Technical Assistance Reports

Republic of Mozambique: Technical Assistance Report-Walk Through of MPC Process Using Core-QPM

November 12, 2025

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Format: Chicago

International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department "Republic of Mozambique: Technical Assistance Report-Walk Through of MPC Process Using Core-QPM", Technical Assistance Reports 2025, 094 (2025), accessed 12/12/2025, https://doi.org/10.5089/9798229027656.019

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Summary

The Technical Assistance (TA) mission, from March 31–April 11, 2025, assisted the Bank of Mozambique’s (MB) authorities in building autonomy in the use of the new version of QPM (core-QPM) for Forecasting and Policy Analysis System purposes. The purpose of the mission was to make adjustments to the model and model output, to make it ready for practical use in the policy process. In addition, competence and autonomy on the use, maintenance, and further development of core-QPM for forecasting and policy analysis in the policy process was part of the mission. The commitments of the Mission Team, the Governor, Vice Governor, management, and staff to enhance the MB’s FPAS framework is promising for the seamless implementation of efficient FPAS, and important to ensure further progress in enhancing their analytical-capabilities using core-QPM and satellite models.

Subject: Central bank policy rate, Exchange rates, Financial services, Foreign exchange, Output gap, Production, Real exchange rates, Real interest rates

Keywords: Bank of Mozambique., Central bank policy rate, conditional forecasting, core macro model, core-QPM model, enhance staff autonomy, Exchange rates, Forecasting and Policy Analysis System, FPAS, IMF publication, Monetary and Capital Markets Department, monetary policy process, Mozambique, Output gap, policy analysis, policy process, QPM (core-QPM), Real exchange rates, Real interest rates, scenario analysis and reporting, technical assistance provider