Regional Economic Outlook: Asia and Pacific, September 2006

Asia and Pacific, September 15, 2006

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Regional Economic Outlook: Asia and Pacific, September 2006

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Bibliographic details

• Published: September 15, 2006
• Series: Asia and Pacific

Executive summary and outlook

• The report gives the IMF's view of the outlook for Asia, identifies the main risks to growth, and considers the key factors that will influence capital inflows.
• The REO discusses short-run macroeconomic policy issues for the region and longer-term challenges:
  • the need to raise consumption and rebalance growth,
  • develop further regional financial and capital markets,
  • address growing income inequality.
• Press Release title: "IMF Asia and Pacific Regional Outlook Cites Region's Strong Growth Prospects, Highlights Global Risks and Medium-Term Challenges, September 16, 2006."

Major themes and analysis areas (report structure)

• I. Recent Developments and Outlook
  • Growth
  • Inflation
  • External Sector
  • Risks
• II. Financial Developments in Emerging Asia
  • Assessment of the Recent Correction
  • Outlook for Capital Inflows to Emerging Asia
• III. Macroeconomic Policy Issues
  • Monetary Policy
  • Fiscal Policy
• IV. Asian Equity Markets: Growth, Opportunities, and Challenges
  • The Emergence of Asian Stock Markets
  • Performance of Asian Emerging Stock Markets
  • Valuation of Asian Markets
  • Equity Prices and Economic Activity
  • Policy Implications
• V. Private Consumption in Emerging Asia
  • Introduction
  • Private Consumption Trends in Emerging Asia
  • Determinants of Private Consumption in Emerging Asia
  • Estimation Results
  • Is Private Consumption in Emerging Asia Too Low?
  • Potential Policy Implications
• VI. Rising Inequality and Polarization in Asia
  • Trends and Patterns
  • Determinants of Inequality and Polarization
  • Did the Asian Crisis Increase Inequality
  • Conclusion
• Data Appendix

Specific issues highlighted

• Capital inflows
  • The report considers the key factors that will influence capital inflows to emerging Asia.
• Short-run macroeconomic policy
  • Monetary Policy
  • Fiscal Policy
• Longer-term structural challenges
  • Raising private consumption and rebalancing growth toward domestic demand.
  • Further development of regional financial and capital markets.
  • Addressing growing income inequality and social polarization.

Boxes and focused studies included

• 1.1. Outlook for Asia’s Electronics Sector
• 1.2. The Impact of Japan’s Recovery on Asia
• 1.3. Spillovers from Asia Are Affecting Australia and New Zealand
• 1.4. Worker’s Remittances: A Gravity Model
• 1.5. Pacific Island Countries: Regional Issues and Prospects
• 2.1. Hedge Funds—Recent Developments in Asia
• 4.1. Capital Flows in Emerging Asia: How Volatile Are They?
• 4.2. Fostering Financial Integration and Economic Stability
• 5.1. Credit, Investment, and Growth in Post-Crisis Asia: A Tale of Two Sectors
• 6.1. Spatial Inequality in China and India
• 6.2. Income Inequality and Social Polarization in Korea

Regional Economic Outlook: Asia and Pacific, September 2006

Content in this bundle

• Regional Economic Outlook: Asia and Pacific, September 2006
  • Regional Economic Outlook: Asia and Pacific, September 2006 (Markdown version)
  • Regional Economic Outlook: Asia and Pacific, September 2006 (PDF)
• IMFアジア太平洋地域経済見通し 2006年9月 - 要旨
  • IMFアジア太平洋地域経済見通し 2006年9月 - 要旨 (Markdown version)
  • IMFアジア太平洋地域経済見通し 2006年9月 - 要旨 (PDF)

References

• Press Release:
• Regional Economic Outlooks
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