remains an uphill battle, especially considering the Nigeria border closure.
- Policy emphasis:
- Prudent expenditure management and unrelenting reform efforts help keep public finances solid.
- The 2020 budget is described as an important step toward generating fiscal space for priority expenditures.
- High quality and transparency in public spending remains imperative.
Structural reforms, private sector, and governance
- Ensuring that the local private sector benefits from large-scale projects is central to improving living standards.
- Key priorities and actions:
- Improve conditions for the formal local private sector to enable it to benefit from large-scale projects.
- Improve readings of business environment indicators (government efforts are commended).
- Improve access to financing for the private sector.
- Formalize the informal sector to level the playing field and spread the tax burden more widely.
- Governance measures welcomed by the mission:
- Strengthening of HALCIA.
- Application to rejoin the EITI.
- Plans to upgrade the asset declaration regime for high-ranking public officials.
- Importance of careful design:
- It will be important to carefully design the contracts and institutional arrangements governing the petroleum sector to make Niger’s impending oil exporter status an unqualified success.
Engagements and acknowledgements
- The IMF team met with:
- Prime Minister Brigi Rafini;
- Minister of State for Petroleum;
- the Ministers of Finance and Justice;
- the Minister Delegate for the Budget;
- the Special Presidential Advisor in charge of the business environment;
- other senior government officials.
- Staff also exchanged views with representatives of the private sector and the donor community.
- The IMF team thanked the authorities for their hospitality and for the fruitful dialogue.
IMF Communications Department — MEDIA RELATIONS; Press Officer: Meera Louis; Phone: +1 202 623-7100; Email: MEDIA@IMF.org