Making The Digital Money Revolution Work for All
IMF Blog, July 29, 2021
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Bibliographic details
- Authors: Tobias Adrian, Tommaso Mancini-Griffoli
- Published: July 29, 2021
Overview
- Authors: Tobias Adrian, Tommaso Mancini-Griffoli
- Publication date: July 29, 2021
- Central thesis: Digital money innovations can transform payments, inclusion, efficiency, and cross-border flows, but immediate policy action is required to manage tradeoffs and risks and to ensure benefits are widely shared.
Digital money: types and recent trends
- Digital forms of money include:
- Central bank digital currencies (CBDC) — publicly issued digital cash (not necessarily offering the same anonymity to avoid illicit transfers).
- eMoney (example: Kenya’s mobile money transfer service MPesa).
- Stablecoins (digital tokens backed by external assets, examples: USD-coin and the proposed Diem).
- Cryptoassets (example: Bitcoin) — described as unbacked and highly volatile.
- Adoption and market movements:
- CBDCs are being closely analyzed, piloted, or likely to be issued in at least 110 countries.
- Stablecoins tripled in value in the last six months (from $25 billion to $75 billion).
- Cryptoassets doubled (from $740 billion to $1.4 trillion).
- eMoney accounts are growing much more rapidly in low- and middle-income countries than in rich ones; Africa is highlighted as a leader.
Opportunities from digital money
- Increased payment efficiency and lower costs for transfers, including cross-border payments.
- Financial inclusion: people without bank accounts can save securely and build transaction histories to access micro-loans.
- New use cases: programmable money to serve specific purposes; integration with financial and social media applications.
- Government efficiencies: more transparent and efficient taxation and redistribution; streamlined welfare disbursements.
- Business efficiencies: faster settlement for asset purchases; cheaper and instant payments for artisans and firms.
Policy implications, tradeoffs, and risks
- International monetary system:
- Design and regulation of digital money must preserve governments’ ability to stabilize prices (control monetary policy) and stabilize exchange rates (control capital flows).
- Payment systems should grow increasingly integrated among countries and avoid fragmentation into regional blocs.
- Avoiding a digital divide is essential so benefits are not concentrated and others left behind.
- Stability and availability of cross-border payments are important for international trade and investment.
- Domestic economic and financial stability:
- Public and private sectors should collaborate to provide money to end-users while ensuring stability and security without stifling innovation.
- Banks may face pressure as specialized payment companies compete for customers and deposits; credit provision must be sustained during transitions.
- Fair competition must be upheld amid large technology companies entering payments.
- Digital money can be leveraged to facilitate welfare transfers and tax payments and to lower costs of access to payment and savings services.
- Trust, safety, and integrity:
- New forms of money must protect consumers’ wealth, be safe, be anchored in sound legal frameworks, and avoid facilitating illicit transactions.
Urgency and risks of inaction
- Policy action must begin immediately to establish a common vision for the international monetary system, strengthen international collaboration, and enact legal and regulatory frameworks that drive inclusive innovation.
- Regulation, market structure, product features, and the role of the public sector can quickly ossify around less desirable outcomes; reversing course later can be very costly.
IMF role and recommended actions
- Mandate: help ensure widespread adoption of digital money fosters domestic economic and financial stability and the stability of the international monetary system.
- Planned IMF actions:
- Engage regularly with country authorities to evaluate country-specific policies.
- Provide capacity development to avoid a digital divide.
- Develop analytical foundations to identify policy options and tradeoffs.
- Deepen expertise, widen skillsets, ramp up resources, and leverage near universal membership.
- Collaboration: work closely with the World Bank, the Bank for International Settlements and its Innovation Hub, international working groups and standard-setting bodies, and national authorities to address complex, multifaceted challenges.
Key statistics and factual highlights
- CBDCs: being analyzed, piloted, or likely to be issued in at least 110 countries.
- Stablecoins: grew from $25 billion to $75 billion (tripled) in six months.
- Cryptoassets: grew from $740 billion to $1.4 trillion (doubled).
- Geographic trend: eMoney accounts are growing faster and are now more numerous in low- and middle-income countries than in rich countries; Africa is leading in adoption.
Making The Digital Money Revolution Work for All — Tobias Adrian, Tommaso Mancini-Griffoli, July 29, 2021