IMF Reaches Staff-Level Agreement with the Republic of Kosovo on a Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) and a Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF)
IMF News, April 20, 2023
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- Published: April 20, 2023
Mission and process
- An IMF mission led by Mr. Gabriel Di Bella visited Pristina during March 8-24; and held follow-up virtual and in-person meetings during March 27-April 14, to discuss macroeconomic policies, the energy sector, the reform agenda, climate change mitigation and adaptation policies, and possible IMF support.
- Staff will prepare a report that, subject to management approval, will be presented to the IMF's Executive Board for discussion and decision. Executive Board discussions on these arrangements are expected late May.
- The staff-level agreement is subject to approval by IMF Management and the Executive Board.
Financing arrangements and purpose
- 24-month Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) of around €100 million; expected to be precautionary and to provide liquidity in case downside risks materialize, including those arising from Russia’s ongoing war in Ukraine.
- Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF) arrangement of about €78 million; the RSF will provide affordable financing to support climate change mitigation and adaptation, greener electricity production, and long-run growth prospects, and is expected to catalyze other climate financing. Kosovo’s RSF is the first in Europe.
- Specific access figures: SDR 80 million (around €100 million, 97 percent of quota) for the SBA; SDR 62 million (around €78 million, 75 percent of quota) for the RSF.
- The authorities indicated the intention to request an RSF augmentation once additional reform measures are identified, including from the upcoming Climate-PIMA (C-PIMA).
Macroeconomic assessment and projections
- Preliminary data suggests that real GDP grew by 3.5 percent in 2022 while inflation reached more than 11 percent.
- Growth is projected to pick up to 4–5 percent in 2023 as commodity prices soften and fiscal policy becomes more supportive.
- Softer commodity prices are projected to bring inflation down to 5 – 6 percent in 2023.
- The moderate increase in growth is projected to close Kosovo’s relatively small output gap.
Risks and scenarios
- Downside risks predominately include:
- An uptick in commodity prices, which could lead to lower growth and higher inflation (Kosovo is a net importer of food and energy).
- Tighter financial conditions, including due to recent bank failures in the U.S. and Europe, which may weigh on banks’ asset quality and liquidity.
- Program role:
- The IMF-supported program will mitigate adverse impacts if these or other risks materialize.
- Upside possibilities:
- Stronger public investment implementation may push growth higher.
- Exports of goods and services have proved very resilient and may again surprise on the upside.
Key program elements and policy support
- Fiscal Governance
- Support to strengthen tax administration, reduce informality, enhance fiscal risk analysis, improve public financial management, and further strengthen fiscal transparency.
- Financial Stability
- Support to strengthen the CBK’s policy toolkit and governance guided by the 2019 Financial Sector Stability Review (FSSR) recommendations.
- Structural Challenges
- Support to close infrastructure and governance gaps, including through an update of the Public Investment Management Assessment (PIMA) and strengthening the operations of publicly-owned enterprises.
- Energy and Climate Strategy
- The RSF will support climate change mitigation and adaptation efforts, including those articulated by the recently approved energy strategy for 2023-32.
- Concretely, support will target increasing the share of renewables in energy generation, decreasing pollution, strengthening regional energy integration, increasing energy efficiency, and protecting vulnerable energy consumers.
- Expected catalytic effects
- The new arrangements are also expected to catalyze additional bilateral and multilateral financial support and private investment in green energy.
Engagement and next steps
- The IMF team held meetings with senior government officials, representatives from the private sector, civil society, and development partners during the Pristina visit.
- The team expressed gratitude to the Kosovo authorities for candid and constructive dialogue and warm hospitality and looks forward to continued engagement.
Press Release No. 23/123, IMF Communications Department (April 20, 2023).
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- Press Release-English