Leveraging Non-traditional Data for Macroeconomic Nowcasting: The Case of Morocco
IMF Working Papers, June 5, 2026
Source details
- Canonical URL
- Leveraging Non-traditional Data for Macroeconomic Nowcasting: The Case of Morocco
Other formats
Bibliographic details
- Authors: Dina M Hamed
- Published: June 5, 2026
- Series: IMF Working Papers
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9798229047173.001
Overview and objectives
- Author: Dina M Hamed
- Date: June 5, 2026
- Purpose: Showcase how non-traditional data can complement official statistics and be incorporated into nowcasting models to provide early estimates of key macroeconomic variables in Morocco.
- Non-traditional data types highlighted:
- Indices extracted from satellite imagery
- Google Trends
- Flight tracking information
- Targeted applications:
- Agricultural gross value added (Agriculture GVA)
- Tourism revenues
- Unemployment rate
Key findings and empirical results
- Non-traditional data substantially improves nowcasting models by:
- Enhancing predictive accuracy
- Enabling rapid generation of nowcast estimates prior to the release of official data
- The approach is applied specifically to:
- Agricultural gross value added
- Tourism revenues
- The unemployment rate
- Demonstrated benefit: timely signals from high-frequency and alternative data sources provide robust estimates of current-period economic indicators ahead of official releases.
Methodological emphasis
- Nowcasting framework: integration of a wide range of macroeconomic and high-frequency data into models to estimate current-period economic indicators ahead of official releases.
- Data transformation and analysis techniques referenced in subject/keywords:
- Econometric analysis
- Time series analysis
- Machine learning
- Data transformation
Policy relevance and implications
- For policymakers: leveraging non-traditional data provides earlier and more accurate indicators of economic activity, supporting more informed and timely policy decisions.
- Practical implication: complementing official statistics with satellite imagery indices, Google Trends, and flight tracking can improve monitoring of sectoral activity (agriculture, tourism) and labor market conditions (unemployment).
Content in this bundle
- Working Paper