IMF Staff Papers

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IMF Staff Papers

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IMF Publications

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• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 52, No. 1
  • Published: December 31, 2016
  • Summary: This first issue of IMF Staff Papers for 2005 contains 7 papers that discuss: whether output recovered after the Asian crisis; the value of a country's trading partners to its own economic growth; whether interdependence is a factor in understanding the spread of currency crises; can remittance paym
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 52, No. 2
  • Published: December 31, 2016
  • Summary: This paper examines contractionary currency crashes in developing countries. It explores the causes of India’s productivity surge around 1980, more than a decade before serious economic reforms were initiated.
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 52, No. 3
  • Published: December 31, 2016
  • Summary: This last issue for 2005 comprises seven new papers, including a contribution to the journal's occasional Special Data Section about domestic debt markets in Sub-Saharan Africa, and also an in-depth look at the internal job market for entry-level economists at the IMF.
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 52, Special Issue, IMF Conference in Honor of Michael Mussa
  • Published: December 31, 2016
  • Summary: This paper focuses on expectations for the American economy focused on the likelihood of secular stagnation, which continued to be debated throughout the post-war period.
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 53, 2006, Special Issue
  • Published: December 31, 2016
  • Summary: This Special Issue for 2006 (Volume 53) combines five papers that emerged from the Sixth Annual Jacques Polak Research Conference in November 2005, including the annual Mundell-Fleming Lecture. The issue is rounded out with three regular refereed papers in the journal series.
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 53, No. 1
  • Published: December 31, 2016
  • Summary: This first issue for 2006 is anchored by two papers on Russia. The opening paper discusses Russia and the World Trade Organization, and the concluding paper, by John Odling-Smee (former Director of the IMF's European II Department), presents a comprehensive and authoritative history of the IMF's rel
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 53, No. 2
  • Published: December 31, 2016
  • Summary: Noteworthy among the six papers appearing in this latest issue of the IMF's peer-reviewed journal is another installment in the Special Data Section.
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 53, No. 3
  • Published: December 31, 2016
  • Summary: This is the final issue for 2006 (Volume 53), and contains another paper in the occasional Special Data Section that seeks to measure financial development in the Middle East and North Africa by utilizing a new database. The issue also contains a comment from Jacques J.
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 54, No. 3
  • Published: December 31, 2016
  • Summary: This issue features a timely paper by Vladimir Klyuev and Paul Mills on the role of personal wealth and home equity withdrawal in the decline in the U.S. saving rate. Lusine Lusinyan and Leo Bonato explain how work absence in 18 European countries affects labor supply and demand.
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 54, No. 2
  • Published: December 31, 2016
  • Summary: Vol. 54, No. 2 includes three notable contributions from the Seventh Jacques Polak Annual Research Conference (ARC) hosted by the IMF in November 2006.
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 54, No. 4
  • Published: December 31, 2016
  • Summary: In this issue, authors from the IMF and from Argentine institutions team up to review how different banks behaved and were hurt during the country's crisis. Atsushi Iimi looks at how countries can escape from the resource curse in a comparative analysis that focuses on Botswana.
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 54, No. 1
  • Published: December 31, 2016
  • Summary: This is the first issue of IMF Staff Papers published under a special partnership between the IMF and Palgrave Macmillan. Very little will change with regard to the journal's visual appearance, though significant service quality enhancements (e.g.
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 55, No. 1
  • Published: December 31, 2016
  • Summary: In this issue, a team of economists look at approaches to modeling the use of IMF resources in order to gauge whether the recent decline in credit outstanding is a temporary or permanent phenomenon.
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 55, No. 2
  • Published: December 31, 2016
  • Summary: This special issue is devoted to the Global Economy Model (GEM), a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models widely used by the IMF and central banks worldwide to study issues that cannot be adequately addressed with reduced-form econometric models or an earlier generation of macromodels whose d
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 55, No. 3
  • Published: December 31, 2016
  • Summary: This special issue on exchange rates is drawn from the Eighth Jacques Polak Annual Research Conference held at the International Monetary Fund in Washington in November 2007. The Mundell-Fleming Lecture by Stanley Fischer focuses on exchange rate systems, surveillance, and advice.
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 55, No. 4
  • Published: December 31, 2016
  • Summary: In this issue, John T. Cuddington and Daniel Jerrett from the Colorado School of Mines examine whether metals prices are in a "super cycle" upswing driven by intensive economic growth in China, in particular. Using evidence from U.S. Social Security records, James E.
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 56, No. 1
  • Published: December 31, 2016
  • Summary: This special issue brings together world-renowned experts to provide a systematic and critical analysis of the costs and benefits of financial globalization. Contributors include Kenneth Rogoff, Maurice Obstfeld, Dani Rodrik, and Frederic S. Mishkin.
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 56, No. 3
  • Published: December 31, 2016
  • Summary: Studies of the impact of trade openness on growth are based either on crosscountry analysis—which lacks transparency—or case studies—which lack statistical rigor.
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 56, No. 4
  • Published: December 31, 2016
  • Summary: This paper empirically evaluates four types of costs that may result from an international sovereign default: reputational costs, international trade exclusion costs, costs to the domestic economy through the financial system, and political costs to the authorities.
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 46, No. 1
  • Published: December 30, 2016
  • Summary: This economic journal contains theoretical and empirical analyses of varous macroeconomic issues. The studies are prepapred by IMF research staff or consultants.
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 47, No. 3
  • Published: December 30, 2016
  • Summary: This paper provides an overview of the recent theoretical and empirical research on herd behavior in financial markets. It looks at what precisely is meant by herding, the causes of herd behavior, the success of existing studies in identifying the phenomenon, and the effect that herding has on finan
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 47, Special Issue, IMF Annual Research Conference
  • Published: December 30, 2016
  • Summary: This paper presents a broad overview of postwar analytical thinking on international macroeconomics, culminating in a more detailed discussion of recent progress.
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 48, No. 1
  • Published: December 30, 2016
  • Summary: This paper re-examines the issue of the existence of threshold effects in the relationship between inflation and growth, using new econometric techniques that provide appropriate procedures for estimation and inference.
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 48, No. 2
  • Published: December 30, 2016
  • Summary: This paper analyzes the link between product variety and economic growth. It finds support for the hypothesis that a greater degree of product variety relative to the United States helps to explain relative per capita GDP levels.
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 48, No. 3
  • Published: December 30, 2016
  • Summary: This paper analyzes the financial implications of the 1956 crisis of nationalization of the Suez Canal by Egypt. It examines the regional distribution of public employment in Italy. The paper quantifies the impact of changes in the U.S.
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 48, Special Issue, Transition Economies, How Much Progress?
  • Published: December 30, 2016
  • Summary: This chapter is the collection of eight papers on different aspects of the first 10 years of economic transition. Transition issues have appeared initially quite controversial.
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 49, No. 1
  • Published: December 30, 2016
  • Summary: This paper presents details of a symposium on forecasting performance I organized under the auspices of the IMF Staff Papers. The assumption that the forecaster's goal is to do as well as possible in predicting the actual outcome is sometimes questionable.
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 49, No. 2
  • Published: December 30, 2016
  • Summary: This paper explores sources of the output collapse in Russia during transition. A modified growth-accounting framework is developed that takes into account changes in factor utilization that are typical of the transition process.
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 49, No. 3
  • Published: December 30, 2016
  • Summary: This paper empirically investigates the monetary impact of banking crises in Chile, Colombia, Denmark, Japan, Kenya, Malaysia, and Uruguay during 1975–98.
• IMF Staff Papers: Volume 49: Special Issue: IMF Annual Research Conference
  • Published: December 30, 2016
  • Summary: This paper reports for uncovered interest parity (UIP) using daily data for 23 developing and developed countries during the crisis-strewn 1990s. UIP is a classic topic of international finance, a critical building block of most theoretical models, and a dismal empirical failure.
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 50, No. 1
  • Published: December 30, 2016
  • Summary: Forty years ago, Marcus Fleming and Robert Mundell developed independent models of macroeconomic policy in open economies. Why do we link the two, and why do we call the result the Mundell-Fleming, rather than Fieming-Mundell model?
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 50, No. 2
  • Published: December 30, 2016
  • Summary: This paper examines sources of economic growth in East Asia. The conventional growth-accounting approach to estimating the sources of economic growth requires unrealistically strong assumptions about either competitiveness of factor markets or the form of the underlying aggregate production function
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 50, No. 3
  • Published: December 30, 2016
  • Summary: This paper analyzes the issue of purchasing power parity using real effective exchange rate (REER) data for 20 industrial countries in the post-Bretton Woods period.
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 50, Special Issue, IMF Third Annual Research Conference
  • Published: December 30, 2016
  • Summary: The paper discusses a model in which growth is a negative function of fiscal burden. Moreover, growth discontinuously switches from high to low as the fiscal burden reaches a critical level.
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 51, No. 1
  • Published: December 30, 2016
  • Summary: This first issue of Volume 51 for 2004 includes a new paper by Peter B. Clark and Jacques J. Polak, along with a tribute from the Editor to Mr. Polak in honor of his 90th birthday.
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 51, No. 2
  • Published: December 30, 2016
  • Summary: This second issue for 2004 contains 8 new papers, including notable contributions from: Nancy Brune, Geoffrey Garrett, and Bruce Kogut on the global spread of privatization; and Mark P. Taylor and Elena T. Branson on asymmetric arbitrage and default premiums in the U.S. and Russian markets.
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 51, No. 3
  • Published: December 30, 2016
  • Summary: This paper tests uncovered interest parity (UIP) using interest rates on longer maturity bonds for the Group of Seven countries.
• IMF Staff Papers, Volume 51, Special Issue, IMF Fourth Annual Research Conference
  • Published: December 30, 2016
  • Summary: This is the 2004 (Volume 51) Special Issue of IMF Staff Papers, which includes 6 selected papers (from more than 20) that were presented at the IMF's Fourth Annual Research Conference, November 6-7, 2003.