Some say there is a trade-off: save lives or save jobs – this is a false dilemma
IMF Blog, April 3, 2020
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- Some say there is a trade-off: save lives or save jobs – this is a false dilemma
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- Authors: Kristalina Georgieva, Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus
- Published: April 3, 2020
Core argument
- At face value there appears to be a trade-off: either save lives or save livelihoods. This is a false dilemma.
- Getting the virus under control is a prerequisite to saving livelihoods.
- The World Health Organization (WHO) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) have complementary mandates: the WHO advises on health priorities and protects public health; the IMF advises on economic priorities and helps provide financing.
Evidence of need and IMF response
- In the short time since COVID-19 started spreading across the world, the demand for IMF financing has skyrocketed.
- Never in the 75 years history of the institution have so many countries – 85 so far – found themselves in need of IMF emergency financing.
- The IMF is making financing available in record short time, with the first projects already being approved and money disbursed to provide much needed assistance.
- The IMF aims to help by doubling its emergency response capacity from $50 billion up to $100 billion.
- Its total lending capacity of $1 trillion is now secured thanks to decisive actions of its membership.
- The Fund is increasing its capacity to ease debt service obligations of its poorest members through the Catastrophe Containment Relief Trust for which generous donors are providing grant resources.
- Together with the World Bank the IMF is advocating for a standstill of debt service from the poorest countries to official bilateral creditors for as long as the world economy is paralysed by the pandemic.
Health priorities and urgent expenditures
- Health expenditures should be at the top of the priority list when emergency financing reaches countries in need.
- Critical health investments listed:
- Paying salaries to doctors and nurses
- Supporting hospitals and emergency rooms
- Establishing make-shift field clinics
- Buying protective gear and essential medical equipment
- Carrying out public awareness campaigns about simple measures like hand washing
- Many health systems are unprepared for an onslaught of COVID-19 patients; boosting capacity is paramount.
Economic priorities and complementary measures
- Support for economy-wide priorities must go together with health spending to:
- Reduce unemployment
- Minimise bankruptcies
- Ensure recovery over time
- Targeted economic support measures (in addition to health spending) include:
- Cash transfers
- Wage subsidies and short-time work
- Strengthening unemployment benefits and social safety nets
- Limiting the rise in borrowing costs
- Emergency financing can only help if countries strike the balance between health and economic support.
Coordination and international cooperation
- The WHO can help coordinate production and delivery of medical supplies effectively, efficiently, and equitably, for example by facilitating advance purchase agreements.
- The WHO is working with suppliers of personal protective equipment for health workers to ensure supply chains are functioning.
- Collaboration with other international organisations can be effective—for example, the World Bank’s capacity to aggregate demand to purchase medical supplies in bulk.
- The IMF and WHO are cooperating closely with one another, and with other international organisations, to help address countries’ priority needs.
Contextual challenges highlighted
- Economic activity is plummeting as infections and measures to combat the pandemic affect workers, firms, and supply chains.
- Job losses and uncertainty drag down spending, financial conditions sharply tighten, and the oil price collapse hits commodity exporters — all with cross-border spillovers.
- In countries with large informal economies families depend on daily wages to survive.
- Highly congested urban slums make social distancing impossible.
Policy appeal
- Place health expenditures at the top of the priority list when allocating emergency financing.
- Ensure targeted support for most-affected households and firms alongside health spending.
- Leaders must step up right now for people living in emerging markets.
Op-ed by Kristalina Georgieva and Dr. Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus (April 3, 2020).