IMF Executive Board Concludes 2025 Financial System Stability Assessment with Canada
IMF News, August 1, 2025
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Bibliographic details
- Published: August 1, 2025
Assessment overview and timeline
- The Executive Board concluded the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) with Canada on July 18, 2025 without convening formal discussions under the lapse-of-time procedure.
- The Financial System Stability Assessment (FSSA) report was completed on July 1, 2025.
- The FSSA is based on IMF FSAP missions to Canada during October-November 2024 and February 2025.
- Context: the FSAP was conducted amid slowing economic growth, trade policy uncertainty, and heightened geopolitical risks.
Structure and systemic importance of the financial system
- Canada has a large and highly developed financial system.
- The banking system is concentrated with six systemically important banks accounting for 94 percent of total banking assets.
- Nonbank financial institutions (NBFIs) are important and include mutual and pension funds and insurance firms.
- The interconnectedness of the Canadian financial sector with global markets amplifies risks from geoeconomic fragmentation and mounting trade risks.
Key findings on resilience and risks
- Canada’s financial system is strong and well-regulated and has demonstrated resilience in recent years.
- Stress tests indicate that banks and NBFIs are generally resilient to severe solvency and liquidity shocks.
- Residential real estate exposure is substantial and warrants close monitoring because of risks related to debt serviceability and high household debt.
- Commercial real estate risks:
- Appear manageable for large banks.
- Remain significant for pension funds and insurers.
- Intensifying geoeconomic fragmentation and mounting trade risks could weigh on economic growth, unemployment, and real estate valuations.
Supervisory, crisis management, and regulatory framework observations
- Financial sector oversight and crisis management frameworks are robust but could be further strengthened to proactively address emerging challenges.
- Supervisory authorities follow a sound risk-based approach focused on key priorities.
- Gaps and areas for strengthening:
- Further clarification of supervisory mandates.
- Enhanced budgetary autonomy and strengthened resources for supervisors.
- Enhanced cooperation and information sharing between federal and provincial authorities to effectively monitor risks across the financial sector, particularly concerning NBFIs.
- Scope to strengthen data collection and stress testing practices for NBFIs.
- Enhancing AML/CFT supervision and enforcement remains a priority; the authorities’ commitment to reviewing the AML/CFT sanctioning regime is welcome.
- Greater harmonization of deposit insurance schemes across jurisdictions would be beneficial.
- Further strengthening of the resolution framework for insurers is encouraged.
- Positive progress noted:
- Notable progress in bolstering cyber resilience.
- Advances in climate risk analysis; authorities are encouraged to continue building on these achievements.
Institutional and program context
- The Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP), established in 1999, is a comprehensive and in-depth assessment of a country’s financial sector.
- FSAPs provide input for Article IV consultations and thus enhance Fund surveillance.
- FSAPs are mandatory for the 47 jurisdictions with systemically important financial sectors and otherwise conducted upon request from member countries.
- The key findings of an FSAP are summarized in a Financial System Stability Assessment (FSSA).
International Monetary Fund — Press Release No. 25/270, August 1, 2025.