Pristina, Kosovo – March 20, 2025:An IMF
mission, led by David Amaglobeli, visited Pristina during March 12–21, to
hold discussions on the Fourth Reviews of Kosovo’s Stand-By Arrangement
(SBA) and Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF) Arrangement. At the
conclusion of the mission, Mr. Amaglobeli issued the following statement:
“The authorities have maintained strong performance under the SBA and RSF.
All end-December quantitative and indicative targets (ITs) for the Fourth
Reviews have been met, and all end-March ITs are on track to be met. The
authorities have been advancing on structural reforms by strengthening
liquidity forecasting capacity at the Ministry of Finance and embarking on
a major reform to modernize financial sector supervision. The authorities
have also implemented, with a short delay, the remaining RSF reform
measure—launch of the wind power tender.”
“The two-year IMF-supported programs have yielded significant results.
Macroeconomic fundamentals have been strengthened by sustaining robust
growth despite a challenging external environment, curbing inflation after
the post-pandemic surge, and enhancing formal sector employment. Growth
reached 4.4 percent in 2024 driven by private consumption and investment,
which helped offset the effects of a widening trade deficit and slowing
remittances. Growth is expected to remain at 4 percent in 2025. After two
years of elevated pressures, inflation fell in 2024, averaging 1.6 percent,
as food and transport inflation eased. The external current account deficit
widened to 9 percent of GDP in 2024, up from 7.5 percent in 2023,
reflecting increased imports driven by strong domestic demand.”
“Prudent fiscal policy has helped keep deficits and debt low and fiscal
buffers strong. Deficits were modest at 0.2 and 0.3 percent of GDP in 2023
and 2024, respectively; public debt fell below 17 percent of GDP in
2024—the lowest level since 2017.
Treasury deposits at the CBK—a key buffer against shocks—increased to
€575 million by end-2024.
Successful fiscal reforms have bolstered revenue collection, with
the tax-to-GDP ratio reaching 26½ percent of GDP in 2024—the highest
ever.
Transparency has improved, including for public enterprises and key
institutions, such as tax administration. Public financial management
(PFM) reforms have led to more effective execution of the public
investment program. Additionally, reforms implemented under the RSF,
the first in Europe, have facilitated efforts to double renewable
energy generation capacity, improve energy efficiency and cut
pollution.”
Looking ahead, the authorities should continue
implementing prudent fiscal policies anchored in a sound, rules-based
framework to ensure sustainable fiscal outcomes, foster growth, advance
social priorities, and enhance resilience. Continued revenue
administration reforms will create much-needed fiscal space for increased
social and capital investments, while PFM reforms will enhance the
efficiency and impact of government spending. EU accession efforts will be
key to mobilize additional financial resources to address Kosovo’s large
developmental needs. Amid rising uncertainty, strong fiscal buffers and
enhanced crisis preparedness remain essential to safeguard stability and
resilience.”
“The CBK has made impressive progress in advancing financial sector
reforms. These aim at enhancing stability, resilience, and modernization to
support activity. The CBK has successfully implemented important internal
institutional reforms to boost effectiveness, efficiency, and transparency.
The CBK is undergoing an
IMF-led Central Bank Transparency Code (CBT) assessment and a
governance audit by a peer central bank,
underscoring its commitment to best practices. In addition, several major
initiatives are underway to modernize the financial sector regulatory
framework, aligning it more closely with EU standards.
Central to this is the ongoing adoption of the Supervisory Review and
Evaluation Process (SREP)—widely regarded as the most advanced and
structured supervisory framework—to enhance risk-based bank supervision.
The CBK is also developing and operationalizing a
macroprudential policy framework and strengthening crisis preparedness,
including through recently-extended ECB backstop (€100 million). Increased
premiums from banks to the Deposit Insurance Fund provided additional safety
cushion Significant strides were made to integrate with the Single Euro
Payments Area (SEPA) and develop the regional TIPS Clone instant payments
system. These initiatives will foster a faster, safer, and more
cost-effective payments landscape, benefiting businesses and citizens while
enhancing regional integration.”
These reforms have supported rapid, healthy
expansion of the financial sector. After growing by 17 percent in real
terms in 2024, private sector credit peaked in 2024, exceeding 56 percent
of GDP. Financial inclusion also improved, with bank or e-money account
ownership and settlement via the Kosovo Interbank Payment System (KIPS)
increasing. The newly launched Platform for Comparison of Financial
Products and Services should help enhance financial literacy and
transparency. Against this backdrop, the banking sector remains profitable
and well-capitalized with low levels of NPLs. Maintaining this stability
will require continued vigilance and proactive risk management.”
“The mission met with Deputy Prime Minister Bislimi, Minister of Finance,
Labor, and Transfers Murati, Minister of Economy Rizvanolli, Central Bank
Governor Ismaili, and other senior officials, civil society, private sector
and international partners. The mission thanks them and their technical
staff for constructive discussions and cooperation during this mission.”