Public Debt Projections and Analysis Using the Public Debt Dynamics Tool
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Bibliographic details
- Session: OT 25.15
- Location: Asuncion, Paraguay
- Dates: March 31, 2025 - April 4, 2025 (1 week)
- Delivery method: In-person Training
- Primary language: Spanish
Qualifications and Target Audience
- Qualifications:
- Participants are expected to have a degree in economics or equivalent work experience.
- Some familiarity with using spreadsheets is required.
- Target Audience:
- All government officials are welcome to register.
- Especially useful for officials from ministries of finance, debt agencies, central banks, and other government agencies responsible for implementing macroeconomic and debt policies.
Course Description
- The course introduces the Excel-based Public Debt Dynamics Tool (DDT).
- The DDT is used for:
- Projecting the stock of public debt for the baseline (most likely) and alternative scenarios, including natural-disaster scenarios and fan charts.
- Estimating paths of fiscal adjustments consistent with a user-defined target level of debt.
- Participants are provided preliminary data and are expected to present an analysis of the public debt situation in their country (or the country of their choice) at the end of the course.
Course Objectives
- Upon completion of the course, participants should be able to:
- Project public debt.
- Identify the main drivers of public debt changes.
- Compute measures of fiscal adjustments consistent with a public debt target.
- Conduct a stress test to public debt projections, including through the use of fan charts.
- Identify the main components of a debt sustainability analysis to assess the risk of debt distress.
References