Vulnerability Diagnostics (VDS)

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Participants are expected to have an advanced degree in economics or equivalent experience.
A basic background in econometrics is required.
Familiarity with the use of software for econometric applications is required.

Officials of all levels in central banks, ministries of finance, and other governmental agencies with macro-fiscal units (e.g., cabinet office, parliament).
Officials who monitor and assess country-wide and regional multisectoral vulnerabilities and risks.

The course complements the Macroeconomic Diagnostics (MDS) course.
Aims to enhance participants’ ability to assess fiscal, financial, and external vulnerabilities in an integrated fashion.
Uses several diagnostic tools and methods to capture tail risks.

Assess risks using fiscal, financial, external, and real sectors’ vulnerability indicators.
Describe how vulnerabilities can morph into distress, leading to crises as a result of adverse shocks or a flawed policy mix.
Use diagnostic tools (including tools currently employed in IMF surveillance), to track multi-sectoral vulnerabilities and predict indicators of tail risks.
Adapt diagnostic tools, (organized as templates of country vulnerability reports), to country data.

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