IMF Reaches Staff Level Agreement with Jordan on a new US$ 1.2 billion 4-Year Arrangement under the Extended Fund Facility
IMF News, November 9, 2023
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- Published: November 9, 2023
Program summary and timeline
- IMF staff and the Jordanian authorities reached a staff-level agreement on a program of economic and structural reforms, supported by a new 4-year Extended Fund Facility (EFF) arrangement, in the amount of about US$ 1.2 billion.
- The agreement is subject to IMF management approval and consideration by the Executive Board, which are expected in early January 2024.
- Upon Board approval, Jordan would have immediate access to SDR 144.102 million (about US$ 190 million).
- The staff team visited Amman during October 30 – November 9, 2023. Jordan expressed interest in a new program in June 2023; discussions were launched during the authorities’ visit to Washington DC in July 2023.
- Press Release No. 23/386; statement issued November 9, 2023.
Financial terms and access
- Arrangement length: 4-year EFF.
- Total amount: about US$ 1.2 billion.
- Access: 270 percent of quota, equivalent to SDR 926.374 million, or about US$ 1.2 billion at current exchange rates.
- Immediate access upon Board approval: SDR 144.102 million (about US$ 190 million).
Macroeconomic assessment and outlook
- Recent performance: Jordan’s authorities’ performance under the existing EFF arrangement was consistently strong.
- 2023 growth: Jordan’s economy is still expected to grow by 2.6 percent in 2023, with strong performance across all sectors in the first three quarters.
- Inflation: Inflation declined to just over 1 percent in September 2023.
- Current account 2023: The current account deficit is expected to improve in 2023, to just over 7 percent of GDP.
- Reserves: International reserves are strong; with sound economic policies and strong international support, reserves are projected to remain strong.
- 2024 outlook: Growth is projected to be held back by the impact of the conflict, not exceeding 2.6 percent in 2024; the current account is expected to narrow less than expected earlier, to 6.5 percent of GDP.
- Risk scenario: The outlook would worsen in the event of an intensification of the conflict in Gaza and Israel.
Policy priorities and program objectives
- Main objectives:
- Continue fiscal consolidation to place public debt on a steady downward path.
- Safeguard monetary and financial stability.
- Accelerate structural reforms to support growth and enhance job creation.
- Rebuild fiscal and reserve buffers and create a more dynamic private sector to address persistent high unemployment.
- Fiscal anchor:
- Aim to bring public debt to below 80 percent of GDP by 2028.
- Continue sound fiscal policies and reforms aimed at balancing fiscal consolidation with bolstering social assistance and supporting growth, including further broadening the tax base and enhancing spending efficiency.
- Monetary and financial policy:
- CBJ policies will continue to preserve monetary and financial stability.
- Monetary policy will continue to be underpinned by the CBJ’s firm commitment to the peg to the US dollar.
- Under CBJ’s prudent supervision, the banking sector remains resilient, liquid and well capitalized; Jordan successfully exited the FATF grey list.
- Structural reforms:
- Accelerate reforms to create a more dynamic private sector and achieve a meaningful reduction in unemployment, especially among women and youth.
- Improve the business environment: make it easier to start and operate a business, enhance competition and access to finance, and reform labor markets.
- Advance utilities sector reform to ensure financial viability and improve delivery of essential services.
Rationale and external context
- The new EFF arrangement will replace the existing arrangement that was set to expire in early 2024 and builds on strong performance under the existing program.
- The external environment remains challenging: global and regional tensions are high, interest rates are expected to remain higher for longer, and global growth is unevenly distributed.
- The conflict in Gaza and Israel poses an additional regional risk that could adversely affect Jordan’s economy; barring significant escalation, strong international support and the new EFF arrangement will help Jordan maintain stability.
Mission contacts and engagement
- IMF staff team led by Ron van Rooden.
- The staff team met with Prime Minister Khasawneh; Deputy Prime Minister Shraideh; Minister of Finance Al-Ississ; Minister of Planning and International Cooperation Toukan; Governor of the Central Bank of Jordan Al-Sharkas; other Ministers and senior government and CBJ officials; members of parliament; the private sector; civil society organizations; and development partners.
IMF Press Release No. 23/386